Polar.
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Everything posted by Polar.
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Latest icon looks nasty for NW parts overnight.
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Gusting over 85mph in ireland. I'm surprised no Amber has been issued for the NW.
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Gusting 80mph in ireland. Amber to issued soon for the NW?
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Storm Eunice - 18th February
Polar. replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
And we calculate sustained winds over a 10 minute period. If we did the 1 minute period for hurricanes, the figure would often be much higher than it currently is over a 10 minute period. -
Storm Eunice - 18th February
Polar. replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Post on twitter saying the centre will be 50 miles further north across Ireland than was earlier forecast today. -
Storm Eunice - 18th February
Polar. replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looking abroad. French met have a warning for gusts locally to reach 140kmh in the far North of the country. That's 87mph. Ireland has 4 counties under a red wind warning and 5 for Amber snow. -
Storm Eunice - 18th February
Polar. replied to Thunder and Lightning's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I don't want to appear hyperbolic but if this plays out bad like it appears there could be up to double digit fatalities. Simply because it's happening during the day and inland across southern England which doesn’t happen often. There will be lots who will not take it seriously. Even a standard storm for more sparsely populated Northern areas can lead to 1 to 2 deaths due to fallen trees. Stay safe and inside everyone and ride it out. Do not drive during it. -
Thanks for the reply. Here's hoping it changes before I go back. Yes. Sadly none in the town I'm in. Will hopefully get a day trip to the mountains before I head back.
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The switzerland thread is dead so thought you might be best to ask carinthian. I'm in Western switzerland 450m asl for possibly the rest of the month. Prospects aren't great at home for snow but do you see any glimmer of hope for here or is it as equally as bleak as the UK. Apparently there's only been snow a handful of times here this winter, all dustings. Cheers
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Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into February
Polar. replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
It was showing on the met office radar. Must be an issue with netweather radar for that area. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Polar. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Run before you become what you despise lol -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Polar. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Do you have the precipitation chart of UKMO? Thanks. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Polar. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I fear some think this is a certainty after the latest runs. The track of the low will probably change again. There's too much uncertainty still on the exact track. I'm sure it will snow somewhere, I'm not disputing that but I'd air on the side of caution. It could travel further North, further south, stay the same. We simply don't know, there is no consistency yet for anyone to know where the low will track. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Polar. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We don't even know what's going to happen on Christmas day yet let alone January or February. -
Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown
Polar. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The worst is saying to bin a run because it didn't play ball. -
There's turkey on the garden path this morning, high risk its laced with bird flu so I won't be taking a bite just yet.
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I've got model fatigue and seem to jinx it everytime I look at them lately lol. Can someone give a brief summary of how it looks. Thanks.
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There's 19 of us up at this time. Must be something afoot...
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Ecm the evolution from T168 to T198 looks off to me. Anyone else seeing that or am I on my own?
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Irish met Red wind warning for Cork and Kerry.
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- stormbarra
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Model Output Discussion - Winter arrives
Polar. replied to Blessed Weather's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes exactly Mike. Futile wondering will happen after Tuesday until this gets resolved. -
10,000 homes still without power 8 days after the storm. Incredible. They don't expect everyone to have their power back until midweek.
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News earlier mentioned 45k homes are still without power. Some of those have no mobile network, Internet, running water or electricity. Crews have been drafted in from Southern England and Ireland to help.
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Coldest minima 2021-2022 predictions and recordings
Polar. replied to damianslaw's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
-17.4 Altnaharra 3rd January. -
They need to sort out their Web page when there's multiple warnings in force overlapping one another. Today it looks like a rainbow puked. How the average person who doesn't often follow the weather is supposed to make sense of that is beyond me and traffic on the site will increase on days like today from those who wouldn't normally visit.
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