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Posts posted by Rufus Butterfield
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14 minutes ago, WeatherArc said:
How would everyone here rate this years storm activity out of 10?
I think i would give it a 2 tbh, i can count the amount of lightning ive personally seen on one hand
Today brought nothing more than overcast sky's and yesterday was a major fail as a band of heavy rain imbedded with thunderstorms managed to kill off all electrical activity about 10 mins before reaching me. But it is what it is, maybe next year will be better? This years summer plumes seemed to contain lots of dry air which didnt help our chances. I know you guys down south seem to have had a better year so maybe i should stop whining and move down there
Hopefully we can get one last shot at convective activity at the end of august or maybe september as i really dont want to completely give up on this year before summer is done.
So far like a 3/10? We had that squall line in February (I think from storm Franklin) which brought some mad winds and rain, even tornado damage was apparently reported north of me, with a some lightning as it tracked further east. Then end of May had a decent hailstorm with CG lightning. Yesterday had a brief storm come close with good lightning visible. That’s been it for this year, 2 or 3 days of thunder so far. Quite underwhelming.
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Small timelapse of the distant storm over Worksop yesterday, which caused extensive flooding
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Looking at some models and the storms threat looks to increase next Wednesday, but it’s a long way off and of course is going change.
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Near Yorkshire Wildlife Park
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Thunder getting louder now
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Getting lightning strikes detected south of me
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Getting quite dark to my south now as those showers head north
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I’m just barely (by like a couple miles) into the SLGT of Dan’s forecast. UKV isn’t providing too much but I’ll see what happens.
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Ok this is getting a little bit depressing now, never gone this late into summer without thunder and tomorrow’s chances where I am look to be dwindling a bit.
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Can’t really get a visual of the storm east of Scunthorpe, it’s just a grey haze in the distance. Maybe if it was dark I could see the lightning.
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Keeping expectations low for tomorrow as this year has proven to be disappointment after disappointment. Any storm will be a surprise (or any rain really).
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Met office got the whole of UK covered now, so I guess no one's getting anything due to the met office warning curse
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It’s been like the climate along the west coast of California. Warm/hot, sunny days, but there’s little to no instability so very few storms happen.
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32 minutes ago, ResonantChannelThunder said:
I'm convinced that you used to be able to absolutely rely on there being an epic thundery plume of some sort every mid-late July (see 2017, 2019 etc), but is now the second July within 3 years not to feature this. Even last July's thundery plume was a lame effort that only grazed into the south coast (I got lucky), so I'll count it, but only just.
August has got some making up to do. And yes, I know I was one of the lucky ones who got great storms twice in May, before anyone points it outYeah man. Currently the quietest year I can remember for where I am. August/September have a lot to live up for to redeem this year.
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Through my experience, I USUALLY find that (in terms of basic convective weather) spring brings classic pulse showers and storms - quite weak. Summer also brings more pulse storms and also stronger larger scale systems - multicell and sometimes MCS type set ups. Autumn can bring pulse type showers, but also now squall line (QLCS) systems, usually along cold fronts and not very lightning prolific (with exceptions). Winter occasionally brings shower set ups, however most of the time the interest will be line convection (squalls) along cold fronts. There’s obviously overlap between seasons and exceptions with each, but through the course of the year, this is what I tend to see for convective activity and how it changes.
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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
I’m going on a trip to Scarborough this afternoon so I’ll see if anything interesting happens