[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Heads up Clacton, Burnham, Shoebury, Southend region etc.

Nice clump of showers heading directly for us in next 45 mins or so.

Should hit the Medway towns after that, as long as it keeps it track. Gaining intensity too

Cool - shame I'm in Colchester at the mo, but I can see the activity just to the east!

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

That line from Essex to IoW is likely to cause high level anxiety in some posters, Nick, depending on what part of Essex you start your pen from!

Surely it all depends on the wind direction? if it's from the NE then parts of Essex southwards into Kent, The Sussex's will be largely effected but slightly east of North east of this then maybe more inland areas of the above perhaps Suffolk, again a bit of radar watching will be needed.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

weather for this weekend looks like it is backtracking into a disappointment from what I have seen, reading posts and seeing TV forecasts - Saturday might see some convective showery stuff from the North sea and Sunday which is still up in the air looks like bringing only light snow inland and maybe sleety/rain nearer the coasts! - but who knows might all change.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

hi thunder123 - not sure if your in the right region? would Basingstoke come more under Central Southern England? but you can stay and watch what showers we do get!

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

patchy fine snow shower passing through here - another one of those damp cold evenings which feels like there is alot of moisture in the air temp: 0.6c dewpoint: -0.2c

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

the milder air is embedded within the easterly flow. It has gone south over the Med, then travelled north over E Europe and then westwards towards the UK. We are not within the 528 dam on Monday on this FAX: http://212.100.247.1...g?1262882087981

well looking at that nobody is, apart from Northern England and Scotland - all very disappointing no severe easterly there.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

looks like rain here on the coastal regions over the weekend - like to see where this milder air is coming from, I've heard people say the milder air is embedded - embedded from where? I cannot remember in previous history of easterlies producing rain on the coast (certainly not on the essex/suffolk coast) and snow inland! anybody have any thoughts?

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Hope so. Would tie in with the bbc forecast I saw earlier. Bring on the streamer! *prays to snow gods*

Very marginal for us over the weekend though (apparrantly) - could melt all our snow1

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

So we can expect rain rather than snow near the coast then over the weekend? so much for a severe cold spell, surely the continent with its associated snow cover will be cold enough to keep the lower surfaces cold enough for snow, can't remember to many instances over years gone by when we have had rain/sleet on the coast from an easterly and snow further inland - trying to think!

[General Model Output Discussion]

hi just looked at the gfs from the 10 to the 11 of jan if this happens they will have to call the army in!!

you have to the biggest ramper on here still gonna try to get to work on monday (as per your earlier post). Everychart you post is absolute snowaggedon, but no harm in a bit of fun.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Both GEM(DWD) and GFS in favour of the holy grail for us this weekend.

ECM normally in agreement with GEM.

Looking interesing and that is before tomorrow's dump from the NE!

Hope I'm wrong but going by that GFS 12z ppn chart you posted up 2mm is not a holy grail!

[General Model Output Discussion]

GFS ppn chart from the 12z forecast for Sunday only around 2mm on the East Coast with lesser totals inland - hardly anything to be concerned about?

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Still snowing here but somewhat lighter now - about an 1 hours worth so far!

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rmgfs873.gif

lol it makes it

is that only 1/2mm for the east coast for Sunday then - doesn't sound much?

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Been snowing here for 50 minutes now and have about an inch on the ground, temp:0.4C dew point: 0.0C - I reckon we got about 20 minutes left in this one.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Whilst its still not settling (and this is really getting on my nerves now!) here Upminster is that bit urther inland and thus you may see a good 3-5cms coming down in the space of the next 90 mins or so there, totals wil ldrop away greatly as you get clsoer to the coast...

I wonder whats happening in SE Essex right now and whether they are having the same issues as me with snow not settling...I'm guessing the ESE flow earlier rose temps higher then just inland by the Thames and this is still having an effect even though winds are shifting...

Snowing heavily at the moment KW, temp 0.5C dew point 0.3C - sorry to hear your misfortune, up to now the same as you - barely a cm.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

big big flakes the size of somebody with a bad scalp disorder - this is more like it, but wonder how long it will last here on the SE Essex coast, anybody care to enlighten me?

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Snow in Norwich in the end didn't amount to that much and thawed on concrete surfaces afterwards, though there has been very little thawing on the grass, where there is about 2-3cm. However, I'm aware that this is more than some people have got, plus of course we had 4-5 inches up in the Geordie heartlands of the North East.

There may be an increasing number of snow showers overnight as that NE'ly takes hold, leading up to some heavy and prolonged ones tomorrow by the looks of it.

TWS whats you view on the weekend for this region - I hear now that there might not be all that much convective stuff now but just light snow not really adding much? - have you any thoughts for the weekend. Cheers

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion]

Heavy snow here in Burnham - been like this for the last 10 mins adding a cover of almost a cm now!

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion XXXIV]

Yeah a constant stream of snow along the coast and staying just off the coast so I can watch and wave at it as it goes by and heads towards Kent (as per usual).

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion XXXIV]

holy camoly - it's started to snow, I count 5 or 6 flakes per minute! hmmmmm like little Lindt truffle size.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion XXXIV]

Saw the Look East forecast from that Julie bird and she said about a couple of cms of the ppn moving down from the north in an hour or so whilst tomorrow a little feature will move in from the NE over Norfolk and move southwards and there could be up to 5cms or so over our region (The National forecast at 13.25 said it was a feature they were keeping an 'eye on'). Not much mentioned about the weekend apart from an icy easterly.

Might get a cm out of that lot on the Costa Del Burnham then.

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion XXXIV]

Lol. Typical.

Well, well we have about m&m sized flakes coming down now. How exciting.

Nice my favourites! - anything on the radar which shows you might be in for a dumping (probably not as we are both in a snow free zone).

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion XXXIV]

Well as for Sat/sun stil lbig model uncertainty, the GFS is less keen then the UKMO/ECM but something to watch...

However I'm not at all happy with the set-up progged, looks to me like a light snowfall presistant snowfall set-up, which won't be good enough for coastal locations because the system that brings up the possible precip is a front that has some milder air embedded above it...should be good inland though IF it makes it!

Nick, yeah exactly but I feel really bad and unhappy for everyone else, esp the guys to my east who got far less then even me, it relaly has been a horrid spell of weather given everywhere else north, west and eventually south after this band slows right down...

As you say plenty more snow events to come but none really stand out for S.Essex, esp more western parts of the county which never ever do well from NE airflows.

Surely before or after that band of ppn gets on the shores of southern England we will see showery activity on the windward coastal regions? - why is nothing becoming straight forward in regards to set-ups, where has this milder embedded air come from?

Sorry about the Spanish inquisition but just when you think you might have some synoptics that will suit your location then yet another problem crops up!

[East Anglia & South East Cold Spell Discussion XXXIV]

Our country isn't exactly big yet it is unbelievable what variations we have in snowfall from area to area, and seems strange about the dew points being below zero yet getting a thaw? - I too would swap this troughy nonsense fro some god old power house convectivity off the North Sea but saying that Burnham would still miss out due to the wind not quite being in the right direction or for some reason or another - whinge over!