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Michael Fishermans Friend

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Posts posted by Michael Fishermans Friend

  1. I think his summer forecast wasn't to bad, although the flooding aspect was never experienced. Also I think he is a growing number of LRF forecasters attributing solar and gulf impacts into the equation, as for the October snow yes he has bent the truth somewhat there. Personally the longer this mild weather continues the greater chance of seeing colder conditions into winter but thats just going by the law of sequence.

  2. Incredibly dry here - without much mention on national forecasts, infact probably the driest I've ever seen it at this time of year but if the models are to be believed with that large block over western russia/scandanavia we will soon be under the influence of low pressure in the next week and once it starts (rain) after such a period without much precipitation at this time of year it's sods law we'll get nothing else but rain for weeks so make the most of this weekend.

  3. Incredibly dry here - hardly any mention on the beeb about the continued drought in the south east as the temps are taking all the headlines! I walked alongside a just recently ploughed field yesterday, it was like a dust bowl, tumble weed on it and more like a scene from 1976 than autumn. With all this sunshine and continued dryness all the leaves will be down come November. Looking at the models even though it does look like becoming more unsettled towards mid-week the rainfall totals will be pretty small I reckon.

  4. I reckon somebody at the Express has meteorology as a hobby, maybe the editor? It seems 9/10 it is the Daily Express with these wild headlines based just on long range forecasts. The chances of November and December being similar to last year to me is pretty remote although December over the last decade or so has proved to be the coldest month anomoly wise.

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  5. Be interesting to see if this will be our last shot (currently) at a cold spell with some snow before the winters out, going by the GFS all the wintry stuff will be further north after the weekend. Not sure how I will mark this winter in regards to other winters but obviously will be in the cold category but nothing untowards if we were still in the 80's although this is not the case for Scotland. Very similar I'd say to 1984/85 with 2 cold spells and snow, well in these parts.

  6. Can't see snow for southern parts of the UK from that, lower air will be modified to much by the time it reaches these parts even though the uppers are reasonable. For Scotland, N Ireland and Northern England could have a good spell of wintry conditions, but feeling a little short changed at the moment over the supposed Wintry North Easterly which is now getting more and more 'watered down', so much that nobody is even mentioning it now.

  7. TheGFS looks to be all over the place at the moment! - what ever happenend to the influence of the Siberian/Scandy high that it showed for quite a few runs a couple of days ago, it now seems to have vanished. So far this winter the GFS has performed very poorly and I really take evrything it shows outide +72/96HRS with a large pinch of salt!

  8. Doesn't look likely at the moment, the cluster of snizzle looks like it's decaying over the North Sea.

    Have to agree - those 2 blobs would have almost gone by the time it gets to blighty, looks like the show is over, good job we had that trough yesterday afternoon otherwise it would have left alot of people putting the rope up!

  9. temps going up here as well now at 0.3c and little in the way of ppn but quite grey, wind at about 12/13mph from the NE - the beeb are expecting upto 10cms tonight in this region and possibly upto 20cms on the downs but largely stated tonight.

    yeah same here, although the snow is topping up its melting underneath, currently 2.4c

    what are your dewpoints?

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