Noctilucid
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Posts posted by Noctilucid
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It's got potential to get lively.... still developing on radar. I'm watching it live-time on Highways Agency video from the southern section of the M11..... nothing like 'virtual' storm chasing, eh?!!
Absolutely, but not now as I have a good clear view of the base of it moving off the my NNE.
And certainly looks like rain curtains through the gloom, I'd imagine the Brentwood area is getting a good deluge at present.
The base was quite well backlit because of clearer skies to its North, but that has been shrouded now.
Eyes peeled for lightning.
Its certainly developing, looks very menacing now. Fair amount of scud hanging from the cloud base.
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Yup, there's some genuine stuff on radar developing right now into that part of Essex. Diurnal showers for now (as opposed to the main action later) but they've got potential to go skywards pretty quickly, as you've clearly noted beneath one of them!
Thanks for that, and indeed the rain has become moderate now and its intensyfying.
Currently right under quite a heavy looking cloud base but its all beginning to move North Eastwards towards Brentwood/Billericay.
Just saw a brave soul passing by in a microlight.
And now the rain is easing, very weak feature but a moment of interest nonetheless.
Some fairly substantial high based congesting cumulus following on behind.
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Pooring here,large drops
pretty quick convection.
Very dark in your direction.
The air feels like soup now, and the swallows and bugs are out in masses, ducking and weaving, which is always a sign.
And here come the big drops.
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Quite a large developing updraft base to my South West now, very dark and well defined. Certainly looks capable of producing sporadic lightning. Keeping my eyes and ears peeled.
Thing is its embedded into a cover of mid level cloud, making it hard to see how tall the updrafts are.
Unfortunately they aren't on the plains..up in the NE, Iowa,Indiana, Illinois area.. Hope they get some decent terrain...
Oops, a chance of hills and trees in the way then? Sorry I didn't know.
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Somewhat more substantial cumulus now, and its rather gloomy to my SW and W.
And good luck over on the plains. :unsure:
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The convection I mentioned previously is looking rather flat and uninspiring at present. Then again the forecast for the South East is for imported storms and instability later with the potential for home grown storms being further North so its hardly suprising.
Healthy cumulus field across Northern France, tonights imported storms may well grow out of that in an hour or two.
Interesting to note the wind is pretty Westerly here. :unsure:
OT: but I'm looking for a French website which is a big public gallery of storm photographs uploaded daily, I've forgotten the name of it. If anyone could link me to it I'd be very greatful.
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Some fairly solid high based convection getting going to my South already, a combination of high based cumulus and castellanus. Although something is holding it back at present, but I'm sure as conditions change with dropping pressure and rising temps and dew points then some potential will be realised.
What is worrying is the considerable Easterly element these clouds have to their movemnt at present, but this too is likely to change later before a Westerly change moves in tomorrow morning.
The clouds at present appear to be capped and are pushing out a layer of outflow at mid level, hopefully this won't cut off insolation later on. Although saying that the instability is not near the boundary layer from what I've read and so heating of the ground is less important.
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We could do with less of this deliberate bias and provocative behavior please, you're spoiling my lurking of this thread.
May I take this opportunity to remind you that you cannot wish the weather to change, and so there is no point in deliberately twisting things either way. Scientists have allegedly been deliberately twisting things and look at the mess thats got us into, but thats a different teapot of crabs.
Sorry to take this thread further off topic, but it really does need to stop, remember that not so well informed members such as me like to read this thread for its detailed and interesting forecasts, and it becomes very confusing when there is one camp celebrating an impending heatwave and another talking of a chilly northerly, both camps resorting to excessive straw clutching at times.
Thank you.
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I notice that my local BBC forecast has gone from thundery showers to heavy showers... looks like storms are back on then!
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I know, i know
but since i started to follow to be interested in this early last year, i haven't had a decent storm. At it seems that they don't happen anymore, i remember when i was younger i would wake up to loud thunder and frequent lightening during the night. That wasn't long ago as i'm 16 but storm potential has seemed to have gotten worse since then Oh yus, I remember storms in the 90s that would start as I went to bed and would still be going in the morning.
I've noticed more of an Easterly shift in recent years, I remember back in 2005 where a Cold Front or trough would set up over the West country and move East and multicell storms would move NE wards through Hampshire way. Now everything seems to brush just a few miles East of here.
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Okay thanks mate
Don't count on that though! Its all still quite up in the air. :lol:
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Bit overwhelmed with the amount of discussion in this thread!
So, can anyone give me a simple-ish explanation on what's going to be occurring over the weekend storm wise? Noticed MCS's have been mention, where about' so far are these forecast to pop up?
Sorry if this is an annoying post, i'm knew to this having become interested in storms properly last year and find it difficult to read the data etc. Learning a lot from you guys just by reading the thread, although most of it goes over my head
Cheers.
The usual suspects Kent, East Sussex, Surrey, Greater London, Essex, Suffolk and Norfolk are most at risk from imports by the looks of things, I'm afraid Stevenage might find things brushing to its East. :lol:
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We should be worried, when the BBC start forecasting storms... they don't happen. :lol:
So as usual in summer the storms are going to be riding along linear features such as a trough or a developing cold front, so those who do find themselves under the main event tomorrow night and Sunday morning will be under it for a while.
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not another dead year for Thunderstorms for most B)
Certainly not for everyone though, last year I had a run of 7 weeks where thunder was heard on at least one day.
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I don't see why heavy thundery stuff would be particularly bad prior to the next steady rain.
Because not everybody is lucky enough to find themselves under a storm I suppose.
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Theres bound to be one or two unexpected local features, sea breeze fronts, convergence or forcing from hills, I reckon at least a very local area will get a good drenching at some point, rather like today.
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Under a train of very heavy downpours at the moment, trust the only significant precipitation in Westen Europe to be over my head, while I'm out walking.
Some interesting turbulent skies however.
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Extremely heavy rain here, possibly of the convective variety? :lol:
Some mighty impressive multicell activity built up over Belgium and the Southern Netherlands, for this time of year anyway.
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Good Morning...
Radar suggests some very heavy rain between 7:45 and 8:45 over Cornwall earlier as an occluded front crossed the region. Perhaps the land mass caused orographic forcing of very moist air. Lets hope there isn't flash flooding in the valleys but I wouldn't be suprised if we heard that kind of news soon!
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Just seen some lightning - possibly over the Thurrock area of Essex? Its in the direction of the Dartford Bridge I think...
Saw a flash in that direction too.
Can see the back edge of the anvil hanging over NW Kent, blue skies approaching here now. It all moved through rather quick.
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Brightening to the South but very dark to the E and West, we've gone through a gap. :lol:
Lots of scud around.
The cloud mass above my head just literally seemed to evapourate into hazy skies.
T'is funny how quickly it can go from muggy dull weather to blustery bright weather, still very dark to the East though.
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Rainy and getting oh so dark here.
EDIT: And now the sudden onset of torrential rain, the cloud is really ripping up from the South with a lot of scud.
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Afternoon...
The storm seasons back and so so am I.
One of those storm days that creeps up on you rather than one you anticipate for weeks.
Very dark with fast moving low clouds about theres been rain on and off already with some of it quite heavy at times, theres been evidence of some decent mid level instability for a few days too in the form of Altocumulus.
The southerly/ SErly breeze is beginning to pcik up now too.
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Blizzard in NE London.
but since i started to follow to be interested in this early last year, i haven't had a decent storm. At it seems that they don't happen anymore, i remember when i was younger i would wake up to loud thunder and frequent lightening during the night. That wasn't long ago as i'm 16 but storm potential has seemed to have gotten worse since then 
Convective Outlook
in Storms & Severe Weather
Posted
Now I've noticed rather vigourous convection to West and South West, in towards the city centre, looks very dark down there which would explain the reports of heavy rain in West London.