SnowBear

There is now a definite turn South East towards Morocco as that Atlantic front advances ever eastwards.

To be honest I think Vince will struggle to make an Iberian landfall, looking at the Sat loop this morning and its turned due east as that front approaches across the Atlantic. To me anyway looking more like a North Africa landfall http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-tim...visirjava2.html

No worries Darkman Somewhere I read that hurricane force winds only reach about 15nm from the centre and tropical force 80nm....cant find where I read it again now though sorry A rather special little guy really I kinda think landfall somewhere on the Iberian landmass, probably not at hurricane strength though, but then with this little one, who knows!

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-tim...visirjava2.html Satellite sequence there Darkman, is pretty cool

Roger, NOAA are saying it has a hurricane status They have estimated 995mb, with 65kt winds. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/091500.shtml :unsure: Edited: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATC...ml/092055.shtml New Hurricane Vince discussion at NOAA TCP Edited II: Cracking view/loop here of it http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-tim...visirjava2.html

Whats that sposed to mean ?

Actually, I am looking back on records now, in 1883, a hurricane came across the UK, with sustained windspeeds of 92mph, in 1922 one passed Southern Ireland with winds of 81mph, these were though USA hurricanes which crossed the Atlantic and not formed and remained on the Eastern side of the Atlantic. The track of Vince is not one I can match to any, though a few TS's have formed but faded slightly further south.

This little thing was shown on the model Mondy (I think it was) on the Future Developments thread with the possible multiple landfalls in the USA. The model had this one spinning up the coast of Africa. If the guiding winds are right, and the approaching fronts are advancing right, it is quite possible for this to happen albeit very rarely. I have no doubts this has happened before, just before any records we have to date. A rarety indeed! The way this one is able to become a hurricane is a little unclear, being over cooler water etc, but, just shows we dont know it all yet :unsure:

Great account there Stu!! Some experience eh???

Thanks Mondy Had that one for quite a while now, was looking more for central Louisiana area, havent heard much how they fared that way yet as most seem to be focusing on New Orleans, Galveston, Houston and the eye landfall areas.. Here's some interesting info, someone asked earlier in the week whether its recorded that 2 high Cat hurricanes have steamed through the Gulf before, well, yes they have, 2 in 1915, both Cat 4's and 6 weeks apart, one hitting Houston area, the other...New Orleans. Source http://www.cnn.com/2005/TECH/science/09/23...ycle/index.html

Hiya Kold, good shout on the path and landfall of this one, well done :lol: I am watching KHOU and the choppers are in the air over Galveston area, very little damage which is great news there. Not sure if anyone has a TV news feed for Baton Rouge and Lafayette area please ?

Hurricane Rita is nowhere near the UK Pompey, it will be absorbed or dissipate long before it gets to our shores. At the moment (but not for long) it is still a Cat 1 hurricane but is weakening and falling apart quickly now it is over land.

Seeing some of the reports of damage on KHOU.com tv now. Galveston Island, I think the damage to some of those buildings are more from possible tornadoes rather than just the hurricane winds itself, one building severely damaged yet surrounding buildings very little damage. Be interesting to see the footage from the air when they get the choppers up to see if there are any tracks of severe damage.

http://www.khou.com/weather/localradars.html KHOU.com radars

http://www.wwltv.com/weather/pinpoint-640a.html One for New Orleans

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/shv_N0Z_lp.shtml That one is working for now, some have had down time, due to power outages I guess

What I want to know is why I had the Louisiana town name Lafayette on my mind for most of the week before this.

The other thing is timing I think, Rita has made landfall in the middle of our night, also, with N.O. many were watching as it wasnt known if the levee's would hold. I think if Rita was hitting closer to Houston more would be here.

I'm here

Sorry, thought your post was partly in reply to mine with the "so what" in quotation marks flagpole. So through common courtesy I replied Was no upset intended

flagpole, they were saying yesterday as the leveee broke, on...cant remember which news feed, think I had about 10 running at one point! the Ninth Ward is almost 100% destroyed from Katrina, what they didnt want was new breaks elsewhere to create new damage in the parts of the city which didnt get damaged by Katrina.

Agree with you there Adi, they were saying on a US news feed just after Katrina what if another strike, they pretty much shrugged and said so what, dont matter as damage is already done. Now, we have almost all the gulf coast from Florida through to SE Texas damaged in some form or another. A huge coast line and land area.

Everyone gone to sleep then ? lol

seen the next frame, not due north, but it is slightly more towards the north, target if it carried on now in a straight line would be right on the TX/LA border I think.

Errrrm, dunno, 2/3/4 depending if it can reform so close in, time and conditions now are not really there to reform to a high 4 or 5 I doubt, could be a high 3, still bad enough with the storm surge and rainfall rate thats now built up. Really want to see the next sat image to see this as a true turn north and not just another wobble. I think it is because the whole hurricane has moved north unlike earlier when only the eye was moving north within the system.