SnowBear

That would equate to roughly 80mph at surface ?

Mondy, is that flight level wind speed ?

Latest recon 000 URNT12 KNHC 201216 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 20/12:03:50Z B. 23 deg 43 min N 080 deg 20 min W C. 850 mb 1309 m D. 55 kt E. 113 deg 056 nm F. 186 deg 069 kt G. 110 deg 044 nm H. 985 mb I. 14 C/ 1526 m J. 21 C/ 1524 m K. 17 C/ NA L. OPEN S M. E220/50/40 N. 12345/ 8 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF300 1018A RITA OB 07 MAX FL WIND 69 KT E QUAD 11:50:20 Z 69kt is approx 79mph at flight level, still under hurricane status at sea level at under 70mph or so. Edit>>> it equates to approx 71mph at surface.

It all goes on the Greek alphabet Storm/Hurricane-Alpha Storm/Hurricane-Beta and so on

Well, overnight it has carried on forward in its general w/nw motion so I am guessing the slight w/sw turn was a migration of the centre further west as it did earlier in its track. Very interesting in how the system seems to be having trouble building, hovering just below hurricane status as Ophelia did for some time.

The centre is forming a little further west than I expected, day or so ago it was hopping about quite a bit hence my thought on the east coast of FL. Does look like a shot straight through the Straits now though unless it keeps the turn to the wsw as it seems to have done at least on EOTS. If it keeps as is now, it will hit or sideswipe Cuba. I am not really sure if it is a true turn wsw on the track or just the centre still hopping about within the system as it migrates within the convection while organising itself into a true hurricane and the models adjusting with the general forward motion being w/nw. If it has turned slightly wsw, I can see Havana taking a hit, and then on to....huh, could be anywhere between Corpus Christi and TX/LA border, if it goes across the Keys, hmmmm, maybe the high pressure over LA will be enough to hold the storm at bay and push it round away from New Orleans this time, but the target area I feel will be between Houston and Baton Rouge. Waiting game for now to see exactly how Rita fares and emerges into the Gulf I think as right now are so many variables.

Sure looks like it! If it is, I would destroy it

Hmmm, what do you see on that Levi cam which in the UK would be unusual? Traffic.....Moving!!

Activity level 10 right now, possibly peeps will see some tonight http://www.sec.noaa.gov/pmap/

Looks like a form of Buddlia?

Hmmm, check out Physalis, also known as Cape Gooseberry or Chinese Lantern. If it is, dont let it get in the garden, its known to spread rapidly!

Ummmm, not too sure ! At first I thought it was a Malope, but, found all this lot from the same family too ! http://www.malvaceae.info/ Possibly one of the Lavatera group? A weed though is only a weed when not wanted

No probs here with the thread or page refreshing

how niw can forecast the UK going to get the remnants of Katrina at this stage, I dont know, too many variables, too many what if's and maybe's.

Latest Recon 000 URNT12 KNHC 291142 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 29/11:32:30Z B. 29 deg 21 min N 089 deg 35 min W C. 700 mb 2413 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 139 deg 127 kt G. 051 deg 036 nm H. 921 mb I. 9 C/ 3043 m J. 17 C/ 3045 m K. 16 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C25 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 2 nm P. AF306 2112A KATRINA OB 14 MAX FL WIND 134 KT E QUAD 10:13:20 Z EYEWALL STRUCTURE WEAKENING IN SOUTH

Latest Recon 000 URNT12 KNHC 291113 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 29/10:55:10Z B. 29 deg 11 min N 089 deg 37 min W C. 700 mb 2411 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 006 deg 088 kt G. 261 deg 040 nm H. 925 mb I. 11 C/ 3050 m J. 18 C/ 3049 m K. 17 C/ NA L. CLOSED WALL M. C22 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF300 2212A KATRINA OB 03 MAX FL WIND 88 KT W QUAD 10:43:30 Z

Latest Recon 000 URNT12 KNHC 291015 VORTEX DATA MESSAGE A. 29/10:02:00Z B. 28 deg 59 min N 089 deg 36 min W C. 700 mb 2381 m D. NA kt E. NA deg nm F. 098 deg 109 kt G. 349 deg 035 nm H. 918 mb I. 11 C/ 3047 m J. 18 C/ 3050 m K. 15 C/ NA L. CLOSED M. C25 N. 12345/ 7 O. 0.02 / 1 nm P. AF306 2112A KATRINA OB 08 MAX FL WIND 128 KT NE QUAD 08:57:50 Z

Its a combination of factors I think, storm is huge in size, its now had drag effect from land for many hours, its a testament to its strength to how long its kept its structure with that drag, plus, a dry air feed was pulled in from land some hours ago into the south west of the storm and that has destablised the western part of the storm. As they are saying on wwltv, its only a few mph less, its not going to make much difference to the damage caused, maybe a slightly lower storm surge. Not sure where FOX news is getting their info from, but doppler radar and local eye witness reports say the eye wall is on land near Venice LA.

Would be ranked 3rd most intense at landfall Unnamed-1935 892mb Camille-1969 909mb Katrina-2005 915mb Preliminary Andrew-1992 922mb

I think, its just touched land http://weather.wwltv.com//auto/wwltv/radar...LIX19&type=loop

Guy on wwltv just said it "could" reintensify slightly, I personally dont feel it will, but, who knows with these things!

the ParadeCAM is live streaming from Fat Harry's http://www.nola.com/bourbocam/other_media/...t_paradecam.ssf

paradeCAM back on now http://www.nola.com/paradecam/

Well, just lost the paradeCAM I was watching in the centre of New Orleans, so power has gone.

Its pulling in dry air on the western side creating the opening on the Sw part of the eye, along with the drag on the northern side from land, hmm, I can see it maintaining this strength, but chances and conditions to increase again are fast dropping away even with the warm water close inshore I think.