To be fair, when Stephen gets excited about a run will be the time to evacuate the country!! (in jest ;-) ) quote of the day
The model wobbles i have observed over the past few days have reminded me of feb 2003 when GFS didnt nail the snow then until 72hrs before it happened.Lesson i have learnt after 12 years model watching is dont compare each GFS run to the last compare the 06Z (example) to the next 06Z.In my opinion from models i have seen there is something on the horizon cold wise how long and how snowy i would say be nailed by wednesday earliest