swfc
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Posts posted by swfc
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5 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:
The 12z EC has a Scandi high in the making at day 10...
totally different to this mornings run,...a trend?
Its quite a large change from this morning. Would 48/72 hrs be more of a trend
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Well Sheffield has just had its wettest October for over 130 years
. Could find november none to dry also. 
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Sheffield just had its wettest October for over 130 years
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10 minutes ago, SqueakheartLW said:
In other words an average winter expected
Its not only a fence outlook but its been creosoted
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Gfs 12z looks like a bog standard autumnal outlook. Whether there are any synoptics well into november or Dec on the ec etc best keep that powder dry and stick with the reliable time frames
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All things considered today the nhp is
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1 hour ago, northwestsnow said:
Continues to look horribly wet.
Is it too early for a moaning thread
Im in Nw
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Evening. Ten days or so ago the nhp looked full of heights to the nne. The switch as been flicked and the pv has woken. Not a great week ten days ie rain amounts ete but not long fetch sw winds. Hopefully November will bring a change ie meto longrange
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5 minutes ago, Mark Bayley said:
Really pepping up across Sheffield and not really relenting across Chesterfield. Must be on the edge of having warranted a red warning, especially Chesterfield?
Says levels dropping on the don in Sheffield, very confusing
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1 hour ago, johnholmes said:
Don't wish for that-by the time the 3 rivers combine into the Don and it gets here things get pretty scary for a lot of folks.
According to the uk. Gov site john the levels are dropping which is odd given the rain is falling still and all the catchment areas???
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Good morning. Looking at nhp and synoptics on offer heading to late October im struggling to see any concerns are merited atm. Eqbo on the cards, nao app going neutral into november. What is shown on the Mo is subject to huge swings has shown with the retrogression runs towards greendland earliee in the week.
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Looking into october i really like the projected look at the nhp especially to our nne. Granted 7 days is a long time on thevMo but nor really your bog standard west to east patterns
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On 22/09/2023 at 19:03, Don said:
Well, there's a surprise!
On a more serious note, the chances of a record breaking warm autumn must be gathering apace now?!
Yes don i think you may be correct there. The build of our old friend the euro high may be ready to pounce
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4 hours ago, Mike Poole said:
Looks very good to me, obviously the high pressure over Greenland is there, but the lower pressure to our south and southeast are also a really good sign - the latter more so on this model than the ECM we were looking at a few days ago.
GloSea6 next up…
When is it due out Mike? Tia
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5 hours ago, Bradowl said:
Feels more like winter than summer today, heavy rain and a quite cool 13'c.
Pity those holidaying here in UK with this weather, next week looks unsettled too.
Well im off tp see nile rodgers and chic on monday in Bridlington. Couple of days there and weather looks shocking. Thank the lord for pubs
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7 minutes ago, Snowmaggedon said:
Now here comes the melt.
App - 10 tonight and snow tom here. Milder sunday and cold monday next week. Bank
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Snow starting to become light here. 26 hours snow and 12/13 inch on back gardens. Not bad
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13" on my back garden. Not seen any of the strong wind really
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2 minutes ago, Craigers said:
So radar is lieing. Its gone lighter???????
Light here in Sheffield
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6 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:
Band has more or less flattened and is merging with our current stuff.
Radar shows Sheffield about to get hit.
Very light snow tbh
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48 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:
Some more great news from the MAD thread: Operational runs always underestimate the likelihood/resilience of Scandi highs.
Tbh Ed if we lower the bar any lower wel be drinking a pint on floor! Barring a short snap in December it's been bang average unless frost floats your boat.
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1 hour ago, Mike Poole said:
Apart from it’s freezing cold outside and has been all week?
Yes, no snow for most, I get it!
No clear signal from the ECM clusters, T192-T240:
There’s the +NAO one in cluster 2, but the others have some amplification upstream, and lower heights Europe, no clearer on this timeframe.
T264+:
Varyingly successful attempts to build heights into scandi on the first three, Atlantic ridge the result on the fourth.
Yes it has been freezing but its January. I'm with you on cold weather but its debatable if its worth the gas bills without snow imo
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9 hours ago, northwestsnow said:
GFS and garden path spring to mind.
Still, we got to hope!!
Your correct pal. Ssw mjo etc been touted after Xmas into the new year and beyond. Be knocking on Feb soon and nothing changes really
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3 minutes ago, Purga said:
And 12z is atrocious
It's seems a rinse and repeat story. At least it's dry but that said pretty naff in my opinion
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Winter 2023/24 - Discussions & Forecasts
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
I dont think any comment in regard to any forecast is knee jerk. Obviously if its minus 20 outside and snowing with a siberian high mild ssw spell isnt imminent. The meto forcast eb and flow line the longerange ec etc. Looking at the output in november it looks unsettled for most. Pretty normal in November but stressing over outlooks into the core of winter is a waste of energy and sanity. Enjoy your sunday
