Typhoon John
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Posts posted by Typhoon John
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This is Durham weather station located at Durham University Observatory. It's an automated station for the Met Office and is about a 5 min walk from my house. I think it's pretty well sited. The stevenson screen of the White rectangle on the lawn; I think rainfall is recorded too.
http://maps.google.co.uk/?ie=UTF8&ll=54.767938,-1.585926&spn=0.001382,0.004128&t=h&z=19
And there are some photos here that I took of it in January:
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There are some bewildering comments in this thread.
Regardless of where data or analysis comes from it should be rigorously challenged from all sectors; there's too many people who simply accept what they are told as fact. It's what makes a healthy scientific community and imo anyone who thinks otherwise is missing the point.
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Does anyone have the rainfall total for Durham City so far this month? I'm curious to know the exact figure. I've heard locally that last Friday alone recorded 120mm.
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I had an experience like that flying back from Toronto last year, I'd say similar frequency to to the storm shown. What made it even better was that it was dark and the lightning looked stunning rippling through the thunderheads. It lasted about 45 minutes to an hour as we flew out towards the Atlantic. I tried to record it but sadly with the light in the cabin and darkness outside it didn't really work but certainly an unforgettable experience all the same.
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Looks like it's died as it tried to move inland away from the area of better Cape/LI.
Here's the accumilated rainfall over NE England for Thursday and Friday, using the Netweather radars accumilation feature...
Thursday
Friday
Certainly was a fun drive home through plenty of floods. Took a slight detour to Allensford near Consett where the river had burst it's banks, the roads around there were only just passable and the car park started filling up fast while I was in it! The main road into Lanchester was also badly flooded in a few places. Pleased my car got a good clean
Looks like a great day for some further south, with around 11,000 strikes on the Netweather detector today. Hope everyone had fun
While we had a lot of rain I can't believe we had 200mm which according to that map is what I've been under all day. I could imagine 100mm is credible so the widespread area of 120mm is probably quite accurate.
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That storm is moving very slowly southwest,looks to be feeding off some decent cape and li
It looks like it's going to hit me head on, but I would expect it to weaken considerably just in that short distance.
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Well, what a day.
Our river has burst its banks and submerged the entire first floor of the riverbank offices and one hotel. The porch roof of our house has collapsed, and we now have leaks in both of our bedrooms.
Just been passed the Wear at Milburngate. From the brief view I got it looked like around a 10 year high for the river (summer and winter). Perhaps the rain of 2000/2002 (can't remember the year) is comparable.
It looked to be well up the railings upstream from the weir at Milburngate which suggests a huge depth.
And I've heard locally that we had 100mm in Durham City, can anyone give me an accurate number?
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10 flood warnings in the north east. 13 areas in flood watch, but I would expect allot more soon as the water makes it way off the hills.
The rivers in Durham City are already in flood.
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Rain still hammering down in County Durham. Lots of localised flooding with road closures.
The River Wear and River Browney have both burst their banks at Durham City although the flooding is nothing special at the moment. I imagine other local rivers are similar.
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Just posted this in general weather chat:
Very heavy rain during the night and again this morning. Very dark outside.
I drove through 4 floods on the way to work and it's still chucking it down. I didn't think it would be so bad, the rain we've had this week must have really saturated the ground as it's pouring off the fields.
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Very heavy rain during the night and again this morning. Very dark outside.
I drove through 4 floods on the way to work and it's still chucking it down. I didn't think it would be so bad, the rain we've had this week must have really saturated the ground as it's pouring off the fields.
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http://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/Seasonal...30DaySOIValues/
Is La Nina set to return?
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Yes, I accept that maintenance is planned, but it involves the need for back up generation, just like no wind power in still weather? Generators must break down sometimes as well? I don't see wind power become the main power source in this country, or even a large percentage, is anyone advocating that?
It seems to me the major problem with tidal is that everything has to be engineered to be salt water proof - it's corrosive stuff.
The Government's low carbon report out this week calls for 30% from renewables by 2020 and it suggests that will be achieved using wind. There is money allocated for tidal and geothermal but it's for advancing/exploring the technology. And while I agree tidal is hardly straight forward, the problems associated with it can be overcome, whereas we can't create the wind.
Perhaps I am worrying too much but I think an over reliance on wind is a serious vulnerability, I'm yet to see evidence that suggests otherwise.
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Is the answer that there isn't a 100% reliable power source? All power stations have down time - and since a lot of power stations are big when they are being serviced a lot of power is being lost?. With windmills it seems to me unless a vast Anticyclone is over the UK the wind will be blowing somewhere.
The difference is you can plan maintenance across the network where as you can't plan with any certainty based on the weather and even if conditions are only right for a short time it will still cause disruption. I'm not saying no to wind - off shore in the right places it makes more sense - but the more of it you have the more vulnerable you are at the worst possible time and at the moment the strategy seems to be wind wind wind. And that's before you consider the impact on the local environment.
I'd rather see investment in improving tidal systems as the tides and therefore the power output are predictable. I feel the chances of the sea freezing are relatively slim.
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There's one huge problem with wind turbines that never gets mentioned.
Cold still air.
If we have 20% of our energy coming from wind and we have conditions like January this year we will loose 20% of our capacity to make energy. That means that we still need to be able to generate 100% of our energy from sources other than wind. Or are we going to have forecasts of blackouts everytime the forecast is for a cold high?
I'd love to know the answer to this question, I'm yet to see anyone address the issue.
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You have to wonder if a deep solar min in general reduces SST so that a slightly positive AMO becomes neutral and a neutral AMO becomes negative etc. And the same for the PDO and strength of el nino/la ninas. It's not disrupting the cycle as such it's just moving the goal posts slightly lower. I suspect it maybe be what kills off this el nino and reduces its affect on the atmosphere.
All just speculation of course!
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Some subtle changes this morning around the rain for the North East on the GFS. The duration has increased but I would say overall it's less intense. Even so it shows higher rainfall totals than it did last night.
I notice that the UKMO and therefore the BBC are keeping the heaviest rain in the North Sea.
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I'm looking forward to this rain, I'm always up for extreme weather events.
I notice the models still keep the heaviest rain in the North Sea as it moves through the North East although it's obviously still going to be very wet. But I wouldn't be surprised to see it back a little bit further West and hit us head on. Even so I think the flooding risk in my area will still be minimal.
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Reasonably frequent lightning here and loud thunder, with mostly some CC's and a couple of CG's before the main cloud canopy came over.
The rain is heavy, but not torrential. Oh, and I have bloody headache.
Indeed, I thought I could walk home from Durham before it hit, big mistake! Maybe it's because everything I was wearing is now wet but I would have said the rain was definitely torrential at times.
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17.4 please
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Looks like i'm going to be in the no storms club for a little while longer, an easterly is the worse possible direction for storms.
What would you say is the optimal setup for storms here in the NE?
The only thunder I've heard here in Durham in recent years has been from thunder snow.
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Well it's still sleepy really. This months activity will be comparable to November 2008 however November had bigger more prolonged spots so it could be argued that activity was more vigorous then. Either way the minimum should soon be confirmed at around the turn of the year as counting all these specks will push the smoothed SSN up. Now the next question will be is the SSN going to increase but the size and contrast of the spots going to decline? At the moment it looks like yes but there is a long way to go; L&P still on track.
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It could be worse.
You could be living in Tyne&Wear east of the pennines, i.e. the most thunder-free location in the whole UK.
I should move, but quite frankly I cannot afford to leave my parents' house.
You can see the Durham affect in action this afternoon on the net weather radar. The heavy downpours are forming to the West, splitting and moving North or South around Durham as they gradually head East.
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Putting aside the doubts over the validity of the article, it says the odds are 1 in 100 million. Presumably that would be over the course of a lifetime. But considering the billions of people on the planet and only one other case of a human being hit, surely basic maths would say the odds are much longer?
Solar and Aurora Activity Chat
in Space, Science & nature
Posted
And the (adjusted) solar flux rose since January it's started to decline again. However I don't expect the SSN to do the same and I expect we have seen the real start of the new cycle, even though it may be stuttering.