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crimsone

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Everything posted by crimsone

  1. crimsone
    Needed a red warning for N. Ireland and an Amber for coastal Wales last night rather than this morning. N. Ireland needed the red simply because the Irish border doesn't stop the weather and it seemed, frankly, odd... but I can accept that amber should have been warning enough given a comment about seriousness (though, what's the point of a red warning if you never use it?). It was reasonably clear that the Pembrokeshire coast at least was reasonably likely to take a battering today though. I suspect it's not entirely the Met Offices fault though. Amber triggers contingency/emergency planning, and there seems to be a culture of disincentive in the UK when it comes to things like that.
  2. crimsone
    I fell off the top wall at age 8 - luckily, onto the flat side. Smashed my face in the concrete and had to be rushed to surgery. Spent a goot number of hours fishing off that structure (or rather, my parents did. I got bored). The whole coast around there is immense though. Between there and Witches Point are where I learned to respect the sea.
  3. crimsone
    The Jetty at Porthcawl is always one to behold, especially with its little lighthouse on the end. It almost never gets the worst of any weather that's about, but it's often spectacular because it acts as a breakwater protecting the beach nearby (at low tide, you can walk the expanse between the two) .
  4. crimsone
    Irish ingenuity, there...
  5. crimsone
    959mb? That wasn't on the fax chart!
  6. crimsone
    Just had a friend post a photo from Eastbourne. Lovely blue skies over there. Quite summery, in fact. There's a certain amount of cognitive dissonance in trying to picture the weather as a whole across the British Isles at the moment.
  7. crimsone
    Breeze is really picking up in Coventry now. I just saw a weed in the patio move a little. Ruined my calm, that did. Seriously though - There are people in Ireland who'd kill for this level of calm right now. The contrast is amazing.
  8. crimsone
    This is what a post-nuclear-war climate might look like. I mean, after the soot's cleared. Positively surreal.
  9. crimsone
    Been yellow here in Coventry for hours. Now its turned an eerie red, with nothing but a light breeze on the ground as the clouds aloft zoom by.
  10. crimsone
    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/17L/flash-rbtop-short.html ... and a small movie showing a couple of loops for future reference... (please excuse the naming. It is actually the RBTOP loop, not the Rainbow.) Ophelia ExTrop Rainbow.mov
  11. crimsone
    When in doubt, go to the storm floater and check the forecast point box. She looks on-course to me. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/17L/html5-vis-short.html
  12. crimsone
    ... and there you go... So... it's clear that the Met Office, at this stage, doesn't think a significant impact anywhere in Wales is likely enough to warrant an Amber warning.
  13. crimsone
    I could concede that am Amber warning from the Met could be equivalent to the red warning from Eireann... different assessment thresholds for both likelihood and impact in the different warning systems could be a thing... ... but that tweet about issuing the Amber warning for Wales leaves me wondering whether such a warning exists but is somehow not showing, or doesn't exist and has been mis-reported. It's gone from a Yellow warning to Schrodingers Amber.
  14. crimsone
    Still early enough to get the local authorities on the task, so at least something could come from it... if such a warning gets out.
  15. crimsone
    I'd argue that point with them, but as they've been good enough to talk to me, I'd like not to annoy them ~too~ much. I've just informed them that I can't see their amber alert on their website, and we'll see what happens. Either they've mis-stated their Amber alert for Wales to me, or their website hasn't updated for some reason.
  16. crimsone
    I don't see it on their website, so this may just be breaking news? Or not!
  17. crimsone
    Well, there you go... ... in case anybody wondered.
  18. crimsone
    Meanwhile, in Pembrokeshire, there's a yellow weather warning.
  19. crimsone
    115mph was the maximum gust recorded ~anywhere~ in the storm of '87 - a literal one off huff. Mean wind speeds were 87 mph at a lightship off the south coast, generally reaching Force 11 on various parts of the South Coast (maximum 63kt .. or 72.5 MpH), falling away considerably with distance from shore. It was indeed the upper end of "normal British weather" - just in an unusual British place for it. The unique thing about it was the location and rapid development - not the wind speed. Nothing's going to change that. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/learning/learn-about-the-weather/weather-phenomena/case-studies/great-storm
  20. crimsone
    The Republic of Ireland is really taking this all quite seriously, isn't it! I would never expect to hear a message like that outside of a nuclear war, large scale invasion, or a zombie apocalypse here in the UK. Just... wow.
  21. crimsone
    Flippin' 'eck!
  22. crimsone
    I sometimes wonder if people equate "It wasn't a hurricane" with playing it down... because it wasn't a hurricane, and that's not in any way playing it down. UK weather can be really vicious... occasionally in unexpected places (which is a part of what increases the impact)
  23. crimsone
    No... I say it as someone who knows the mean wind speeds for each storm, and who'd looked at the FAX charts for them. As it goes, I haven't always lived in the Midlands, but that's by the by. Yes.. Burns Day Storm... St. Jude Storm... Great Storm of 87 - they are all European Wind Storms, and they all had similarly high winds. They are at the upper end of normal British weather... ... though as you seem to have ignored in my comment, the special features of the Storm of 87 were how quickly it developed and where, I agree. That doesn't make such a strong storm in the UK a freak event... or make it a hurricane. Next to be added to that list of European windstorms is Ex-Ophelia.
  24. crimsone
    The M6 near Birmingham and Coventry sees a smash every other day in relatively normal weather. I sincerely doubt the winds will be that bad here compared with even Wales, but I still full well expect travel chaos as a consequence.
  25. crimsone
    It wasn't un-technically a hurricane either. It was a European windstorm that underwent rapid cyclogenesis and got amplified somewhat by the presence of a sting jet. That was, as it is said, normal british weather - just in the upper range of it's possibilities is all. The only thing that were particularly special about it were the location and how quickly it developed really. The Burns Day Storm was also nasty.
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