[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

8 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

This looks suspiciously like that last band that split west and east of here...fingers crossed it doesn't get a fright this time:

I did wonder about that but the radars filled in nicely now. Can see the snow accumulating in Calgary on the webcams. Could be a nice amount by morning. 

 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

Snowfall warning as mentioned above. Just wet snow at moment as currently above freezing.

I’d anticipate settling and accumulating snow kicking in after dark as temps start to plummet. Maybe up to 20cm’s.

Forecast lows of close to minus 30 by early next week. A cold snap is certainly on its way. 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

Just now, Skullzrulerz said:

It's going to be a nowcasting situation, I understand that some people are criticising the met office and rightly so, but with these changes at short notice I would imagine how difficult it must be for their team.

Agreed - they have much more info at their disposal so they are no doubt going for an average - ie more moderate than some of the extremes we’ve seen. But as always with the margin of error it could be that high or less or settle in the middle. Either way, it’s gonna be a hell of a ride for the next 24 hours for many millions of people. 

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

15 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

A upgrade to winds in the South East, not good news at all.

93 mph for the SE. That’s going to be up there as one of the most powerful storms in a generation.

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

5 minutes ago, Eskimo said:

Aren't SUSTAINED winds from hurricanes 74mph+? Even Cat 1 gusts regularly reach far beyond 100mph. This storm is nowhere near the destructive impacts of a hurricane, let alone a Cat. 2.

Spot on. They have to be sustained winds for minimum of 1 minute. Cat 1 is 74-95 mph and Cat 2 96-110 mph. Again sustained for 1 minute. Very different to gusts. I assume his comment relates to absolute wind speed - but misleading IMO.

[Storm Eunice - 18th February]

35 minutes ago, kold weather said:

Might well be the case in the end, I'd just perfer not to over ramp it until we are closer to the time, it would take a relatively small adjustment in terms of formational delay to take those 80mph down to 65-70mph. Still bad of course, but not quite as noteworthy.

Just for reference here is the gusts from the Burns day storm, noting they are in knots, not mph:

Many 75-85kts in there, roughly gusting anywhere from 85-95mph. As can be seen on the models for our system, we aren't quite at those sorts of levels apart from maybe very exposed SW/Wales locations, but regardless its going to be a pretty rare event and perfectly warrants large attention.

Synoptically they aren't too different though, other than a deeper low for the 1990 system, and it serves as a good possible baseline to watch.

I was pretty much bang under that 88kts (100 mph) in north Kent when at school. We were being evacuated across the playground when the roof of the gym ripped off and flew within a few metres of a large group of kids. Very nearly took us all out. 

This storm is looking likely to be 70-80 mph across large parts in land, if not more. Whilst there’s a big difference at the top end in 20/30 mph it’s still gonna get messy, especially as it’s been very wet this week for many.

Let’s hope it downgrades a little nearer the time otherwise it’ll be one to talk about for many years with some potentially big impacts both to infrastructure and life. 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

14 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

if the UK kept BST all year round the latest sunrise in my hometown of Chelmsford Essex would be 9:04am 

Think he’s referring to Tralee Ireland having a sunrise of 9:48 as it’s currently 8:48 in the death of winter there. 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

From minus 32oC to well above freezing today. Looks like some warmer weather on its way. @CatchMyDrift maybe low teens for Calgary within the next week. 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

12 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

is it remarkable though? this happens most years in NA ..the remarkable thing is it has coincided with strong La Nina which favours the opposite pattern

I’d have to agree. In fact this time last year saw record lows in places like Texas and Oklahoma with I think Dallas reaching minus 20oC (near hundred year low) and even Houston dropped to around minus 10oC. (30 year low) 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

Bit chilly this morning with -32oC at 6am.  

[SE, London & EA - Weather Discussion]

2 hours ago, lawrenk said:

Could be 60-80cms in the sweet spot apparently. Very envious, just imagine the excitement a few hours before you know it’s going to start. None of this will it be rain or snow, will it settle, will it miss us, will it all melt within an hour. Oh well, one day!

That’s one thing I love about Canada. When there’s a forecast of upsloping snows (the heaviest snows we get in the foothills).

Just as it starts, it gets dark,  and then sets in heavy snow hour after hour. The most we had in 18 hours was 67cm’s. Once in 90 minutes we had 15cm’s! 

It’ll come one day for the SE. And when it does it’ll be epic.

I do remember watching the webcams in Kent with jealousy in 2009. This was up at blue bell hill, north Kent. Whiteout. 


 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

15 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

I knew winter here was dry at times but these are unusual stats for someone like me from the west of Scotland:

Precip so far in Jan 2022: 3mm

Total precip Jan 2021: 4.4mm

Total precip Jan 2020: 3mm

Total precip Jan 2019: 8.9mm

I have seen various estimates of Calgary's average Jan precip, in the 9mm to 20mm range. 

It has been particularly dry. No doubt spring will even out the annual figures - it feels like the drier the winter the wetter the spring over the years. (Not sure if that’s factually correct, just a feeling) Especially Monsoon June ? 

17 minutes ago, cheeky_monkey said:

Here in Edmonton last winter we had 0mm of precipitation from Nov 9 - Jan 25..overal winter 2020-21 (Dec- Feb) total was 11mm..this winter so far it stands at 63.5mm

I remember all the precip was passing you by that winter. Very dry one for you that was. 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

1 hour ago, Norrance said:

My cousin's husband is from Collingwood and his family still live there though he is now in Ajax. He often says how snowless the Toronto /Ajax area is in comparison with his home town but they have had their fair share there this week.

He almost talked my daughter into moving there at one time but unfortunately nothing came of it or we would have had a great area to visit. 

I’ve always been unlucky when visiting Toronto. Always had a snowstorm when I’ve been there. I’ve dug out a (poor quality) pic of the parking lot of when I was stuck at an airport hotel waiting for it to pass. Huge snow totals. 

I do like Collingwood though. Very nice town 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

18 hours ago, Norrance said:

Our friends in Northern Indiana had their first measurable lying snow of the Winter yesterday. Latest that they have ever known and only a couple of inches.

Meanwhile not all that far away the relatives in Southern Ontario (Windsor, Collingwood, Toronto, Oshawa, Kingston and Ottawa) have all been buried recently with near record snowfalls in some places. 

Having friends in Collingwood the snow pics they send are amazing. The fact it’s in the snow belt for lake effect snow made me almost move there to the point we went house hunting there. 
 

14 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:

that's the one thing i liked when i lived in Calgary..you do get some welcome breaks from winter from time to time..i remember it being 18c In January ..was either 2013 or 2014

I remember both 2013 and 2014 having wild swings of temps in January.

Also in 2012 we have visitors over and it was super warm mid teens in the first week of Jan after a bitterly cold New Year’s Eve. 

[March 2-4, 2005 Snow]

I remember this was a particularly snowy spell for the SE.

I was off work during this time and living up by Blue Bell Hill (Kent north downs) around 550ft asl.

We received just shy of a foot of snow during the day on the 2nd I think it was. Elevation certainly helped with the total snow amounts. 

I remember the M20 and M2 being shut and all locals roads were a mess. I had to walk to the pharmacy to get drugs for my bad back and when I got there they said they’d had no deliveries.  

It’s one of the few snow events that I don’t have any pictures of. 

I don’t remember much else about the impact on the rest of the SE so would be interested if anyone has any memories or pictures of this event and it’s wider impact? 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

On 18/01/2022 at 01:39, CatchMyDrift said:

Yeah it looks like it's fairly intense, the traffic on Google Earth looks like this so it's easy to see where the snow is :

Love that - real-time impact available. 

Forecast spot on for Canmore region. Around 12-15cm’s on average .

How did you fair? @CatchMyDrift

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

Yup @CatchMyDrift very warm at the moment but lots of warnings out for later - from winter storm warnings to snow squall watches (haven’t seen many of those before). 

Snowfall warnings for Canmore region up to 15cm’s. Again it’ll likely be Kananaskis region that gets it worse. 

Looks like quite an intense band of snow forming as the cold air sweeps in. Strong winds, blowing snow, flash freeze and cold wind chills.

We had a similar situation in ‘08 and we received 5 1/2 inches of snow in 90 minutes. Some of the heaviest snow I ever saw. 

Let the fun times begin  

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Snowing nicely in Killearn, north of Glasgow (95m) 

 

 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

Strong chinook winds yesterday made for a sudden warming from minus 20’s to above freezing. Back to cold today though and minus 20’s - hope @CatchMyDrift you managed to enjoy the brief warm up 

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

6 hours ago, SLEETY said:

Home golf simulators must be popular in Canada in the winter months,with outside  sub-zero for months,anyone got one thats posts from Cananda

You’d think so but people tend to embrace the seasons and the sports it brings. Ie skiing, hockey, ice fishing etc in winter. Though the golf season can certainly be short (may-oct) in the mountains. 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

9 hours ago, Coopsy said:

Merry Christmas you lovely lot - let’s see what 2022 brings... 

I was trying so hard to spell correctly and not show I was too drunk but wished everyone merry Christmas instead of happy new year You knew what I meant lol. 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Merry Christmas you lovely lot - let’s see what 2022 brings... 

[Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread]

Did anyone top 16oC today? Balmy weather 

[Scotland Weather discussion]

Scotland you never fail to disappoint. Cracking day here in Drymen. Warm and sunny. Next best thing to snow

[North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)]

4 hours ago, johnholmes said:

Grief-those figures are impossible to imagine for this island, for even one night

 

3 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:

It's currently a balmy -28C with some light snow. We're in the relatively milder part of Alberta, our lowest minimum will probably be about -35C but the windchill will be brutal on that:

 

The windchill is brutal. I’d take air temp of minus 40 over wind chill of minus 40 any day of the week. Though I’ve never been warmer in winter than in a Canadian house at minus 40 but coldest in a UK house in winter at minus 5 lol.

Wrap up warm folks!