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Posts posted by Coopsy
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3 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:
Just looking back over my records and the one time I have recorded a flash freeze was when I was in Boston Pizza in Canmore. It went from around 0oC to -15oC by the time I’d finished eating (within the hour).
Accompanied by a lot of snow associated with the cold front. Here’s a pic from that night. Clear when I went in.
Gotta love Canadian weather events you’d never really get in the UK. Never gets boring.
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Another snowy day in Canmore and looking at the forecast snow tomorrow and Christmas Day as it turns colder. Very much a white Christmas this year.
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Visiting family in the SE this Christmas. Coming back from pub tonight and thick frost here on cars and grass in Wigmore, North Kent.
Sounds weird but not used to frost in the Canadian Rockies. The humidity is too low / not enough moisture around to create frost. Snow and ice yes but frost, not so much.
Off to Scotland just after Christmas....hoping for some snow
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Sod the models, I’ve got a more accurate way of working out if it’ll be a white Christmas.
I’ve had four white christmases whenever I’ve visited family in Scotland and the year has been an odd number.
I’m coming up this year...just saying
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2 hours ago, ANYWEATHER said:
If the high is minus 26c what is the low??.
Not as big a difference as you’d expect, when it’s already that cold and especially when it’s cloudy. Usually about 5oC difference
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19 minutes ago, Notty said:
Whatever is causing the mild signal seems to be around 23rd when the GFS ENS start to diverge. Hopefully it will disappear from whence it appeared overnight when the 12z runs come out:
Chart courtesy of Brian on The Weather Outlook site
Model Output Discussion 14/12/2021 021:05 >>>- Page 43 - TheWeatherOutlook forum
WWW.THEWEATHEROUTLOOK.COMTheWeatherOutlook: weather discussion forumBut the Met Office called this 3/4 days ago and for around the 23rd . I was asking then what was it in here that people saw and were willing to go against them? Was it genuine probability of more than 50% that cold was predicted in various models/charts etc. Or more wishful thinking?
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7 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:
It's chilly here this morning after yesterday's small scale ground blizzard. The path and drive were recording variously between 0cm and 20cm+ of snow, our path to the front door collects snow off the roof so drifts up nicely even when it's only a fly farting a mile away. Overall we've still not got much snow...next time maybe
Wind chill def making it feel colder. We used to get great drifts in our old place. Wind used to come in off the golf course....
Next week looks good. Christmas Day good chance of snow and cold around minus 20 Shame I’ll be in rainy Uk lol
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2 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:
will be even colder up here..will be the coldest Chrimbo here since 2018..where December '18 was mild right up to Xmas eve then we had a very cold last week inc Xmas day with temps down into the -30s
Yup don’t envy you. That’s a cold one. Think Canmore got to a balmy -6oC that Christmas day though New Year’s Eve was close to -20oC
I’m in Scotland between Christmas/New Year period (via Kent for Christmas) - I’m sure it’ll be mild and wet
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The cold is back after the snow at the weekend. Lows in the minus teens/20’s for the foreseeable and highs in the minus double digits.
Forecasts next week for Christmas Eve/Day and beyond show a possible further cooling with daytime highs close to or in the minus 20’s.
That’ll make it one of the coldest Christmas days I can remember in 16 years.
Coincidentally this day 13 years ago I experienced my coldest air temp of -42oC, with the daytime high only getting to -36oC. That’s not including the wind chill into the minus 50’s. That wasn’t fun.
Here’s an article forecasting the cold to continue for southern Alberta to the new year.
Cold snap for southern Alberta to likely last for the rest of December - My Lethbridge Now
WWW.MYLETHBRIDGENOW.COMLETHBRIDGE, AB – Keep those toques and parkas handy. It’s going to get cold and more than likely stay that way right through Christmas. Arctic air is forecast to flood across... -
6 minutes ago, Staffmoorlands said:
The 10 day Met office forecast suggested just over 50% chance of low pressure/Atlantic influence which is very similar to the output we have seen tonight.
Thanks for the reply.
What surprised me though is that in the past if it’s 50/50 they’ve split out the two options and advised either might happen. Today they seemed more bullish that although percentage wise it was just over 50%, the trend seemed more likely than not.
Guess we’ll see it play out over the next few days.
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Hopefully this is deemed MOD worthy for discussion. Very much a novice question. Feel free to move if wrong thread.
Having just seen the 10 day Meto forecast and coming on here I’m scratching my head at the difference in thoughts.
Are there different models that they view compared to here on NW?
They seemed quite confident the trend for low pressure/non cold conditions over the Uk from around Dec 23 but here it seems a different analysis.
Would be interested to hear the rationale as to the opposing view , other than because a 10 day chart shows differently.
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I’ll be in Killearn, Glasgow between Christmas and New Year. My prediction is:
Min temp: -3oC
Max temp: 4oC
Morning weather: starting clear and frosty with rain and sleet moving in.
Afternoon weather: rain/sleet turning over to snow with 5-10cm by the time the Turkey and whiskey are having me reach for the Rennie
Nollaig Chridheil
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10 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
I’d take that waking up on Xmas day , nice white frost , little wind
Until the Brussels sprouts...
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20 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:
weather is pretty grim here..came back from Vancouver last night to the third and worst ice storm in the last 3 weeks...roads and pavements coated in a thick glaze of ice ..i had to go out and buy a lot of de-icer and sand for my driveway and footpaths outside my house.
Can’t stand ice - had a few close calls due to ice storms. I feel your pain
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17 hours ago, cheeky_monkey said:
or just employ a snow removal company to do it for you..about $100/month for the season
Or live next door to a retired neighbour who insists he does it for you (for a few beers).
16 hours ago, CatchMyDrift said:Gotta love Alberta in the winter. So bright. I notice how gloomy the UK is in the winter in comparison.
One of my fav spots in Canmore is a window seat at Craigs Waystation - great breakfast, coffee and view of those big skies over the mountains
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Whiteout conditions at the moment. Snow accumulating quickly. If it carries on like this things could get interesting
North American Weather (U.S.A & Canada)
in Weather Around The World
Posted · Edited by Coopsy
An extreme cold weather warning is in place for every area in Alberta for the next week. Temps between minus 40 to minus 50.
To put that into perspective, that’s an area approx 2.5 times the size of the UK.
I should add the cold warnings extend into British Columbia and Saskatchewan