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frosty ground

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Everything posted by frosty ground

  1. frosty ground
    That's one cold North Westerly.....
  2. frosty ground
    Not so far apart the GFS and UKM
  3. frosty ground
    wasn't expecting that
  4. frosty ground
    Takes a little longer to mix out the mild sector (all down to that slight shift east earlier) But its looking good , more so for the south that shouldn't see a mild sector at all
  5. frosty ground
    Another slider at 144 by the look of it!
  6. frosty ground
    UKM 96 850's Vs GFS
  7. frosty ground
    More importantly the high has backed east so the really cold uppers have been pushed back with it (At least for the weekend)
  8. frosty ground
    Expect snow to rapidly accumulate with deep drifts also possible during windy conditions. Progress will be time consuming and physically strenuous, which will significantly affect the distance one is able to travel on foot. Paths will become hidden and difficult to follow, while very poor visibility during snowfall will make route-finding challenging. A heightened avalanche risk is likely and avalanche reports should be consulted where available. Different world those peaks.
  9. frosty ground
    So you are not talking about what the models show then? I love a good theoretical discussion but it seams to me you are arguing against your own thesis. For example "no one has claimed -8 850hpa Air would guarantee widespread snowfall. because even when you theroritally talking about something you need more than one parameters. Like the amount of precipitation around, no moisture no snow. Source of the air Be it Continental or Polar Maritime. Dew point, Surface temperature, Type of PPN (Continuous and heavy or Light and showery. This is why we stick to talking about what the models actually show rather than talking about what you think your amature weather friends have told you think.
  10. frosty ground
    Why not show a few charts to show us the reasoning behind your thinking?
  11. frosty ground
    I just read that almost fell of my chair with laughter........ He thinks its a standard Toppler. yesterdays 18z (You can see the Mild sector on the 3rd today's (short Ensembles) show the mild sector being eroded.
  12. frosty ground
    I think Liam is saying the opposite to what you think he is saying, it was TWO's twitter that made the rather bold prediction.
  13. frosty ground
    My favorite kind of mild sector..... <-5
  14. frosty ground
    I think you made the right call.....
  15. frosty ground
    The Easterly The improvement in the models by allowing deeper and colder air from the east to wraft over the UK ahead of any Atlantic fronts is a good sign, with deep cold also coming from the North west (which has been predicted foo some time) this happens to improve the snow chances for larger areas of the country. The block is being more resilient than originally forecast but the moisture is coming from the north west with more cold to back up the easterly incursion
  16. frosty ground
    Hail / Sleet / snow over the last hour
  17. frosty ground
    Hmmmmm Ill take one of those please.
  18. frosty ground
    Mild sector already squeezed out....
  19. frosty ground
    Just about to comment on that
  20. frosty ground
    Seen this a lot recently, A mild sector being squeezed out over the UK
  21. frosty ground
    Hmmmmm That's the point in which some Atlantic energy needs to cut south East but you can see the progression from 120 to 144 for the upper high to increase.
  22. frosty ground
    UKM 120 Hour Chart.... Sicking to its guns as they say.
  23. frosty ground
    Vs
  24. frosty ground
    Al the cold runs on this mornings GEFS come from the North, only the occasional and temporary waft of sub -5 air from the east Plenty of -10 runs to for the North of the UK (down to Midlands)
  25. frosty ground
    Good stuff
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