chionomaniac

Thanks for your input Roger. It helps watchers from afar like myself. Can I ask what time zones that you are quoting? Thanks c

When are taking the end of this week as being because Sunday is also looking very warm perhaps with a thundery breakdown? ( a long way off I know)

Thanks for the pictures and reports guys. It seems like the action is really hotting up. I stayed up til gone midnight tracking the storms on live streaming, radar and with Rogers valuable input. I have to say Gorky there was some great live streaming of the Roswell storm with its rotating wall cloud that never seemed to quite make it into a tornado. The excitement was tangible on this side of the Atlantic. To all the guys good luck for the next few days. Please keep us informed where you are as it is really interesting tracking the same individual storms you are chasing. c

Morning to those in the USA , afternoon to all here. Good luck on the chase today . Heres hoping you get to see some action. With the tornado risk being 5% does that mean the chance of any particular storm dropping a tornado or for the area as a whole? Has it ever been 100%? c

Not this mummy or daddy. We watched our neighbour build it then stuck our own kids next to it! Today, Coast, certainly made up for those mild winters.

The best of todays photos from Brighton and Ditchling Beacon

Glorious day here today. Hadley CET upto 10.6ºC. Another rise tomorrow when todays weather is accounted for and then the inevitable drop will occur.

http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/cet_info_mean.html http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcet/data/download.html You can find of most of the CET stats from the second link. c

Though you can feel good about your prediction for a few days! Hadley CET is 10.2ºC today.

Agree entirely on all counts even more so after your edit. I don't expect 21ºC to be reached until last week of April/ first week of May. I guess these are the synoptic situations that you thought/hoped for that we were going to get in winter back last November!

The 36oz Houston cut ribeye looks challenging. Do you reckon they sell many char-broiled fresh salmon fillets?

With Northern Blocking looking like the dominant pattern, once we have got this week out of the way, (I don't expect 21ºC to be reached) it appears that we may have to wait a few more weeks before the chance of hitting 70ºF returns. What is the latest date that this figure has been reached?

I'm all up for it but I'll delay it until 1am tomorrow morning. I can categorically say I will not use up any energy between 1 and 2 am tomorrow. Failing that I'll make sure the babysitter sits in silence and darkness tonight.

I think it showed how difficult it was to catch a tornado. I wonder how do the nw team decide which way to go if different members of the team have differing opinions on where a tornado is going to form? Who decides?

Amongst all the gadgets to take along on a storm chase don't forget the plastic bottle!!!

I saw that cloud driving home along the A27 at dusk. When I got home I checked the radar and saw that it dissipated quickly out at sea. Great photo.

It may do, but the days up to that point may average just slightly below 6ºC, so it could even out in the end. I am surprised that the CET daily minima has not dropped below -0.3ºC during the latest cool/cold spell. Perhaps it's too much to ask this late in March.

From the temps from todays GFS 12Z I reckon 6.0ºC will be the final CET resting point this month.

8.8ºC please

The precipitation charts change every run in events like this that it is just not worth anticipating where snow is going to fall for Friday onwards. It is fun imagining how much snow one could possibly get when looking at each run but it is not worth getting too excited until we are at T=0Z. Look at Easter Sunday 12z: Lets see how it changes run by run! I remember a possible snow event forecast for the end of Feb this year that the GFS consistently showed for Eastern England until 12 hours before the event. Warnings were put out but at the last minute the snow veered out into the North Sea. If I remember rightly TEITS( please correct me if I am wrong) was quite put out as this band just missed Peterborough! Heres hoping no one misses out this time! c

OOPS!!! Being well out and knocked off top spot will be a small price to pay if I get to see some snow and can build a snowman before it melts. CET is now going to drop quicker than Paul McCartney's bank balance over the next few days. The CET will probably be below 5.5ºC by the end of Easter Monday. c

Hadley CET now upto 6.6ºC. I reckon this may rise another 0.1 or 0.2º before it starts to drop next week. If it stays cooler than average as predicted then it could drop below 6.0ºC around Easter.

Out of interest does anyone know what the lowest pressure recorded in England and Wales this last week has been and how does this compare to pressure records say in the last 50 years?

Just been through the met office pressure readings for today; http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/obs...ions/index.html The lowest readings (for England and Wales) are Aberdaron(a beautiful place), Aberforth and Milford Haven which all dipped to 954mb at 1100hrs this morning. Can anyone find an official mainland reading lower than this? c Ps thanks TM .Is there any evidence to suggest that extreme pressure variations are becoming more common I wonder.

Great pics thank you. Looking at the car park it looks like you weren't alone in your trip to the coast! You didn't fancy a walk down to the lighthouse then?