Harsh Climate

Wales allways get the snow and the midlands dont do too bad, so I think Id happily take the snow off you.. Suprisingly there is a place Id be happy to see get snow, even if it involved me missing out! And thats Carlisle! they are geographically the worst mainland area for seeing snow in Britain, n anyone remember mildcarlisle? lol

HAHAHA! that was golden!

Im going to be selfish and hop for that low to go further north so I can get loads of snow on thursday....

Rememeber that big northerly last year? Aberdeen got about a foot of level snow, scarborough/linconshire/east anglia a couple of temporary 2-4" falls, yet dhuram missed out completly!?

Its very likely! as it would involve me missing out again!

what hurricane? The storm in 87 down south was never a hurricane...

looks like aviemores getting hit hard now! http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/web...mages/slot3.jpg

Although its probably 80%-20% aggainst us getting a good dumping on thursday, there is still time for change! If the charts are the same come tommorow at 6pm, then I think weve been well and truly rajd! This is so annoying! every cold spell in the last 10 years has failed to produce hardly anything, yet even the classic set-up seems like its guna dissapoint us...

That chart isn't too bad actually Yeti. were north of the 528 dam line and the front is shown as a stationary occlusion rather than a dying front....

Looks like the midland/south yorkshire are guna get hammered while I narrowly miss out! so dissapoining! I know theres still time yet... but I fear not just getting my pants pulled down by thursdays near miss, there could be a repeat on saturday and I get my azz well and truly spanked!

Yes radar will be a key tool on thursday! Im sure we'll see some snow though (albeit small.) Ive also got a sneeky suspicion that saturday could deliver us some snow too...

Your right in what your saying Tamara but Id be annoyd if I dont get more than an inch of snow from this, because this is the only really set-up that favours my location (baring an easterly ) and from haveing so many let downs in the last 10 years, to haveing the most textbook/classic weather set-up fail would be so dissapointing.... Now Ive had my little moan, Im just guna remain doubtfull, that way I wont be too dissapointd if I miss out. Although Im allways joking about not wanting the south to see anysnow, I wish good look to you all.. we live in a c*** climate so, we all deserve to see some exciting weather!

Certainly not in the bag yet Graupel I feel that its all or nothing, an area stretching about 80 miles north-south will get some heavy snow (3''-6")... but outside this, amounts will be small... Ive just got a sneeky feeling that it will reach as far north as south yorkshire/linconshire before fizzling out as it pushes further north... What are you thoughts on this?

Nailbiting times at the moment! The GFS shows snow pushing upto northern england on thursday but other models goin aggainst it! :o I fear that us in northern england may be hugely dissapointed as chances are the midlands/south yorkshire get hammered by many centimetres of snow! Regarding the snow potential in Yorkshire over the next few days, Il be starting a blog a tonight so stay tuned fellow Yorkshirers..

cheers fella

lol, my fear is that itl be too far south and we miss all the snow, while the likes of sheffield get hammered! Anyone got a link of the NOAA's talks about the 12z?

what if the man/model interface is EvertonFox/NOGAPS?

I might get put in a straight Jacket for this but I think generally the GFS is the best model! I know you can get some wild runs thrown in every known n again but if you can pick a trend up in those runs its usually right. I think the ECMWF has been very poor this winter, the JMA has suprised me a little and certainly worth looking at in the future (prior to these type set-ups) and at close range the UKMO is a very good indicator of what you might get..

ok sorry, I might have got a little carried away..

Thank you and keep those great forecasts goin good luck to you guys down south two, I just feel that either the south or the north is guna mis-out somewhat.. I

Thats fair enough but its frustrating seeing people go for mild everytime then act smug everytime there correct, when all there forecasts are based on is basically 'weather lore'.There right because mild wins nearly everytime.. Yet when theres a great chance of cold they still go aggainst the concensus (go on ther own cos they know there likely to be right and take great credit for goin on it alone... But only this time it looks as if the cold could win through and bite those on the azz...

GFS esembles comeing out soon. You'd just ahve to laugh if its a massive outlier... :lol:

They seemed pretty confident that heavy snow is on the way, so cheer up...

lol, where is WIB? and all of his little fans praising him on a correct forecast (before its even happened.) :lol: Its great when the mild rampers get caught out!