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londonsnow

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Everything posted by londonsnow

  1. londonsnow
    whilst perusing a thread, nothing is more exciting than an ad that says " if you die unexpectedly" great fun
  2. londonsnow
    excellent 12z from gfs. lots of potential there. just a little question, would the forecast output from the bbc etc be so obsessed with possible snowfall in kent, if kent was infact stornoway?
  3. londonsnow
    i had 30 seconds of hail. i wonder if that will make the news?
  4. londonsnow
    it's early february. what is the point of any conjecture about spring let alone summer. it's the same every year, and it's a waste of time, even from the meto. sorry, bad day
  5. londonsnow
    totally agree. when you've been in snow business as long as you or i have online, nowcasting is fairly key. last feb was case in point for parts of london. been saying it for years but forecasting snow accurately from convective activity is a nightmare, maybe on a par with forecasting imported storms in the summer
  6. londonsnow
    i'm quite surprised how much snow has fallen in london, and it's now settling!
  7. londonsnow
    been snowing here for hours now. just a shame it cant settle. looking forward to a crisp bright day tomorrow
  8. londonsnow
    hello south west from a snizzley london. devon and cornwall are my favourite parts of the uk. glad you're getting a bit of the white stuff in bristol where i used to work. hope to be heading down south west when the spring/summer hits
  9. londonsnow
    i'm not sure which i prefer as i sit here working. moderate continuous snow that just melts on impact, or a clear cold sunny day with no snow at all. i've decided, it's the latter.
  10. londonsnow
    now in sw london and the snow getting heavier. wont settle though, and looks like dying out shortly
  11. londonsnow
    well its snowing in chelsea. not that unexpected, but nice to see
  12. londonsnow
    still looks like the serious cold is heading towards austria, n italy, the swiss and the alps/massif. anyway just one gfs run. it'll all change
  13. londonsnow
    nice to see teits mention buchan, a true pioneer in meteorolgy. what would he make of todays modelling and sophistication.
  14. londonsnow
    i'm with you on the lack of confidence. i think if the 12z's continue with the theme we can start to relax. as for snow, well if all goes to plan then it will be the snowiest spell this winter for many in the east. even typing that makes me feel i'm jinxing things!!
  15. londonsnow
    that feature over lapland/north norway remains a pain.
  16. londonsnow
    18z rolling out now. convinced that our ne block will win through this run. the 12z tomorrow is the crucial one, and hopefully the big 3 will be absolutely on side by then
  17. londonsnow
    Fascinating read GP. Many thanks
  18. londonsnow
    good summary bftp. now, when will the beeb dare to suggest a return to cold. their current headline is for a milder weekend. so much uncertainty that i guess they'll wait as long as possible
  19. londonsnow
    i'm still not convinced. if this set up remains at 12z tomorrow, with full agreement twixt models then i may pour a glass of wine. actually i may pour one now in anticipation
  20. londonsnow
    eh up. not getting excited, but interesting developments from the 6z around 150. 12z will be a must see
  21. londonsnow
    whilst we are experiencing a winter fairly alien to our shores, in recent times at least, can anyone explain quite why the models are somersaulting around from one run to the next? i can't remember the last time model watching was so random/frustrating/fascinating(!) i can see that overall, despite major blips, the trend is for cooler conditions to return, but it must be a forecasters' biggest nightmare at the moment.
  22. londonsnow
    well, is there much to add to the model discussion. i don't remember such fluctuation in many years of model watching. i think a less cold scenario is nailed for especially the south this week, but its beyond that which is in the balance. looking at the beebs monthly update they are going for an easterly blast of some considerable impact, but with FI hovering so much closer than normal i remain sceptical.
  23. londonsnow
    now that the gfs has flipped completely the meto 6-15 day forecast update will be interesting today. normally these forecasts change reasonably gradually, so how will they handle today's update which by rights should be dramatically different. anyway, disappointing 0z, and back to square one for the moment
  24. londonsnow
    ukmo versus gfs. in the words of harry hill. FIGHT!
  25. londonsnow
    i find that ludicrous cyclone very odd, wouldnt like to be under it if it occurs. little change in the reliable from gfs 12z. we end up cold and sluggish, probably cloudy with snow grains in the east at times. main headline is, as we're all saying, such discrepency twixt gfs and ukmo
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