londonsnow
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Posts posted by londonsnow
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it was a good forecast from thomasz, despite what he was wearing! looks like a very benign or rather dull week ahead
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i noticed southern lapland were having their first snows yesterday
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pouring down in london. it really annoys me how newscasters on news 24 (as it used to be called) assume that because it's raining on bbc hq in white city west london, it's raining everywhere in the uk when they link to the forecaster. rant over, and it's still raining!
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raining moderately in london. welcome rain though
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very balmy out, muggy, and cloudy. wondering if all that rain on the radar will reach london
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i notice on the meto 1200hrs satellite grace still has an eye as it heads towards county cork. i googled grace, but the british and irish media don't appear to have picked up on her. odd, because whilst she'll probably just produce some heavy rain and windy conditions, its the satellite imagery which makes the story. great picture opportunity they're missing there
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it's a bit surreal looking at the met office sattelite loop. grace appears to reorganise as she approaches eire. how is this possible? obviously extra tropical sytems are common here at this time of year, but i've never seen one looking like grace on the satellite imagery
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it certainly looks like an eye. extraordinary
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nice to see the british isles in an noaa headline!
000
WTNT34 KNHC 051445
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GRACE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092009
1100 AM AST MON OCT 05 2009
...GRACE RACING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD BETWEEN THE AZORES AND THE
BRITISH ISLES...
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GRACE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 16.4 WEST OR ABOUT 575
MILES...925 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CORK IRELAND...AND ABOUT 590 MILES...
950 KM....NORTHWEST OF LISBON PORTUGAL.
GRACE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 31 MPH...50 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
DAY OR SO...AND GRACE SHOULD BE ABSORBED BY A FRONT BY TUESDAY
MORNING.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110
KM...MAINLY TO THE SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
...SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST INFORMATION...
LOCATION...45.4N 16.4W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 31 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 PM AST.
$$
FORECASTER BERG
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i'm sorry but i'm finding this site so painfully slow now that i'm wondering whether to give up. it cant be my internet stick because all other sites i use, eg thebbc site, are all fine. the forum area is especially slow. even posting this meagre post has taken ages. very very frustrating.
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amazing to have a system so relatively close to our shores on the brink of becoming a hurricane. although it wont almost certainly, as people have said, it will be impactful
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wow. where did grace appear from . i'd given up on the atlantic hurricane season. as john h says the eye of a hurricane so close our shores must be pretty rare. puts me in mind of that recent neil diamond song "pretty amazing grace"
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It's raining!! havent seen this stuff for a while. i must be on the absolute edge of this batch of ppn looking at the radar. the only downside is having to have all the lights on as its really dark
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sunny calm, still dry, and frankly boring. i think us folks who like more exciting weather can't wait for a change down south
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the hurricane season in the atlantic will be over in a matter of a few weeks. i don't know the stats but this must have been one of weakest seasons on record
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interesting forecast for sunday. never experienced a "gale force shower" before!! maybe its a sort of power shower
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havent seen todays papers but the online versions have only shown a moderate interest in the met office forecast for winter 09/10. the comments made are rather snide from some, thanks to memories of the bbq summer prediction, although the 1 in 7 chance of a cold winter has been highlighted. i still would love to know how this figure was arrived at. more interesting and spliced into several articles is reading universities research into the phenomenon of power station snowfall, which i've never heard of before
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It seem as if off-topicness is creeping-in again...
i'd say off topicness (is that a word?) is where we are at the moment. i think most are now bored of the met forecast, and will do, as i will, wait and see!
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cloudy and quite autumnal in london despite the mild temps.
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i'm not saying that the spurious 1 in 7 chance of a cold winter isnt acceptable, but for the benefit of us mere mortals, wouldn't it be be better if the met office backed up this forecast with some reasoning. ok, its clearly based on an average from past years, and therefore, lets face it, it's mostly a guess. i do wonder if these lrf's are purely to grab headlines, and frankly, recently, they're grabbing all the wrong ones
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thanks SR. its a bit scant in detail, i reckon the november forecast will be a better presented one. i don't see any need to rubbish the Met O's LRF's. as i hardly see any other forecasters do any better, or worse. lets face it. LRF's are notoriously difficult to pin down and the degree of accuracy has to be a lot lower the further out it is.
yes, agreed, lrf's are very difficult calls. some might say they are fairly pointless. however, to come up with the 1 in 7 chance of a cold winter line needs an explanation of some sort in the copy. the bbq summer was a mistake, and this line is albeit a lesser mistake, but a mistake never the less
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couldnt agree more. how do they arrive at the 1 in 7 chance of a cold winter thing. watch the press pick up on that. but essentially that forecast is a waste of space
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so far in the southeast its been a bbq autumn!!
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i think the met office will be updating their winter forecast today
Heating On Yet?
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
no heating yet, and probably not till november. its expensive living in london, but you do save on heating bills!