Frosty.
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Everything posted by Frosty.
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Snow showers should begin to affect eastern areas on thurs / fri according to the Gfs 12z..looking forward to this Easterly a lot! -
True, +5 uppers in places, this week they look like plummeting to -10 or lower..can't wait!
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This time looks different, first proper Easterly flow with snow flurries / snow showers potential feeding in off the north sea..momentum is with the coldies for a change
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I couldn't agree more, generally speaking the latest models look very encouraging for the majority on here who love cold weather with a chance of snow from the second half of the week ahead onwards..Bring It On!
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It's not just the Gfs / Gefs..it helps considerably to have the backing of the pros with their mogreps / GloSea5 seasonal models..it's looking very good I must say
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Difficult to say but strong scandi blocking can be hard to shift once firmly established so we could stay predominantly on the cold side with a mix of deep cold / surface cold for 2 to 3 weeks.
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Well I hope I'm right, it looks like the best spell of the winter so far nationwide according to most of the models, hopefully it can go from strength to strength..been waiting all winter for a spell like this
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Plenty of cold / wintry weather on the GEFS 6z Hoping we are looking at cold weather becoming entrenched for more or less the month ahead!
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We are very much trending towards a cold outlook, reinforced by the Gfs 6z which although it gets criticism it's the newest data available so it's all good.. Ps..fantastic post again from Tamara, she got my last available like for the day as I've used up my 100 available so apologies if I don't like your posts from now..I can't.
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6z is a cracker for coldies, like I said earlier, the general trend so far today is very good for cold from the east and its still taking shape..could be a prolonged cold / very cold outlook!
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I don't think we have taken a backward step this morning, it's still going to become colder from the east so the general trend is good and it's still evolving so the finer detail will have to wait but cold air is coming!
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Lack of posts because it's 07.16 on a sunday maybe Ecm 00z becomes blocked and even when we lose the cold uppers it's still surface cold with widespread frosts and probably some freezing fog..anyway, it's still an evolving situation so no need for knee jerk reactions to one op run!
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Poor is mild swly mush, it looks increasingly cold next week..did anyone see tonight's Ecm 12z ensemble mean? Easterly flow incoming and very cold..could be much worse..I'm hoping for big things this month.
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Ecm 12z ensemble mean looks peachy next week with a robust scandi high and a SEly flow backing Easterly..becoming much colder during the second half of next week with frosts, ice and even snow flurries / snow showers, especially further east and staying cold beyond..beats mild mush any day!
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What a finish..roll on day 10 Another step closer..going to get very nippy
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I see plenty to be optimistic about with this evolving situation..could be a cracker of a cold spell coming up.
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Similar to the Gem yesterday..anyway..I'm seeing excellent signs for the best spell of this winter so far..nationwide.
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All to play for, lots to be encouraged about with these perturbations! Some Beauties in there!
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That's the important thing, trended better earlier and hopefully that will continue..great to see SM so positive, it's a good indicator for a decent cold spell..long may it last!
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I'm really happy with the model trend now that the pros have rubber stamped a prolonged cold spell..seasonal models must be even better!
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Hopefully setting up a prolonged spell of entrenched cold, great start to the 12z's
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I agree Nick, however, it looks increasingly like a prolonged cold spell is on the way, very cold at times with snow for some of us. By far the best spell of the winter thus far nationwide..happiest I've been about wintry prospects for a long time! :- )
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I will settle for a prolonged cold spell with plenty of frosts, some ice days and snow showers / flurries which is what the models are showing..much better than mild zonal dross.
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Models are firming up now on a change to much colder weather from the east from wed / thurs with ice days / frosty nights becoming increasingly likely and snow flurries / snow showers feeding in off the north sea and making it well inland..upgrade!
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You are correct and luckily the duration and intensity of the upcoming cold spell won't be determined by the 6z operational!
