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Everything posted by Frosty.
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Thanks..hopefully I will..encouraging signs for snow starved coldies from around this time next week onwards. This week has been / is nice and cold with widespread frosts but hopefully, after the milder nondescript blip this weekend we will see a marked change setting the stage for snow and we will see snow if the 12z runs are on the right track.
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That's one hell of a cold snap on the Gfs 12z which would produce much wanted snow for some parts of the uk, needless to say I hope the Gfs is on the right track regarding next week, especially the second half when the arctic air arrives! A nondescript weekend coming up but next week could become very interesting / exciting hopefully!
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The Gfs 6z is eventually quite pleasing for coldies, especially from later next week onwards when the second stronger cold outbreak arrives from the NW..I'm desperate to see a snowflake as we are now into the fifth week of winter and at least there is some wintry weather showing on the models at times next week, especially for the north, occasionally cold enough for snow, and not just on hills and night frosts with an increasing risk of frosty, foggy settled weather during week 2.
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Model Moans, Ramps and Banter
Frosty. replied to Polar Maritime's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Have to say the future is looking bright for coldies I'm happy to report according to the latest models, at last it looks like this winter will wake up with an increasing risk of snow and plenty of frost / fog. -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Gfs 18z shows plenty of snow, especially for scotland..disappointing it certainly isn't, at least for the north. I think this winter has been very disappointing so far, certainly in terms of lack of the white fluffy stuff but there are signs that could change significantly during the next few weeks! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well, it's been a generally mild winter so far but these current cold frosty nights are nice and we have our first arctic incursion on the horizon with hopefully more cold on the way during early / mid January! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Agreed, the wheels are set in motion before day 10, I hope for all coldies sake that we end up with reloading cold shots similar to the Ecm 12z..it would really kick start this winter! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well day 10 is worth discussing..a lot when it shows this. I think it would be very boring if we stuck rigidly to the reliable timeframe and didn't comment on the extended range! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Well I gotta say it's about time an Ecm day 10 chart comes true, so many false dawns leading coldies up and down the garden path..just verify already dammit! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would love to think that T+96 is just a dress rehearsal for T+240 on the Ecm 12z because day 10 is a peach for coldies and there would be snow around too. -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not long to wait for frosty nights under high pressure across England and Wales, the Gfs 6z looks fine and cold as this week goes on..much better than that very mild mush we had yesterday! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Is it too late to say bah humbug Models look better today than yesterday if it's cold wintry weather you fancy for the new year period as most of us do! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes it's much better than yesterday, here's hoping..I haven't had anything to ramp so far this winter..hope that's about to change! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Now all we need is for potential to manifest into reality, the Ecm 00z would bring plenty of cheer to coldies as there would also be snow for the first time this winter. It's a reloading cold wintry pattern that most of us want and this run delivers! -
Model output discussion - 5th December 2016 - Into Winter we go
Frosty. replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So far, wintry weather has been in F1..I mean FI..hope we can go from virtual reality to reality sometime in January