kippure

Some pictures of snow in the wicklow mountains today http://www.irelandsweather.com/forum/weather-pictures/kippure-gates-towards-sallys-gap-30-01-10/msg19764/?topicseen#msg19764

SUNDAY NOON LONDON TIME <P itxtvisited="1">Winter spreads back west <P itxtvisited="1"><P itxtvisited="1">If one looks at the London-Berlin example I was using as a contributor to the global temp challenge of Jan 1-10, we find the idea of a return to normalcy posted here a couple of weeks ago was right. The first 15 days of the month ran 7.5 below normal, by far the most widespread cold in populated areas of northern Europe for this harsh part of winter since the 80s. The last 8 days have seen Berlin stay in the cold, and this is what I had said, the further east you went the more the cold would hold... they have been -6.5 SEVERE COLD is taking hold over Germany. However London is 1.6 above normal since Jan 16. <P itxtvisited="1">The cold is getting ready to expand west again! <P itxtvisited="1">So folks in the battle of Britain and France that at least has allowed winter to let up a bit here ( mind you the "thaw" is to around normal and part of the winter forecast... that cold centered over the east and maritime air masses would do battle) is going to come to a crashing end later this week. And while when its all said and done the CORE OF COLD WILL BE WHERE IT WAS IN 02-03 its simply that this winter is even colder than that one for the areas targeted. <P itxtvisited="1">Now you want to see a real thaw... and by the way winter is returning to the states also, look at the Us contributors to this: Chicago and NYC the first 15 days of the month...-3.9. Since then: PLUS 8.4 So they got a major break but winter is about to close in on them also. <P itxtvisited="1">So make sure the winter woolies are ready anew... its coming later this week ciao for now

Cheers man, Is that on the bbc tv?

Can any one tell why the birds are building there nests already? Ive never seen such a rush to build nests. Black birds and magpies especially. Is it a sign of something?

Can any one tell why the birds are building there nests already? Ive never seen such a rush to build nests. Is it a sign of something?

About a metre of snow was dumped on the dublin/wicklow mountains last night The 3 there together are from the weekend

I think 250 metres approx. Dublin wicklow border, killikee road

A few from today

4 more from today

Classic

Snow in wicklow today. towards glencree.

No there just at killikee car park, above the hell fire club.

Here are 4 photos of the snow at killikee veiwing point in wicklow. Stay away from there.

Joe B,s thoughts COLD AIR STILL 12-24 HOURS AWAY FROM COMPLEX STORM <P itxtvisited="1">The powerful storm located on the southwest coast of England still does not have enough cold air to work with as the arctic air is still pushing south. However, with time, this very complex situation should turn cold enough so rain does turn to snow even in the lower elevations and mainly between London and Manchester. It is tricky, but we have to get that air to cool over the north sea first. <P itxtvisited="1">I expect the rain to change to snow from north to south as this storm, which is just in its early stages, matures. <P itxtvisited="1">There is no change on what is about to be a major attack of cold the first 10 days of the new year for much of Europe NORTH of 40 north. For folks in the southeast, (Greece, for instance, where there are lovers of winter) keep in mind that if you are going to share in the cold, it's later. This winter idea from me is the core of the cold is north of you. <P itxtvisited="1">But this storm is a perfect example of what I was talking about for this winter for the northwest! You see what is going on. The ebb and flow of the pattern has storms GOING SOUTH of England not just roaring by to the north. Why? The negative NAO, which was an idea I advanced here long before this winter started. And the heavy rains of November... remember the post talking about why that meant the trough was coming FOR THE WINTER. It's the same thing here in the states, we had the wet October. If it was just warm and dry, that is another signal. <P itxtvisited="1">These are not because of "freak events in the Pacific." You know how you can tell? Because I laid out certain criteria beforehand and the fruit of the labor, rather than staring at almighty models, are produced by humility in the face of the creation, not just saying I know the answer. <P itxtvisited="1">Admittedly micro-managing a storm like this exposes why the devil is in the detail, but a week from now, when we are in the new year, you tell me who was up late on Christmas Eve to warn people another round of major cold was brewing. <P itxtvisited="1">I have NOTHING against the Hadley Center, but I will be very curious as to what their outlook is for the rest of the winter and how they will explain what is going on. I think in light of what is going on, with a arrogance of authority in the climate and weather wars obvious (There is no human, or human-made, "authority" that holds the future in their hand and dictates events), before we discuss how hot 2010 will be we need to know why this was not the winter portrayed. And the explanation that December is only one month doesn't hold water since if they are doing their research on winters like this, they will see why January and February, could and should be as cold or colder. <P itxtvisited="1">It is not because of "freak events" in the Pacific. <P itxtvisited="1">By the way, it should be a warm summer for Europe, especially mid and late. <P itxtvisited="1">I have always had a huge amount of respect of the Hadley Center, but recent explanations have left me wondering if that was misplaced. I did defend their summer forecast, it WAS warm but it was wet, and when it's wet, it means there is a large-scale fight going on that is resisting warming! The first clue that there was trouble coming for the winter! Such things are not common knowledge among model worshippers and in fact are probably scoffed at. thanks for reading. Ciao for now. *******

http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/index.asp Chec out his european blog From joe b

All the way from the north sea to newfoundland. Thats some northeasterly.

Where would i get an up to date veiw of the 850,s from the 1st of febuary to 7th of march 1947. I can view the charts here on NW in the archive section, but has anyone brought them into the way we see the charts nowadays.

Where would i get an up to date veiw of the 850,s from the 1st of febuary to 7th of march 1947. I can view the charts here on NW in the archive section, but has anyone brought them into the way we see the charts nowadays.

From early morning you should start to see showers of snow. It will be very cold. Dp,s around minus 7 i,d say.

Thats seems to be happening alright. Hope it heads this way

yep

Some pictures before 4pm today in the wicklow mountains.

Just done a trip up to sallys gap, wicklow. Stay away from the gap, cars already are getting into problems. The road up to the hellfire club and up to killikee car par IMPASSABLE. Cars and vans are sliding back down.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/os/notification/tin09-34gefs.txt As of 15.30 we start a new 12z run, Lets see what happens.

I havent looked at the last 4 runs, Untill this mornings 06z run. All still looks good. But arent we coming up to a peak energy period soon? Could some one verify that for me? This will make very very interesting model watching.