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Soaring Hawk

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Posts posted by Soaring Hawk

  1. Am desperate for next week’s warmth and sun.  Here we’ve had the 4th consecutive day of monsoon downpours, accompanied by fog - how can that be? Last week it drizzled most days, accompanied by occasional heavy rain.  I can’t remember when the sun last appeared and my 13 month old big puppy buried himself yesterday morning and today even refused to come out of his sleeping crate. We both want to hide away from this cold, wet and depressing awfulness!  I’ve had to drag him out for the past week to walk around the thick mud of our local fields. In the rain.

    nb: the black bit is him under his day bed mattress. 

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    • Like 2
  2. It’s been snowing here since before 07:00 here and still going. Unfortunately the flakes are too small to prevent wind from whipping them off somewhere but at times the flakes have been bigger and we’ve had.......wait for it...1cm on top of yesterday’s meagre offering. In five hours, I ask you! ?

    My son, however, living in central Norwich had 9 inches of snow by yesterday lunchtime and couldn’t get out of his road. He was lent a Range Rover this morning  and managed to get out of the city so will be working today.  The drift in first photo looks like it should be in Scotland but it is either A140 or another road heading south; his destination is Stoke Holy Cross.

    Last photo is the incredible drifting along my side path..?

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    • Like 2
  3. 28 minutes ago, BleakMidwinter said:

    I'd feel much more excited about this red warning if I didn't have a niece working in North Berwick currently trying to convince her boss to let her drive home early to a village along the coast road.... :( 

    Other niece and this niece's boyfriend got let out from their works early, but little niece's boss seems to be totally thick. Grr. 

    Ridiculously irresponsible of your niece’s boss. I hope she gets home safely.  My son stays in central Norwich, they’ve had over 9 inches of snow with a new amber warning for the next few hours but his boss told the staff via WhatsApp this morning they had to get to work (restaurant situated in a village south east of the city). He’s very experienced driving in snow, having lived in French Alps for a few skiing seasons, but got 100metres along main road and got stuck and that’s in the sheltered city centre.  Companies should put safety first. 

    Stay safe everyone - I hope you all get home ok. 

    • Like 2
    • Thanks 1
  4. 1 hour ago, Ed Stone said:

    AS expected, the blizzard that started about 100 yards from the Jobcentre has now almost stopped...And, also as expected, none of the employers and but a handful of DWP staff managed to get to work...

    I warned them about the snow, when I was there last Wednesday!:yahoo:

    Haha I thought they wouldn’t show despite you being expected to walk through blizzards. Seriously, can you get to the GP for your required documentation? 

    My other half is a GP and has been on his knees with exhaustion since Christmas because of the number of patients/call outs etc. But he rang this morning to say there were 17 appointments still not taken and the place is practically deserted ? Maybe everyone is too busy taking photos of the half inch of snow to feel ill? 

    • Like 1
  5. 1 hour ago, Buzz said:

    I'll third that - despite the relatively low traffic to this thread I hope that the mods keep it going on a permanent basis.

    I’ve learned a lot from you Knocker and also hope this thread will become permanent.  Thank you for the professional way you present your regular posts and for the time and effort that must go into producing all this information - I notice you always seem to be up to greet the 0z outputs and have often wondered if you can survive on very little sleep. 

    • Like 3
  6. 2 hours ago, Catacol said:

    No definitive answer provided by ICON - still absolutely touch and go. Best case scenario IMBY remains snow showers on Tues/Weds and then blizzard on Thurs/Fri with cold air hanging on. Worst case remains dry through Tues/Weds and then rain on Thursday night into Friday. Many scenarios in between.

    You'll forgive me if I declare that if the dry to rain scenario comes to pass I am likely to shut down for the winter and retire until November such will be the disappointment. A background scenario like this that fails to deliver, after years of waiting, will be the end of me even given the potential chance for more snow down the line this month. Never ever contemplate a move to lowland SW England if you like opportunities for frost and snow.

    Fingers crossed for a decent evolution this week and that I'll still be online come Saturday. :-)

    No! Don’t do that please. I’ve learned a lot from you this winter and am relying on your continued informative posts - you can come and stay here!

    Got spare bedrooms and while there may not be a lot more weather excitement, it will be better than the south coast. ?

    • Like 6
  7. 11 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

    Just had to talk to the wife for an entire hour!! Please don’t let that happen again :acute:

    ECM mean looked very good, here’s the graph, op on the cold side from D7 -10

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    Anyone got the UKMO D7?

     

    ‘It’s crashed!’ I squeaked. ‘What am I going to do all evening now?’  I cried.

    ‘It had just better get fixed before the 18Z comes out, that’s all I can say’ I threatened with blood pressure rising.

    Response:  “Does that mean I’ll actually be allowed to speak to you this evening? *cheeky sod* 

    • Like 2
  8. 1 hour ago, starstream said:

    Do a good deed, if you can afford it and you think an elderly person is struggling , or even if they're not..... pop a tenner in an envelope and a note with an anonymous good wishes, keep warm note.

     

    And pop in to make sure they are warm enough and have enough food. Meals on Wheels, if they can deliver are often late in adverse weather conditions. Older adults are frightened to go out in icy conditions in case they fall and break something so often stay indoors alone. Isolation and loneliness is a health hazard as much as physical problems. 

    Sorry mods, I probably shouldn’t have put this here. 

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 2
  9. Gosh these outputs have given me pause for thought. Anyone else struck at how small, vulnerable and defenceless Britain and Ireland look with these huge Siberian Snow Devils advancing upon us?  (I’m not ashamed to admit I’m beginning to feel some trepidation and unease if any of these deliver all those kinky snow lines).

    Oh and if the models do deliver such awesome/phenomenal/Just Wow/:help: (take your pick/delete as applicable) snowfest chaos and there are the inevitable power cuts, no-one will be able to come in here and obsess about how quickly the GFS brings in the mild.  We’ll have to actually go outside in it. Hmm, have you thought about that ? ?

     

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    • Like 8
  10. 52 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

    I think for entertainment value, this run get's a 10 out of 10 from me.  For the likelihood of verifying beyond about 150, I would give it around a 2.  Trust me, this chart at 210 will not be appearing on the 0z (shame, looks an absolute snowfest). 

    gfsnh-0-210.png?18

    FI currently around 96, but I think at least the weekend moving into Monday should be pretty much nailed by tomorrow evening runs

    There's a skull face over the UK in the above run.  Probably apt if this verified...

    47 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

     

  11. With such model uncertainty until the SSW outcomes begin to emerge I’m tempted to prescribe anti anxiety medication, therapy sessions and finally, circa mid next week, a nonbenzodiazepine hypnotic such as Zopiclone to aid desperately needed sleep, after each and every model run is pounced on, forensically scrutinised, over analysed and discussed in minute detail during the next three to five days.  Should the nw server crash in the meantime, meltdown referrals for inpatient care will go through the roof.... :help:  

    Now, do I self prescribe or forceably limit myself to a once a day model watching-only brief? :unsure2:

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