karyo
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Posts posted by karyo
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3 hours ago, Had Worse said:
Absolutely steamy here. Top temp supposedly 26°C but the humidity is making it feel like 90+.
Good storms last night. They developed right overhead in a matter of 20 minutes with very frequent ? and thunder.
You are in a good place for some more evening action today and you may also catch a shower in the coming days.
For the rest of us a boring few days to come.
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1 hour ago, cheshire snow said:
Well having a look at my trusted friend the Arome the main threat today is the Midlands South
C.S
I have to say, Arome did pretty well yesterday. I will be paying more attention to it from now on.
Our best chance for storms is likely to be Sunday & Monday when the pressure falls again from the south.
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2 minutes ago, dodge said:
Popped up just like that around Wigan and barely moved...16:40 nothing on radar...20 mins later...Boom. Hoping we get a few pop-ups around the GM area before too long, the heats been incredible outdoors at work today.
I was hoping for some imported action from the Midlands as per the Arome but looking at the current situation I think a pop-up cell is our best chance today.
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A shower developed just northwest of Manchester. Unfortunately moving away from me.
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The Midlands are getting active too! People in the southern parts of our region need to watch this development.
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Cumbria is getting active!
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5 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:
Stick with the Arome spot on last night.
IMO the euro 4 is not that good think about winter and its snow predictions very poor.
C.S
The euro 4 often tends to underestimate shower activity and the Arome tends overdo it. Fingers crossed for the Arome to be closer to the mark as it looks peachy for today.
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The updated euro 4 shows an isolated downpour in Cumbria for this evening and nothing else for the rest of the region. Then for Thursday and Friday it has no precipitation over us at all.
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An elevated shower is trying to form just north of Manchester. It is slowly moving northwards.
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The sun has woken up unfortunately. It's been ages since the last spotless day.
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Last night was special and I ended up going to bed late again but it was worth it. The rolling thunder and fork lightning were something else. Definately an elevated storm.
However, looking at the various models today, I get the feeling that our thundery week is cut short. Most of the activity looks reserved for Wales, the Mids and the south for the next few days as higher pressure from the north extends its influence to our region . The slack low pressure system from France and the south looks like coming back over us by the end of the weekend so hopefully a return of the thunderstorms too but Sunday is too far away to be confident about.
Let's hope that the weather turns out more exciting than the models currently suggest.
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Fork lightning and rolling thunder! That's awesome! Strangely, there is only little rain falling.
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2 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:
Just heard it here in Oldham.
There are frequent small flashes of lightning and every now and then a really bright one with audible thunder
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Rolling thunder now!
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It is starting to rain in Piccadilly and I have just heard the thunder from the south.
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I can see the lightning to the south/southwest of me.
I am knackered from staying up last night but tempted to stay up a bit longer.
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32 minutes ago, Dexter said:
Seems to be developments further South in Midlands according to the other thread so there is hope yet for tonight.
Nice thunderstorm in Birmingham and a couple of cells northwest of London. The problem is (like with the Cambridge storm earlier) that those surface based storms come up and die quite quickly.
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A cell has popped up east of Stoke! People around Manchester need to watch this.
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1 minute ago, Zak M said:
Smashing through that cap! Lightning detector is picking up some strikes.
This is a real beauty!
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3 minutes ago, Had Worse said:
I'm noticing a more NW flow to the storms. Seems S Ireland is more in line at the moment. Keep hearing the occasional rumble but most stuff is out at sea or 100 miles South.
This is a good direction for the Llyn peninsula. You will get it good today.
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11 minutes ago, Ramp said:
Fingers crossed but looking at the map on his tweet, he seems to expect the storms from Wales and the west Mids to move north/northeastwards while the models seem to indicate more of a north/northwestward move.
I think areas close to the coast will do best. Wales is getting it hard as we speak.
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Elevated shower over the pennines.
A few more of those around the Leicester area moving nirthwestwards but the real activity with thunder is in Wales and the southwest.
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The updated euro 4 is a peach! It shows activity in our region from 2am onwards, with a crescendo of activity late afternoon to early evening tomorrow.
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6 minutes ago, Dexter said:
Our region looks to be well placed for storms over the next few days, starting tonight. It was a cracking spell for storms in June. It would really be the icing on the cake for this summer to get further storms this week. Makes a nice change for things not to be shunted East. It would be nice if this is a pattern that continues in future years.
Yes, nothing worse than seeing the activity missing us to the East.
Our reason is a disaster for snow so let's at least benefit from summer storms!
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North West Regional Discussion 3 June 2020 onwards
in Regional
Posted
The good news is that the models are looking more promising from tomorrow onwards. The slack low pressure from the south is going to deepen slightly and start moving slowly north. We just have today to get through.