karyo
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Posts posted by karyo
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Some nice towering cumulus clouds have now developed here. Although I am not expecting anything at least they are interesting to look at.
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It looks like another boring day in the London area. The sky looks quite stable and devoid of convective activity.
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I am pleasantly surprised
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It looks like the south is drying up, starting from the south coast and progressing northeastwards. The really juicy stuff is further north.
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9 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:
You’re right actually. Runs have certainly changed a bit and made tomorrow quite decent looking now. Wednesday could be decent as there looks to be a fair bit of windshear involved.
Yes, it will be an interesting week for sure. :-)
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23 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:
Interesting forecast. Some night time shows possible tonight. Tomorrow looks a bit quieter, but then Wednesday is the next one that could be quite eventful for many, with widespread storms during the day.
I think if anything tomorrow looks better than Wednesday as there will be plenty of shower activity and light winds. By Wednesday the winds will be stronger so if a storm occurs it will move through very quickly.
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I had an intense storm in west wickham about half an hour ago. Lots of thunder. The rain has moved away now but I can still hear thunder.
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Brightening up in central London.
The radar shows a nice line of heavy showers to the east. They have intensified in the last half an hour.
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9 minutes ago, Harry said:
AROME, WRF-NMM and Euro4 all painting a similar picture a pronounced line stretching from somewhere in EA southwestwards across the London region and through the other side.
That line could as ever be a 10-20 miles further east or west and if the line does not move far very quickly, could mean some very high rainfall totals.
Yes, the convergence zone has the potential to re-create what happened nearly two weeks ago when parts of London were affected by flooding.
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The Euro 4 shows a line of torrential downpours over London for this afternoon!
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It hasn't even rained in west London!
Looking at the Euro, I am not expecting anything for the rest of the day. I just wish this dull cloud would lift.
Tomorrow is looking more promising, especially for the southeast. However, a northeasterly flow may also mean a lot of low cloud.
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5 minutes ago, sheikhy said:
Add latest gfs as well to the drier theme!!!band of rain tomorrow gets as far as southern midlands before dying out!!!
Also, biig downgrade for Sunday on the latest gfs
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5 minutes ago, Chris.R said:
I’m looking forward to polar maritime showers here next week.; they’re always exciting unlike these stupid plumes.
Agreed! I am also looking forward to some sleep at night
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1 minute ago, sheikhy said:
Same with euro4 and ukv!!one thing ive noticed is there was a lot of rain forecasted more widely for england for this weekend it now looks mainly dry for most areas especially when viewing the ukv!!
Yes, it looks like a dry weekend for the majority of the country. At some point it looked like much of England and Wales would get rain/showers but the downgrades have been continuous.
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The 6z ICON has adjusted the low even further south compared to its earlier run.
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It looks like London will be the northern extend off any storms tomorrow. That's assuming they make it here.
Let's hope there won't be any more southward adjustments.
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1 minute ago, alexisj9 said:
Does the high stay instead?
I feel we've been hot long enough lol.
The high slowly erodes but the thundery low tracks further south (mainly over France) and then moves north over the north sea. Still some action for the southeast in particular but only a day or so ago it looked a much more widespread event as the low was projected to be further north.
It looks like we will have an light easterly flow on Saturday and a northerly on Sunday.
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Not good to see the southward adjustment of this weekend's low on the gfs and Icon. If this continues France will get the majority of the action.
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Shower broke out over Bury St Edmunds according to the radar. The visible satellite also shows speckled clouds over East Anglia
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Cumulous clouds are starting to bubble up in west London.
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According to Euro 4 Cumbria is the place to be today but the forecasts here show the southeast as having the highest chance.
I will keep an eye on how things develop
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I won't be surprised if we don't see another spotless day this year.
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It doesn't look good for west London with everything well of east of here. I wish this westerly flow would stop.
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Solar and Aurora Activity Chat
in Space, Science & nature
Posted
The article does not compare it to SC24, it focuses on the comparison with the forecasts. In fact, they are saying that this cycle may even reach its peak early because of the increased activity. All an all, it is not good news for quiet sun worshippers like us.