Sawel
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Posts posted by Sawel
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1 minute ago, bigsnow said:im no map reader but last time i looked Germany was land locked with no coast..
...But it has the third biggest port in Europe! You're right, you're certainly no map reader.
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12 minutes ago, FiftyShadesofSnow said:
Gfs seems to model NE USA and Greenland much better than the Euros, due to locale...12z concerning if it's spotted the flatter pattern due to the Canadian lobe an stronger jet...it's flat.
Very misleading and completely wrong. The ECM consistently outperforms GFS when it comes to snowstorms and hurricanes around the east coast of the USA - the pros over there always slate the GFS! ECM is their go to model when big weather events are incoming.
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19 minutes ago, Norrance said:
Quite big flakes now.
Been snowing heavily for quite a while up here.
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54 minutes ago, Hawesy said:
@Sawel what’s your elevation asl?
Met Office going with snow above around 200m so if you’re thereabouts that’s a good call.
@Norrance yeah wet bulb freezing level is around 400m over Dundee right now, according to GFS. Generally you want it to be less than 200m from your elevation for snow so it ties in with the above. Other factors in play of course, it’s only a rough guide.
I'm just over 140 metres ASL. The fact that I'm further inland has a bearing too compared to the rest of the town.
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34 minutes ago, Norrance said:
Still snow here but not heavy enough to land on the wet ground, perhaps due to the those damn bulbs. @hawesy?
Maybe higher up at @sawel part of the city it has a chance.
Yep, everything getting covered again.
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Should get another 1-2 hours of it before temperature nudges up.
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8 minutes ago, Norrance said:
Heavy sleet / rain now. Temp 1.5C Dewpoint +0.5
i think that @hawesy is correct that snow will be confined to inland areas now with a little altitude.
Cars getting covered again up here.
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2 minutes ago, Nick L said:
If the UKV is anything to go by, absolutely. It has shifted the potential a long way east, but I'm remaining cautious as it's a bit isolated with this.
Still plenty of snow showers showing for up here in Dundee and Eastern Scotland between now and Tuesday I imagine?
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Check this storm out, especially near the end UNBELIEVEABLE!!!!
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1 minute ago, Hawesy said:
In the absence of interesting weather
I went for a sneaky pint after work. Group of guys at one table were talking about the foot of snow due to fall tonight (I didn’t have the heart to say that was somewhat unlikely in Broughty Ferry
) while another group were mocking the red warning from the Met Office because there was virtually no snow outside (let’s leave aside the fact that Dundee isn’t in the red warning area). Two conclusions to draw:
1) unless it happens in your backyard very few folk are interested or have any sense of the ‘bigger perspective’
2) what kind of idiot would get involved in the snow prediction game....
@Norrance @Sawel can we go back to a yellow warning, please? Delivered much more than the amber....
Been a disappointing day in general - had about 9cms fall yesterday evening up until 4am this morning and only a cm or so since. So you're right - the yellow warning overdelivered and the amber warning has been a big let down so far!
I'll never forget the whiteout and extreme windchill last night. Will look back on these videos and pics I have for years to come. The most severe and extreme snow and windchill I've experienced!
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ECM @ 120hrs wanting to keep us in the cold and bring down a north easterly!
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1 minute ago, BurntFishTrousers said:
Stuck in traffic and was gonna go for a pee. Then thought better of it!
I hate being watched whilst I pee.
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@Norrance - no difference up here, measured 9-10cms although there's been a lot of drifting. My higher altitude and being further inland is not making any difference at the moment!
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4 minutes ago, 101_North said:
Although I agree to a certain extent with the Met's logic on this I think a 'red' should apply wherever there is threat to life or disruption regardless of population density.
I agree sir!
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3 minutes ago, Ravelin said:
Nah, we're hardier than those soft central belters.
Seriously, probably more to do with population density causing it to be raised rather than severity. If the M8 is closed with snow and people stranded everyone takes notice, if the B979 is the same.....
Yep, it seems to be reserved for the most populous areas of the UK with busy motorways, airports etc. Put it this way, how many times have you seen the highlands under a red warning? Zilch.
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1 minute ago, colrobs said:
Good video, enjoy thr rest of the night/morning. I'm off now, see what tomorrow brings.
A few more days of this so lots of folk should get plenty of fun.
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Just now, colrobs said:
The snow and the cold are wild with the wind.
It was quite an experience! a lot of drifting too.
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I went outside to experience the heavy snow and get a taste of the -16c uppers as I've never experienced such extreme conditions. Am I in Dundee or the Arctic?
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Thundersnow and lightning!!!!
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4 minutes ago, Penicuikblizzard said:
When are the coldest uppers due to arrive??
Between about now and 9am. Last time we had uppers like this was 1991. It's possible you'll never experience uppers like this again in your lifetime.
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1 minute ago, Cheggers said:
maybe looking for the red warning ⚠ button ?
Nah, that only happens when there's 3 cms in London Town.
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Our yellow warning for Saturday has been removed by the MO.
EDIT - Errr it's back again.
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2 minutes ago, Norrance said:
And the next shower begins.
Feels weird as all the house lights in my street are off which is very unusual so everyone appears to have gone to bed to keep cosy. That is apart from me who is staring out the window lampost watching
I went out to take a few measurements and have 8cms measured on flat ground (no grass) in my front garden.
I went for a sneaky pint after work. Group of guys at one table were talking about the foot of snow due to fall tonight (I didn’t have the heart to say that was somewhat unlikely in Broughty Ferry
) while another group were mocking the red warning from the Met Office because there was virtually no snow outside (let’s leave aside the fact that Dundee isn’t in the red warning area). Two conclusions to draw:
Model output discussion - 7th January onwards
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Erm, that foot and a half of snow "near Dublin" is actually for the Wicklow Mountains which are only 20 miles from Dublin. The highest peak being over 900 metres so perfectly plausible.