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Sawel

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    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Sawel

    7 minutes ago, Quinach said:

     

    When I say "toning down" I mean from epic amounts being forecast by the likes of ECM a few days back to sizeable amounts. Plus, I'm just referring to this area (Dundee). On the MO website, it changes all the time but I notice it's much less inclined to show anywhere near the amount of heavy snow symbols compared to areas across the central belt for tomorrow and Thursday.

    Sorry - no idea why it has quoted Quinach @edo

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    The ECM precip charts and other models have most of the precipitation for the central belt tomorrow and Thursday. Could just be me but here at least anyway, there seems to be a gradual toning down of the amount being forecast. I know those automated symbols on the MO website aren't much of a guide but compared to a few days ago, there's very dark cloud "heavy snow" symbols. The ECM precip charts have an epic amount of snow for tomorrow for Edinburgh on Yr.no.

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Serac said:

    Come on Met Office .... you know you want to ..... time for a cheeky wee red warning for tomorrow surely

    I think it's quite possible as there will be pretty significant disruption across the central belt tomorrow. The red warnings seem to be reserved for the most populous areas. London had a red warning for about 5 cms of snow a few years back. The amount of snow is not really what warrants a red warning I believe but it's the disruption expected and the central belt should should warrant one because there's going to be a lot of snow and it will cause havoc on such a populated area with some of the busiest motorways in the UK.

    • Like 3

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, edo said:

    Your taking the pi55 now :clap:

    The parents stay in Dundee so it is an option.....snowball fight on the beach followed by a sitty in visocchi's would be a nice winter treat 

    You will get your fill of snow and then some. There will be a very strong wind to accompany the snow showers so they'll definitely blow through to you. I remember in 2010, for a few days there was a very slack flow and areas right on the coast were under an amber warning whereas a few miles inland, there was no warning because the showers hugged the coast only.

    Some areas will see easterly winds right up until Sunday with Wed/Thurs/Fri looking like the main days. Even Saturday has potential (at the moment).

     

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted · Edited by Sawel

    14 minutes ago, Norrance said:

    We have friends that live in Troon Gardens off Dalmahoy Drive and others just further up in Larchhfield. They often have snow when most of Dundee has wet snow, sleet or rain. In 2010 they had a good 10 cms more than here and we had 40Cms+ by the 3rd Dec. Jan 2013 was a good example where the snow was wet here but drier up there meaning we had only 10 cms or so but they had 30+. You should do well.!

    The West and North side generally does better than the town centre and East as Hawesy has found out recently.

    I'm even further up past there - I'm just past St Marys (Brackens area) up near Clatto. It can be quite strange leaving a snowy environment to then be surrounded by green fields and sleet only a couple of minutes down the road! I believe a lot of rooves collapsed up around here back in 2010 due to the weight of the snow, particularly in Ardler as many houses there were of a particular design.

    • Like 1

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Norrance said:

    Yes often misused. Sustained winds of 35mph+ with heavy and blowing snow for three hours at least is the definition I have heard. Also visibility has to be under under a quarter of a mile.

    I'm off work this week (self-employed) due to the severity of the weather forecast as I work outside. I haven't experienced a proper easterly blast up here in the extreme NW of Dundee. I wasn't living here during 2010 - I lived closer to town. I'm looking forward to see how many cms I can get.

    • Like 1

    Scotland/Alba Regional Weather Discussion - 16/01/2018 Onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Just now, edo said:

    I actually laughed out loud at the latest amber update, have never seen them be so bullish.......cut off for days is surprising even if the usual caveats are in the statement.  I think it is the wind factor that is increasing the warning language as drifting could cause chaos.....I cant remember the last proper blizzard here....even in 2010 none of the falls were proper blizzards.

    "Blizzard" - perhaps the most common overused description from someone when it snows. Most people have no idea what a real blizzard actually is like. A bit of wind and heavy snow is not a blizzard! However, some of us may see proper blizzard conditions over the coming week!

    • Like 7
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