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Jane Louise

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Posts posted by Jane Louise

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    It's looking very promising today and this time I'm sure I'll get a storm Posted Image wherever you may be  good luck and keep safe,  e.g .which includes no standing on top of hills in any fierce thunderstorms  or hanging from tops of trees with your camera trying to get lightning shots and getting stuck up there in a strong lightning storm with no one there to rescue you lol!  ( you know who you are Posted Image lol say no more)

    • Like 2

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    its always a good direction from the south plume....i will keep an eye through out tonight.......did u see the other month N/E.. now that was a supercelll...skirted here Gloucester West......lightning was like Texas no kidding.....though gutted as it headed north towards Coventry,notts  ect...around 3---4am...consistent lightning..anyway i will be quiet.........looking at radarPosted Image

    Ahh yes, many a times these storms have been so close to me the sky has looked evil and I've had the camera ready also  been glued to the NW radar and the damn things always get so close then head off NE lol

    • Like 1

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    it will promise.......gonna happen...your see.....keep an eye tomorrow..good chance like Paul said charts showing good potential

     

    if not tomorrow....it will happen  always does in cycles..always be optomistic..

    Always the Optimistic I am Lol I really have a good feeling now about tomorrow..whenever you promised before all those years ago they did actually happen.Posted Image Yay, roll on  tomorrow.Posted Image I'm awaiting the  forecast from Estofex at the moment.Wonder what time it will be tonight.Posted Image

    • Like 1

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    nice to see you girl.........thats a long question....................many times usa.....gloucester...chelt.....midlands derby....too much to say......good to see u  still at it......ive always kept a look out  for uk TS........and while im here will be watching tomorrows potential.......Posted Image lol..good old times janePosted Image ..look promising/.....cameras   got cobwebs  in uk..not  missurio

    You too Posted Image Lol, Yes , good old times and what a laugh we used to have following and hoping the storms would hit Glos in the early hours especially.  My camera is ready again . I'm hoping tomorrows the day Lol Posted Image Posted Image

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Posted 7.38pm Weds
     
    Moderate Risk of Elevated Thunderstorms Early Phase SW UK and Late Phase SE UK
     
    A relatively low risk for categorised severe weather though certainly some potential for localised electrical displays.
     
    A near 'Spanish Plume' scenario with a very elevated layer of theta expected to slide northward from the continent through Thurs. Looking at the forecast soundings it appears unlikely that any of this lot will be capable of becoming surface based. ML CAPE looks to start from around 700mb upwards. Spanish Plumes are typically very hard to predict timing wise. In this case even more so when the theta looks mixed in with the primary cold front then post frontal surface troughing. Some broad variation within the WRF and GFS models; WRF giving scattered thundery showers primarily early on across the SW whilst GFS concentrates the best instability much further east later in the day. If we look primarily at the GFS we see the strongest risk zone to be Herts through to Suffolk late evening. Whilst this region shows the strongest ascent between an elevated layer at 650mb and 500mb I am not sure if the increase in vertical shear at this level will have any significant effect in isolating any embedded storm cells.
     
     

     

    Good luck all.Posted Image

    • Like 1

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    Synopsis

    Upper trough/low west of Biscay will migrate eastwards towards France. On its northern flank, advection of a very warm and humid airmass will occur from NW France to SW Britain, with associated mid-level instability. At the surface, a frontal boundary will remain close to Biscay coasts towards Scilly.

     

    Discussion

    Along the plume axis, scattered elevated showers and thunderstorms are forecast to drift northwestwards across the highlighted SLGT area throughout the forecast period, with some 400-600 J/kg MLCAPE. Given such instability, some stronger cells may produce small hail. Decaying cells may drift further north later in the day, although some uncertainty exists as to their northern extent.

     

    http://ukasf.co.uk/storm-forecasts/281

     

     

    Cheers Stu, one can, but only hope , one sees something at least LolPosted Image

    Daddy LongLegs ( Crane fly)

    in Space, Science & nature

    Posted

    Me n my junior scool buddy were terrible eivl little blighters at school. If we caught one in class the trick was.... If you gently removed all the legs then released them, they were incapable of landing thus causing havoc to the girls for the duration of the lesson.I don't do things like that now, ive grown up a touch since then.... I think!

    When I was young my brother used to pull off the legs and wings and put them in my bed and throw handfuls of them at me. That is why I'm petrified of the horrible little things. Yesterday the farmer cut the grass in the field , so there aren't so many but there are still enough to scare me lol.

    Daddy LongLegs ( Crane fly)

    in Space, Science & nature

    Posted · Edited by Jane Louise

    Please could anyone tell me when the Dll will die off. There are thousands in the field next to me and I'm petrified off them. It's been 3 weeks now they've been hanging around! Do I really have to wait until the first frost before they are killed off!Posted Image

    Convective / Storm Discussion - 8th September onwards 2013

    in Storms & Severe Weather

    Posted

    For some though they have had some of their best storms in as little as 2 weeks for 6 years.

    I'd say it's the North east that does well nowadays and I know not all in the NE gets them but those that do have had a good couple of years of them. Could it be something to do with the North sea? years ago we used to get some breath taking storms her in Cheltenham! autumn ones were pretty cool.Summertime was the best though for all nighters but sadly nothing happens anymore.. Oh, how I miss the storms, the best weather of all in my book.

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