guitarnutter
-
Posts
166 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by guitarnutter
-
-
Where is everyone? Lol.
Sites been down.
I was going to say, no post in model output for 50 minutes!
-
I presume you are a wind up merchant with your signature?
Sarcasm.
Maybe i should have put 'Wise Words
:lol: !!!!' so that you dont get confused. -
Again the cold seems to get pushed further away, never properly in the reliable timeframe, with downgrades happenining all the time.
-
Subject to the usual changes at this range, the last Saturday before christmas might be a bit chilly!
-
What is modeltracker?
-
Lowest Daytime Maxima
-15c Braemar 29th December 1995
-12.1c Shawbury 12th December 1981
Holy cow, thats cold!
-
Merry Christmas!
-
I wonder how cold and prolonged this cold spell would have to be for the majority of people in model output discussion to be looking for mild weather?
-
Bring back reputation!
-
Made me laugh. Preston could never look like that. Im sure during 1963 it was raining here.
Not bad to have 144hrs away: http://91.121.94.83/modeles/gfs/run/gfs-1-144.png?18
Has netweather been broken again by everyone looking at the charts? I bet that record broken a few days ago didnt last long!
North Africa battered by the Jet! http://charts.netweather.tv/gfsimages/gfs.20091211/18/144/hgt300.png
-
Right well I'll be taking a trip up PoundLand tomorrow to stock up on winter essentials . Their cheap winter products that don't work combined with instore Poundland FM and narrow straight jacket aisles make for a great shopping experience.
Bring on the freeze.
What do you expect when everthing is a pound?
-
May well see a forecast looking something like this mid month;
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vae_rVLlyw4
Good fantasy stuff going on.
Or maybe one like this:
-
Spot on: a properly-tempered analysis: i.e., it's got potential, but equally the potential to manifest nothing extraordinary whatsover.
And noteworthy how the latest (3 versions of) UKMO detailed 6-15 day briefings wholly downplay any hint of significant (or for much of southern UK, effectively any) snow risk whatsoever, albeit maintaining the rather prolonged colder theme. Yes, they highlight various caveats to this idea but 'Cold & Largely Dry' effectively sums-up the essence of their 1-2 week prognosis. Sure, this could prove utterly erroneous but - as so many have already rightly cautioned here on this thread - the models (and especially post-T+144!!)can shift so significantly as to render any longer-range validity of discussion into the mere 'ramping' category, as beloved by certain daily newspapers... irrespective of the season.
A wise post. You should be a weather forcaster or sumink!
-
A new thread coming in a few minutes, folks
It definately feels like winter when we get through a model output discussion thread in 24 hours!
And with charts like this;
there is certainly a lot to discuss!
-
http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Recm1681.gif
100 times better than the 00z-
CMON we need that 552 line all the way to svalbard if it varifies it will be for the first time in 25 years....
S
What is the furthest north the 552 line has ever been? Has it ever been over or very near the north pole?
That 1050 high over near Svalbard aint too shoddy either!
-
What website are you viewing that on , i'm still getting 00z
Probably http://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/ecmwf.php
Don't tell Paul
My bad
-
-
I can't see -20 850's over us in 3 days time ... can you ?
It may be a glitch
We have our very own Rudyard Kipling!
What's the fascination with Meteociel anyway? I don't suppose it is much different to our own model runs......... apart from them being totally wrong :lol:I often get called Mr Kipling, either for my brilliant short stories, or for my large scale cake consumption.
GWO:
-
Ah yes, the mighty JMA. I'm sorry but pitted against the GFS and the UKMO the JMA is exposed as a bit of a comedy model!
I have to admit, it was a tongue in cheek comment ( a gold star for those who noticed!) But lets just keep a level head while those around are losing theirs. There's still a long way to go before a cold easterly is definately on the cards. I for one will only get excited when the event is so close even the WMC Moscow is picking it up!
-
Bad news, the JMA is having none of it
Cancel the sledge orders, it's going to be a long winter
-
Roll up Roll up, Place your bets on when the models will stop showing the potential cold spell and the forum is flooded with 'winter is over' whining posts!
I'll say the 9th when the -5 850 air no longer makes it to the UK!
-
Will be interesting to see if ECMWF joins in. I still think it's too far out to be worth getting excited over,
The voice of sanity and reason, lets not get excited until those charts are showing up less than 100z away. Nice trend though, it hasnt just been the 18z booze fest that's got everyones hopes up!
http://charts.netweather.tv/gfsimages/gfs.20091207/06/180/h850t850eu.png
-
So what do you thing the chances are for the manchester are getting anything out of the current trend?
100%
-
can anyone say whats happening with the charts yet? or is this message invisible like the other one again ( deleted ) when a question was asked its ok for some and not others eh.
The Whining Thread
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
No worries.
If anyone is quoting Ian Brown and saying anything positive, i think it can be assumed it is sarcasm