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afcone

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Everything posted by afcone

  1. afcone
    Some of the storm clouds moving up the Channel as seen from Camber Sands today...
  2. afcone
    My wife wanted to know whether this weekend would be a good time to put some bedding plants in the garden. Apparently not, as according to Netweather the soil temperature is going to be 0.35 Kelvin! Possibly a bug?
  3. afcone
    Feels like spring today. Even more so that last night was the first time in ages that leaving work the sky wasn't pitch black (it was still dark, but every little counts!) And the daffs are flowering. No doubt next week it'll be back to miserable gales and rain!
  4. afcone
    As they say on Wikipedia: 'Citation Needed'
  5. afcone
    It's quite fun to watch the Star gradually mutate into the Express for people with an even lower reading age... They've had quite quite a few weather stories with quotes from 'scientists' recently and following the Express approach of chuck in a quote from the Met Office that's quite measured, then switch and bait with some nutter from his shed talking about apocalyptic snow or deadly heat waves. Cheap way to get 'news' I suppose...
  6. afcone
    Still very blowy here and it was very noisy overnight. The nearest weather station put the max gust at about 60 mph. However, for Meopham the main event was the torrential rain (squall line?) that came through around just before 7pm. This combined with the saturated ground caused immediate flash flooding of a level I hadn't seen around here before. The A227 turned into a river in minutes and stayed that way for an hour or so after the rain passed. I could see it running into people's gardens as I drove to Culverstone and I just hope homes weren't damaged :-(
  7. afcone
    Indeed, after the past few months I don't even bat an eyelid at a Yellow warning any more. These days I consider a Yellow warning to be like a nice summer's day ;-)
  8. afcone
    I think this is a neat example why debating with the climate change denial industry is about as satisfying as debating with creationists or 9-11 truthers - it's the conspiracy theory element that a bunch of scientists are fixing the argument in order to get rich. Knowing a few researchers in fluid dynamics (not meteorology/climate science) trust me when I say that scientific research is not a route to untold wealth. Indeed, the climate change denial movement is happy to throw mud at scientists for being 'in it for the money' but don't look at their own sources. Take, for instance, the first link you provided. The author works for the Hearland Institute, a 'think-tank' that describes itself as primarily campaigning against environmental regulations (having moved on from its work in the nineties to try to discredit the link between smoking and cancer - how'd that work out?). Here you have a guy whose paycheck directly depends on slinging mud at climate scientists - and yet it is the scientists whom you accuse of having a conflict of interests. Anyhow, I don't want to sideline this thread onto climate change, however, my point stands that the increased preponderance of drought and extreme rainfall events are not contrary, do not disprove climate change and have a readily explainable basis, and one that is likely to have a direct impact on our region. (FWIW, I am actually quite critical of our response to climate change, I support some green energy from an energy security basis but believe that we should focus on mitigation - flood defences and the like. But that is arguing with the political response to a scientific fact, rather than pretending the fact isn't there)
  9. afcone
    It's certainly a tricky one. Who to believe? 98% of the world's scientific community, or the Daily Telegraph? Anyhow, for a more scientific view on whether this recent record-breaking wet weather I can highly recommend the recent Met Office briefing (http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/n/i/Recent_Storms_Briefing_Final_07023.pdf) which gives a very good overview of the science around this, and where more research is needed. A rough précis is that we can't definitely attribute these storms to climate change, just that extreme rainfall events are more likely recent changes to the climate. (And as an aside, it is entirely possible that climate change could lead to both more extreme droughts and wet winters, for example by increasing the chance of blocking patterns in the mid-latitudes - this is currently a very active area of research)
  10. afcone
    Very much the calm before the storm here at the moment. The Netweather radar looks ominous though!
  11. afcone
    Well, that hail certainly spoiled my umbrella-less walk to Nandos at lunchtime... am a touch wet.
  12. afcone
    Yep, sounding quite noisy here in Meopham. Nothing on the previous storm though.
  13. afcone
    Definitely powering up here, which is what was expected for midnight. A fairly constant growl of the wind, it's noticeably louder than before.
  14. afcone
    Looking for Kent (at least) that there will be two waves. Firstly the warm front at around 2-3pm and then the cold front at between midnight and 3am, with a slight lull in the middle - though that lull will still have gusts of 50mph so won't seem like it!
  15. afcone
    As a considerate driver I will ensure that I continue to ask whether the goose is OK, and take its silence as confirmation that everything is fine ;-)
  16. afcone
    I have to go and collect a goose at 1pm, with the NMM showing 64mph gusts and heavy rain... not fun.
  17. afcone
    Per Tomas Shafernaker on Twitter: 'Stormy Mon-Tue: Likely that across less hardy South UK wind gusts similar to St Jude Storm but this time lasting much longer and wider area'
  18. afcone
    Morning all. Am loving the fact that weatheronline now has the EURO4 model, and it's even showing some snow for the north of our region (nowhere near me though).
  19. afcone
    From the Environment Agency's website (http://www.environment-agency.gov.uk/homeandleisure/floods/142151.aspx) it looks like Kent is going to bear the brunt of the storm surge, with a Severe Flood Warning for Sandwich and Flood Warnings for the surrounding area + Gravesend. Not good.
  20. afcone
    Weather reporter on BBC News 24 saying that we did see a sting jet last night, albeit much weaker than in 1987
  21. afcone
    Weird, we're only a couple of miles up the road and there are several trees down round here (thankfully none onto cars or houses). Also the line appears still to be blocked due to a tree down at Sole St.
  22. afcone
    SE Trains on Twitter saying services on Monday might not start until 9 or 10am. Another reason to work from home!
  23. afcone
    Train is taking me straight towards the cell approaching Swanley :-)
  24. afcone
    Latest Met Office warning reckons Friday night will be a 'near miss' and it'll all happen in the channel. Or Belgium. Bloody Belgium.
  25. afcone
    Weather warning for Friday/Saturday: 1234 on Tue 30 Jul 2013 Valid from: 1200 on Fri 2 Aug 2013 Valid to: 1200 on Sat 3 Aug 2013 Outbreaks of rain may become heavy and thundery for a time later on Friday, overnight and at first on Saturday. The public should be aware that this may lead to some transport disruption and localised flooding. After another spell of hot weather there is the potential for thundery rain to develop and affect parts of SE England later this week. Confidence in these developments at this time range is often low and reference to our web site for updates is advised Local Authorities affected and associated warning levels Greater London, Surrey, East Sussex, West Sussex, Kent, Medway
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