VillagePlank

There's a tantalizing hint of a streamer in the Midlands, come Saturday: perhaps that's just a little too far off to be confident with such a fine detail though: be nice if it corrects, say, 150 miles further south

Well, it's just what the charts show: a dank, very stable atmosphere, with heavy clouds producing a little precipitation where it is sufficiently cold enough at height for that precipitation to fall as snow.

There's a good chance we will see some of the white stuff before Monday. This is the cold 850hPa arriving, tomorrow, from the east and exiting north on Sunday Here's the deeper 500hPa layer cold air arriving from the west, tomorrow, exiting to the east, thursday t However, this seems to be a temporay thing with the deeper cold air reversing it's direction and then coming in from the east on Friday, and leaving early on Sunday If it precipitates then it should fall as snow anywhere at height from about midnight, tonight - through to Friday morning, and then falling as snow to sea level on Saturday. The question is, will it precipitate? Best day, is, funnily enough, Saturday, However, there is drizzle in the air all week - some will see more drizzle, some will see less - it's that kind of dirty high pressure. Hopes for Thames streamers (and equivalent convective streams) are still alive - just - it's the wrong time of year with SST of the North Sea somewhat too cool for vigorous convection Do I think our region will see snow before Monday? Yes. Is it going to be show-stopping, everyone gets a day off work? No. It is probably best characterised as damp, dark, and dull - with the odd flurry in the air - with the best chances for any depth on Saturday - maybe 2cms in favoured locations.

Odds on that pressure will be lower than what GFS is forecasting by maybe up to 3-4mb for the SE

Precipitation radar shows what's in the sky, which is not necessarily what reaches the ground. Colder air at the surface may well mean that it's evaporated before it gets to you.

Be honest, you love it!

MetO, GFS, GFS 0.25, and Euro4 all have an occluding front hitting N Kent around midday - perhaps slightly later. There may be showers before, but this is the main interest for tomorrow, for our area.

Maybe too far west, but keep an eye out late morning.

My back yard. Where else?

Low. Due to hit around lunchtime.

Well, it's your own fault for installing underfloor heating outside!!

I'm talking about local to North Kent ie Medway Council.

This is a thundersnow setup, if ever I've seen one,

I think now is about as bad as it's going to get. Local gritters said they wouldn't go out until the snow had stopped, so expect them to be heavily busy overnight, with roads clear for rush hour tomorrow. Someone somewhere has actually been using their brain ....

Somewhere between 9am to midday. Models don't agree, and we can't estimate it until we see the mesoscale feature appear on the radar.

Stopped snowing in Rochester, wind is picking up. As of yet, no thawing ...

It's chaos around here; lots of roads have abandoned cars already - and we only got (so far) max three inches.

Very rapidly; that's when the cold air really digs in,

Euro4 was the model of the day, today

Still snowing here in Rochester. Always a good location, Bluebell Hill ...

I think it's more to do with the wind than slightly higher dew points. Essentially, wind keeps the air at the surface well mixed enabling dry air to mix back in, enhancing evaporation.

If snow isn't a temporary covering in the UK then pretty much we're into the next ice age

It's the location where the (really) cold air met the precipitation. Colder air to come.

There are power cuts all over the ME1 postcode region. Guess I'm lucky, power is still on ...

I'm hoping that its becaue the provider is manipulating the voltage to cope with demand ....