swales

I'm with Welshwizard, my gut is telling me snowfest. We need to hope this block is MUCH stronger than the models think it is... and with a bit of luck it will stall in a perfect position for Wales snowfest. Don't worry about the dam line. I'm sure I've read it can be used as a guide but by no means a definite answer for snow/rain. However, I'm no expert.

Indeed. I don't want to jinx us but what's gonna happen is the front will push in, gain intensity just before hitting Wales and pour snow over us for 24 hours straight - stalling - with precipitation not making it past the Welsh border. Everywhere stays dry except Wales which will receive a foot of snow. I have no evidence to back my fantasy up.

Currently -4.2c here. This mornings actual low air temp was -6.0c... The car thermometer read -9 when I first started her up haha... just goes to show how inaccurate they can be at reading air temps. Usually the temp comes back to a reasonable range after a few minutes of driving. Weekend - well not looking forward to rain and milder conditions, I'd rather it be dry and cold. Wouldn't it BENEFIT most of the UK if the front stalled much further west? I mean the far South East of England will remain cold but most other places will see higher temps than the last few days which is a shame. This block better put up a damn good fight, disappointment is not uncommon in this village though.

Low of -4.5c here this morning... The car windscreen was frozen on the INSIDE as well! Gosh

Do you live in the village itself? Take a walk up the mountain ì bet the lane that goes from there to Five Roads should have accumulating snow if it's anything like last night... from around 120m asl it started to stick. What altitude are you?

Im in Felinfoel at the moment... Colleague just been out and said it's snowing. I can't confirm this until I go out later

Here in Pontyates just sleet currently at 1.3c. My street is around 50-70m asl. I just drove up the road towards Cynheidre and the precipitation was turning increasingly to snow from around 120m asl. The roads were a slushy mess and snow had stuck to paths, grass and road signs. At around 160m asl I wouldn't be surprised if there was 1cm of snow on the path... Very localised indeed. Such a shame I don't live a mile up the road otherwise I'd be much happier haha

Im no expert but surely things could improve later on... it all seems so weird though.. some areas with rain others sleet and some with settling snow on lower levels than others etc. so strange.

Go to bed and get up at 3am

I've seen pics of settling snow in Bancffosfelen uploaded to Facebook

Yeah. I expected you to see more wintryness before me.

What!!! It's snowing here in Pontyates (may be wet Im not sure but definitely a winter scene with the sky filled full of flakes). Im not in my house but last i checked it was 1.1c The house im currently in is approx 50m asl. The cars have a slush layer on and up Cynheidre the pavements were turning white.

Shouldn't be long considering it's only 1.1c here. Snow settling on the pavement in Cynheidre

Finally sleet and snow. I took a drive up he road where it was settling on untreated surfaces... 1.1c

Just sleet here last time I checked... (Pontyates)

Afternoon all. 3.6c here in south Carms... Lot's of rain in a very very green Wales. I hope the ppn turns more wintry later for most parts Have a nice afternoon.

Got as low as 0.5c around 8ish this evening but gone up and steady at 1.0c currently. I really hope I see something out this event but as always, disappointment is not uncommon. Good luck everyone and stay safe.

Haha... well the latest high res NMM is showing rain on the Carmarthenshire and Pembrokeshire coasts for tomorrow so pfft. If it's going to snow then bloody snow... I don't want to risk going in to work on slushy soaking frozen roads.

Hey there again. I'm not confident that we'll definitely see setting snow but tomorrow is definitely our best chance so far. I've also noticed that going in to Monday is looking more marginal??

Agh that's my favourite driving road... I love it so much! Temp hovering above freezing here 1-2c when under cloud cover. Quite icy, nearly fell earlier!

Yeah I think you're right... I was really hoping I would have some snow at near air frost temps lol. Doesn't matter, I wouldn't mind a spell of high pressure now. Dry days, frosty nights... then how about a nice juicy northerly blast feeding constant snow showers down to use ahah Good night everyone.

1.6c :/ jesus. Currently raining. I've had rain and intense hail (possibly sleet initially) Some ice still left on car surfaces, helped by the hail which still hasn't thawed. Edit: Now 1.8c Awww

Been out looks mostly rain to me jeez. 0.7c. Boring. As the rain drops hit the freezing surface there was like water vapour rising. If skies clear then it's gonna be so icy.

0.4c sleet urghhhhhhh

Whatat the hell! That's mental haha. I can see stars to my north east and cloud to my north west. 0.1c