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Gavin P

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Everything posted by Gavin P

  1. I would say the most likely explaination is that the Met's dynamic model continues to throw out this kind of output; http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/peop...bT2mMonNorm.gif Which has been consistenly showing a marked cool down for February and March. Of course, its much to far out to take this kind of experimental model output with certainty, hence the caveats.
  2. John Kettleys comments about the winter proper starting in the New Year were in his column in the Mail on Sunday yesterday. Of course, its open to interpratation as to what he meant. His comments are in-line with this piece on the BBC web-site though; http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/christmas/fea...ictions06.shtml Where it says a "chill" may set in during early 2007. Once again, that could mean anything from a fleeting "toppler" to a bitter Easterly.
  3. Cool. I'll check it out. Thanks. :blink:
  4. Hey Roger, very interesting prediction. Its a job to imagine it getting cold after such a horribly mild December as the one your predicting, but these days it seems anything is possible :blink: Out of interest, have you issued a full winter forecast? (I'm new to this forum, BTW, so I'm not familier with your posts) :huh:
  5. Well I've always believed people shouldn't be attacked when they issue LRF's and then they go wrong (goodness knows, I've issued enough forecasts that have gone wrong over the years ) However, in this case I think Piers should be held to account. He is clearly using his forecasts to try and make political points and as such he should be made to answer for the things he says.
  6. LOL Ian. I've not had a chance to sort out my sig/profile.
  7. 'Tis me. And thanks for your kind words. TWO is a great forum as well.
  8. Hey thanks. My old mate Steve Murr post's here and I've been browsing the forum for some days and it seems like a good place to hang out. B)
  9. 6.2 would be my guess for this December's CET. Generally a very mild month, but possibly with a fairly potent cold snap after the 15th and before Christmas. Christmas itself quite mild. Possibly colder again by New Years Eve.
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