Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

snowspotter

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    339

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Posts posted by snowspotter

    Winter 2021-22 Chat, Moans and ramps thread

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    41 minutes ago, Laurence said:

    Well I've been around since all this internet weather malarkey started, I watch the forums every autumn onwards and the same reoccurring  scenario of the models changing their out put right at the end repeats itself, and people in my view are right in getting angry and annoyed.
    However the real culprit is the very models themselves and the data fed into them. Some people act as if the models  create the weather with remarks like  "the gfs is back on board again " . No for me the heart of the problem is the models ; they are just not up to it . I myself despite  what I'm saying here, was by yesterday sucked into the a xmas day start of a cold spell and  no way could all the main models be in such agreement  and then all move to a less favourable scenario  overnight with only six days to go There is still time to go but we all know how this usually ends, So for me the models in situations like this have very little value beyond two to three days. Remember before the internet and computer modelling? We got about a three day warning from UKMO via BBC television - none of this being totally absorbed and a slave to the model outputs for several weeks at a time.

    Well Said. I think what your saying is don’t waste time on the model discussion thread . I’ve realised this a white back and will be posting in the moaning thread . 150 pages of ranting and raging won’t change the fact that the models are not set up for a modern world of climate change .  90% of the time  they eventually get a grip with reality at about 5 days out . I’m not interested ‘in backing this up’ I too am of a certain age and have been on here years . It’s pretty much always gonna end up wet and mild when showing cold 7 days out I wouldn’t waste energy getting fed up by it 

    Model output discussion - Christmas approaches

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    I haven't checked for a few days but think the game is up on cold until new year. The models have moved the high further and further north towards Greenland and west of it . The result is no east or north easterlies with systems moving round underneath and more attacks from the west. I thought it was looking good a few days back but think its only going one way now . Not even a frost for the south now just rain.  I'd like to be proved incorrect but I've seen it all before 

    • Like 4
    • Thanks 2

    Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

    but it isn't going, we're not flicking a switch to summer! (wish we were) going to be miserable, windy and around 9 degrees most days, why would anyone want that

    Precisely mate. I've yet to meet someone who loves boggy walks in lashing rain and wind over a crisp sunny walk in sunshine in -3c but hey there are a few out there I guess. 

    • Like 2

    Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, Atleastitwillbemild said:

    Well considering its the designated moaning area of this forum I think its perfectly acceptable for anyone to use this place to let of steam they would have otherwise clogged the main threads with. Why have this thread exist otherwise? Someone moaning in the moaning thread? Shocking! If it bothers you don't come here. If you're pleased as punch with your 2 feet of snow and grinning ear to ear after all day sledging with the dog and fam, why not just boast and gloat on the photo thread and snow report page instead of coming on here to nag the less lucky about their ingratitude?  

    And yes it is possible for the west to get snow during an easterly. Lots of snow. Noone expects "blizzards from Moscow" but a channel low or an incoming front from the atlantic has buried the southwest in previous easterlies so the comparisson to other "beasts" is fair. I would be happy to tell anyone in Scotland its been crap as they get plenty of snow all the time so what would they even know about a snow drought? The hills up there can get buried from a northwesterly.  I'm afraid this beast has been crap. There i'll say it again: crap crap crap crap crap crap crap.  
    If you can't even manage a night temp lower than -3 in central southern england during a beasterly when you could easily suprass that during a two day northerly toppler ten years ago then guess what? IT'S CRAP. 

    Blimey took you 12 hours for that effort to respond haha .

    South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, JamesL said:

    This will change today.
     

    Overnight models all have the breakdown now at the weekend with none showing a cold week next week 

    Things have trended the wrong way today and there is no route back 

     

    So enjoy the next 2-3 days! 

    I’m not convinced by one set of 00z runs to be honest . I will accept it if the next two sets show the breakdown not before then. Let’s face it 6hours previously they were hinting at an extended cold spell 

    • Like 3

    Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Third day of the cold spell here and people moaning it will be over by Monday . I make that nine days including last Sunday . If your in the west what do you expect from an easterly , blizzards from Moscow? Also unless I am very much mistaken Scotland has been snowy since December . Try telling people there it’s been crap. It could have been better for me yes . Further east have had loads of snow .but you can still not get me moaning about this cold spell. To be honest it’s better than the fabled 2018 beast from east event here . More snow for a start 

    • Like 2

    South East, London and East Anglia regional discussion - 8th February onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Went for a stroll at lunchtime around Reigate park around footpaths . Sunday at about 10am when the snow was starting to settle it was an absolute quagmire slimey mud everywhere soggy grass spongey saturated ground . 24 hours later and it’s all been freeze blasted in the wind . It’s rock solid now everywhere on footpaths . Amazing transformation in 24 hours . Light snow most of say settling. Max temp -1.5c great ice day this . Now onto the evening course of a Thames streamer 

    • Like 1

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Great Plum said:

    Well we are below freezing now in Reigate with a thin covering that will be rock hard in the morning! What do people think of streamers or shower activity tomorrow and into Tuesday - the forecast certainly thinks there’s chance for something and it’s not forecast to be above freezing until the end of the week...

    I hope so but I'm setting the bar low with regards to hopes.  If only the snow and temperatures had arrived as forecast at 11pm -12pm last night we would have had a decent covering instead of these scraps. Hope the ground freezes up a bit the footpaths are mud baths

    • Like 1

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    Just now, snowspotter said:

    Great stuff love it . Bang on. I can remember heading across to the local river with a big torch in 1987 to check If the snow was coming . It did obviously but the sheer excitement of not knowing in those days was amazing . 

    Just as a footnote I wasn’t looking in the river just a big field away from the lights that had a river in it. The torch spotted the first snowflake , the rest is history ! January 1987 

    South East and East Anglia Weather Discussion February 2021 onwards

    in Regional

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, abruzzi spartan said:

    A small suggestion from someone born in 1965.  Turn off your apps, log off the internet, light your paraffin heater with its purple liquid and heady aroma and fire up your coal fire.  Make sure your net curtains in your bedroom are away from the glass so they don't freeze to the windows.  Watch one or maybe all two forecasts a day on the BBC and supplement it with a look at the weather charts in your daily newspaper.  After that, go out for a walk or 3, watch the clouds, check the wind direction.

    In an emergency when you are worried it might not snow, write a letter to someone that lived in a maybe more snowy place and post it first class.  Ask what they are seeing.  Enclose a SAE and you'll get a reply about 4 days later.  By which time it will either have snowed or it won't and you won't need to worry any more.

    There will of course in the meantime be power cuts and a 3 day week plus a bit later some fear of a nuclear winter.  But the main thing these days is to get in a ferment about whether promised snow has shown up on the festering Internet or not

    Great stuff love it . Bang on. I can remember heading across to the local river with a big torch in 1987 to check If the snow was coming . It did obviously but the sheer excitement of not knowing in those days was amazing . 

    • Like 1
    • Thanks 1

    Model thread discussion - cold spell looming

    in Forecast Model Discussion

    Posted

    1 hour ago, chris55 said:

    UKMO trending the wrong way at 144 with the Atlantic Low edging north east pulling up an Iberian ridge ahead. Still a way to go on the eventual modelling of this though, will await ECM with interest. 

    spacer.png

    Hmmm. A certain person who used to post on here has tweeted ‘UKMO 144 is a boom time slider . Don’t let anyone tell you it won’t go under . Which post is correct  

    • Thanks 1
×
×
  • Create New...