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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
But given the very inaccurate and poor model output as of late ,I would not put any money on it -
Found this too its not updating
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In a luxury lodge in beautiful mid Wales near Rhayader Powys ,heavy rain this morning then cleared to leave cloudy ,chilly conditions. Looking out at the Welsh landscape landscape it looks more like mid January than early April . Currently a poultry 8c here ,so there is only one thing for it ,a dip into the lodges luxury hot tub
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Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A big diurnal temp in this chart -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening ,well a pattern change of some sorts from end of week into next week, looks likely a COL setting up for the uk ,between two highs and two lows so some at least milder weather ,warm in the Spring sunshine but given a slack area of pressure one or two storms could develop and with clear skies at night potential for frost, so not a perfect outlook but warmer drier and more settled quieter conditions on offer tonight away from the foul weather of months and months.... -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All . ! At last something to look forward to , Proper Spring looks like coming at the end of this week , A dramatic warm up looks quite likely as I mentioned last night , and this is gaining momentum , if these charts verify we could see our first 21c/70f by the weekend .the first time since October 16th last year. May just get the shorts out.... -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All , looks like a pivotal point in a turn around in our weather, later next week and into next weekend and as the potential for warming things up dramatically before turning colder from the east, will be interesting viewing in the next few days...A difficult period yet again for forecasting -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All , after the grim Easter weather , perhaps we can ,look forward to some rise in pressure ,Ops models toying around with it by later next week and the ensembles gefs with a dramatic rise in pressure from April 5th...Come on, Come OnCome on Come On -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
So what is this cooling down term mean? It's not got warm yet, and looking at the models this morning ,significant cold at some place over the Easter period but as to exactly where and when people will see more of the white stuff still remains a long way off in forecasting terms -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All....Easter looks cold ,but how cold? Some very interesting synopyics in the days ahead....... -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All! Really cannot see anything that mild from the gfs and ecm 12z suite tonight, in the days ahead , gfs brings us a cold Easter ,ecm offers us in no mans land.... Very Unusual synoptics. , The Sun Cycle has the biggest effect on Planet Earth and is doing so now , -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening ! My thoughts for tonight is a gradual rise to normal temps, in the next few days The GFS offers at its final shout some very cold uppers by April some strong sunshine , Some Amazing Cloudscapes and some Amazing weather A very exciting time for weather watchers -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All , I find this cold spell , from the East very fascinating and interesting ,Much more so than the last Easterly, Could well be some very severe weather from convective storms which will fall as thunder snow , and there could well be some more general snow, Now , I want Spring more than anything but this short, sharp blast of late Winter will again make news headlines and some amazing cloudscapes , and expect the unexpected The strength of the sun this time of year will influence what we have at the surface , but both models show a settling down . with high pressure building with residual cold Sharp overnight frosts ,warm days and some Pop up thunderstorms.... It may look like winter charts at first, but by T+240 Spring has Sprung... -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Weather stations were different in the Victorian period .. do you really believe that data ???and weather stations have appeared in urban areas over recent years . demographics and a growing population , Weather stations are in the wrong place , put the bloody weather station far away from civiliseation -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening! Perhaps after this mild blip .the freezer touches our toes again.... Strangely the ecm and gfs at this time period are singing from the same hymn sheet -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening...It looks as though the jet stream will be to our south for a while yet, hints from the 12z suite from gfs shows ridging from the south ,could it be the old adage March in like a lion and out like a lamb -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening ,! Well LOLS! Its Spring now , and most are jaded with cold ,well I am anyway.! As it gets milder ,the only talking point will be ....Wait For It ....RAIN -
Model output discussion - the beast arrives
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening I was born in the great month of March and it's a volatile outlook just like me but can be true and kind as well as unpredictable but true at the same time ,the models are now resting between the next onslaught of stormy weather and perhaps cold ,snowing again here , but really can't wait for spring now- 1,198 replies
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The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Hi Mate , that's not a Thames streamer!!! Anyway the front is pulsating bring frequent heavy snow along with some drier periods to this area , and it seems to have pepped up..... -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Plenty of drifting snow here in Evesham some parts of the ground laid bare other parts have snow drifts seems strange to see powdery snow at this time of year and even in any winter month it's very uncommon -
The Met Office need to overhaul their Warning system
ANYWEATHER replied to West is Best's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
It's a bloody nanny state ,people have died from heat cold and getting out of bed in the morning who needs warnings the human race has survived up to now -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Looks as though the precip to the south of us is moving further east, different from what computer models are showing, watch the warnings change thru the day, Let the fun and games begin...!!! -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
Please believe me from experience tells me otherwise ,watch the radar -
The Midlands Regional Weather Discussion 19/01/2018 Onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Regional
And if you were to belive the bbc on how clear cut this situation is than it will be the first time in there history at times like this they got it right