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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looks like convergence winds later Wednesday could give the southern half of Britain some wild and intense thunderstorms- 3,835 replies
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Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All....A very thundery outlook for the week ahead , more picticularly southern Britain, in the more reliable time frame , but warmth and humidity look high on the Uks weather priority in the days ahead. No point looking at weather forecasts for rainfall and thunderstorms , ,just keep checking out Netweathers rainfall radar....Its a Nowcast situation.. -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
If you've had a look at the wind profile today you will see this afternoons storms have been due to a convergence zone....- 3,835 replies
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Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 19th May 2018 onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All. So the Atlantic remains dead for the forseable future and I would imagine Scotland have had there driest period for some time. The operational model's have been absolutely useless as of late ,but with a blocking pattern this is nothing new. If I had to have a stab at a forecast for the next ten days well a very similar setup ,risk of thundery downpours for southern Britain drier and more settled further north and never no heatwave for the uk. -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening,! Nobody is saying the fine spell is over but with lower pressure to the south of the uk over the next few days it spells warmth and some violent thunderstorms. Plenty of energy in the atmosphere to produce warmth sunshine and the like -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening! Really? I would not describe the synoptic weather pattern "Scorching" in the up coming days, in fact the models have downgraded the heat for the weekend , but good news the thunderstorm potential still remains with perhaps some Violent thunderstorms for the Bank Holiday weekend.... -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes indeed ,great charts for storm lovers ,BUT it's a long way off and just like forecasting cold and snow caution is needed in big style, but nevertheless an interesting trend -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All ! With continued blocking from Scandinavia , our weather comes from the East , as its done for some time now. But the trend from both ecm and gfs is for a lowering of pressure from the south so ,thunderstorms look like increasing along with heat and humidity as we move towards the Bank Holiday weekend , The Atlantic is dead for now....... -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All! What some great weather coming up ! This weekends weather is just perfect for the FA Cup and of course the Royal wedding. Looks extremely blocked the weather pattern at the moment, but pressure falling for southern Britain early next week allowing for some slow moving thunderstorms....Watch this space.... -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Models always struggle with blocking patterns but at this time of year is nothing unusual, but gfs may be sniffing the coffee -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Indeed as far as the weekend is concerned gfs and ecm differ greatly , but looking like a half decent week for most with little rain for the majority , and some chilly nights coming up with potential frosts ,so gardeners beware , Gentle Weather coming up......null -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Not sure what you mean to be honest, by mid week all the UK is under the influence of a large low pressure system out to the Northwest of the uk with its attendant rain ,showers and chilly Atlantic air. Of course there will be some sunshine but for the forseable the uk remains under the influence of the Atlantic and not the continental stuff -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
A strong jet stream looks likely from early next week from north America ,yes a few fine days before it turns unsettled from the west on late Monday ...tuesday -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening ! After the Winter cold of the last few days the weather generally looks to be looking fairer as we move into May, High pressure tries to move in but it struggles too as a strong jet stream from the Atlantic scuppers any chance of dry ,prolonged settled conditions ..... -
Well its nearly May albeit a few hours , and today has felt and at times looked like Mid January! A Bitter wind, currently 8c with a freshening Northerly wind , Dewpoints akin to Winter only 4c , Todays top temps reached 9c, and a low of 6,3c . No Rain! The first time in my life that Ive worn a winter hat at this time of year...!
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Short range model discussion - into 2018
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Tomorrow's rain does not getting that far west now east anglia, East Midlands and southeast look like bearing the brunt of the winter like conditions...there welcome to it -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All.....! Sundays low poses a problem for southeast Britain , the southeast of England may see the highest total rainfall ,into Monday ,but some strong gusts of wind up to 50 mph looks likely across most of the southern half of the UK, Feeling cold and very unseasonable , then the models argue at the ten day range with high pressure building PLEASE! -
Short range model discussion - into 2018
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Evening ,the gfs brings a drenching for southern Britain on Friday along with some gusty winds and feeling cold, thereafter ,Saturday looks quieter in a slack weather pattern but some slow moving thunderstorms, Air frosts possible overnight into Sunday morning ,not good news for growers and gardners -
Short range model discussion - into 2018
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Evening! Interesting for the Low on Friday, Big differences between ecm and gfs ,ecms low much further south than the gfs ....Watch this space....! -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All From a very long winter to summer warmth ,and then back to the cold. Looks like Jack Frost will be marching around the country by the end of the week...After that gfs/ecm show something warm in the sunshine if the sun does come out -
Convective/Storm Discussion Thread - 1st August onwards
ANYWEATHER replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Evening All! An Amazing Winter followed By an Amazing Spring....Really could not make it up , After a very long winter we get summer in just 24 hrs. Forecasting thunderstorms in this country is about as difficult as how much snow you will get in your back garden in winter!, ,,,A Spectacular display of lightning last night , hoping its just the start of something really special -
Model output discussion 14/04/18
ANYWEATHER replied to phil nw.'s topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Nothing new with that it snowed in June yes June 2nd 1975 in southern Britain ,there is nothing new under the sun , I wonder what the crazy climate change folks would blame that on now if that happened. ...perhaps man made climate change -
Model output discussion - after the beast, what next?
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Morning All. Well it's nice to see a warm up for next week in stark contrast to this week as it looks and feels like mid Winter. A long way off but it looks like the ecm and gfs show the peak of the temperatures between Wednesday and Friday, but along with that a possible breakdown as early as late Thursday into Friday wit potential thunderstorms from the southwest. Whatever it will be a welcome change for not just humans but for the animal life and the flora and fauna and even though it looks to be a short warm snap ,I will enjoy with what seems to be the longest winter I've ever lived through -
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