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Everything posted by ANYWEATHER
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Evening All,! Don't Underestimate next weeks cold...Its not really being picked up from model outputs and tv forecasts , but everyone will feel the unusual cold. The computer models cannot perform well with Northern Blocking , wild swings from them , but next week into the early following week will see Record lows ,Damaging Frosts , and snowfall even for southern Britain,, along with localised flooding , Devil will be in the detail, but an April to remember...
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Model discussion - March drawing to a close
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To be honest the overall theme is for extensive northern blocking, it's already in operation, yes kinks in the model output as models do not model this scenario well but believe me April has not shown the worst of Wintry weather...... -
Model discussion - March drawing to a close
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening! Serious Northern Blocking from the ops. Ecm and Gfs show a few mild blips , but overall some very cold synoptics on the cards, So Aprils cold today , looks as though this will be the theme for April, some of those charts show some damaging frosts , any growers need to take notice,,,, -
Model discussion - March drawing to a close
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening All , Classic Winter Synoptics albeit very late, yes still can deliver snow , and will do, My thoughts for my Local magazine, were for much colder conditions have been founded , Computer models will struggle with detail, but This April will make news headlines for its cold... -
Model discussion - March drawing to a close
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening Cold is the outlook.. anything past T+120 is a total waste of time... -
Model discussion - March drawing to a close
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The 12z suite from the ecm and gfs only to T+144 is quite remarkable in the difference in that time frame. This is the time to bring some human intervention in ....Moto Don't get hung up on computer models , -
Model discussion - March drawing to a close
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening Folks! Battern down the Hatches as April will see a dramatic turn to Winter!!!! As I said the other day Record cold spilling out of Greenland will greatly influence the Uk, Computer models are just getting a Wiff of this change, even by Sunday into Monday , some record lows overnight , would not be surprised to see a minus 10 over sunday into Monday morning somewhere in England or Wales...The coldest charts seen since the Winter before last,,,,!!!!!! -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good Evening! I think youre right, and certainly not daft. I write for a local magazine , for my weather predictions for April , and my thoughts are for a much colder April than average , record cold in Greenland. This cold needs to spill somewhere a mid Atlantic ridge forming....April , Looking at all the data from ecm and gfs , I see some serious cold spilling from the record cold Artic, But at the same time computer models have no idea, on this evolution ...Interesting Times..... -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
April will bring a settled start ....Just watch out folks Snow yes Bloody Snow will fall in many places during April -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The Incredible cold across the Artic is very notable, Record lows for this time of year, across Greenland, just watch that Spill out of the Artic during late March /April,,,across the Uk.... -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Good Evening All...! The "Normal" March weather continues courtesy of the strong pressure gradient between the Azores High , and the Strong polar vortex over Greenland, but both models gfs and ecm show a buckling of the jet stream to the south of the uk, so away from the relentless wind and rain , colder , but quieter weather, with some Gorgeous Sky Scapes this coming weekend , Lots of weather coming up , wind ,rain ,snow , sleet , sunshine , slow moving showers,,,Thunder and Lightning and some warm sunshine in the Best places.... -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks normal March to me , ,last March was not normal , the summer was not normal , February, this year was not normal..,, The great British weather , Enjoy the ride, -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
If you care to look back in history, nothing has changed and seasons are not things of the past, the only thing what has changed is people's perceptions unfortunately -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
To be honest short term , Sundays low really is potentially a very nasty affair , A wind maker rather than a rain maker.. h850t850eu-2.webp ecmt850-1.webp -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From the ops models some stormy cold weather at times as we move into March but nothing to wintry....as yet. -
Model discussion - Warm spell ending as Spring begins
ANYWEATHER replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Evening, the False Spring has come and nearly gone. A Sunsational spell of weather for late winter , Has it happened before Yes It As, long before reliable weather records were taken, I said a false Spring , April looks very cold perhaps historically , so perhaps March stormy cold predictictions ,May well be the first month of normal late Spring. The Wild undulating jet stream continues across the planet, ,thanks to a cooling planet and sun and lunar activity -
Evening! Really interested in the Diurnal temperatures for tomorrow, some places will get a 24c temperature swing in just 12 hours, Perhaps pushing a record for the Uk ??? Would not believe we could talk of something interesting to talk of with Boring Synoptics,,, After that the weather becomes Live!y