Cleeve Hill
-
Posts
304 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by Cleeve Hill
-
-
1 hour ago, bluearmy said:
Really ?
Hi Blue
Not really. Lots of tentative ideas for sure but certainly not as bullish as METO. I'm not being critical at all and when I look at the models we can see a pattern change in time but the signal I see is not as clear and straightforward for NW members to call it as the METO are. I hope they're right.
-
The next 2/3 weeks will be a good test for the METO updates we see.
I haven’t seen any of the contributors on this site suggest a colder pattern emerging for February, which is very different to how METO see things.
I guess once the cold in the U.S moves on and the North Atlantic quietens down with the vortex moving away from Canada/Greenland there will be a chance of HLB to develop once again.
I have little faith in the EC46 as I’ve seen that go bust many many times but I am v interested to see how the METO long term forecast pans out.
-
2
-
-
- Popular Post
- Popular Post
49 minutes ago, danm said:These are excellent and would recommend everyone has a listen.
Puts things into perspective and avoids the granular detail after the model runs. Broad scale overview of the season is best.
Certainly leaves the impression they are expecting proper winter conditions not just in the next 10 days but the risk continues through until the end of Feb.
-
10
-
10 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:
I think we’re all in for some snow at one time or another - poss some exceptional amounts as the Atlantic keeps trying - and failing.
Looking forward to more runs
️
Wouldn’t that be great. Steady as she goes and starting to remind me of similar undercutting events of the early 80’s.
It’s also a waxwing winter in uk with year with so many moving out of Scandinavia.In the 80’s it was a Scandi high which delivered on a few occasions, but a similar set up with a robust Greenland high would also deliver for some of us.
-
5
-
-
Just seen this on Twitter. Good news I’d say.
-
4
-
-
If anyone wants a snow fix take a look at the cameras on the
Levi
WWW.LEVI.FI
Majoitus, aktiviteetit, ravintolat, hyvinvointi- ja muut palvelut - kaikki helposti yhdestä paikasta. Me autamme lomasi suunnittelussa ja toteutuksessa.-
2
-
1
-
-
2 minutes ago, Allseasons-Si said:
Lovely, nothing mild about that.
Liking the charts tonight and it seems we’ve got agreement on the way forward.
-
4
-
-
31 minutes ago, Purga said:
A mild Christmas and a Bartlett New Year? we hope not!
Show me a chart at T360 that has ever verified.
All the background signals and @catacol post this morning shows there a lot of interesting things going on which should impact UK in the coming weeks.
I used to look at EC and GFS charts at T240 thinking they were going to materialise but 10 years on netweather tells me that’s very unlikely.-
9
-
-
Can’t see there is a thread for this so here goes.
This seems to be a Mast year for nuts (acorns) and berries (hawthorn and holly trees are loaded).
Is this Mother Nature providing for birds, small animals for a hard winter I wonder.
-
2
-
-
Hardly any rain today. Brightened up this afternoon in warm sunshine, but now I hear rumble to thunder.
Surprisingly nice day
-
Right over head here with some big rumbles.
-
3
-
-
1 hour ago, January Snowstorm said:
The ecm this evening is looking much more thundery/unsettled than its morning run. Things firming up now quite quickly on a bay of Biscay low moving up and perhaps remaining in situ next weekend. The models might be struggling but those of us old enough have seen this weather type quite a lot through the years! As Ian McCaskill used to say three fine days followed by a thunderstorm!!
Three fine weeks on this occasion. Looking forward to the change.
-
The fun seems to start at 195 hours on the 12z. 8 days away. I’ll be watching.
-
4
-
-
32 minutes ago, Purga said:
Stubborn heights over Europe as per usual - Alpine nightmare. Not to mention any hope of UK cold.
Ipso facto
Hmm. 50+ CM expected in French alps between now and Wed 11th. Freezing level around 1000M.
see snowforecast.com
-
4
-
-
12 minutes ago, swfc said:
There's nothing on offer Ed tbh. Industrial straws should be issued for clutching unless you follow the mfi, b+q and other background signals. Anyway merry Xmas and a happy new year to you all. Remember Try and do your bit for the homeless and the worse off .
We’ll said on your last point. I volunteer for The Trussell Trust North Cotswold Foodbank. We’ve had our busiest Xmas ever and over the year 120% more food parcels issued this year than 2021.The cold snap was tough for a lot of people and this is the Cotswolds not town’s or cities.
Merry Christmas all-
3
-
4
-
-
9 minutes ago, minus10 said:
Well downturn in the models (weo gfs) re cold prospects...still this met office video interesting viewing with battles, monster US storm and of course uncertainty in the mix..
It’s worth listening to. Always educational
-
2
-
-
3 hours ago, chris55 said:
Went for a walk up Juniper today (about 180meters asl) took the truck up the icy lane and parked at the farm.
Absolutely zero melt at this elevation and a winter wonderland three days after the fall, that’s extremely rare, I can only remember the snow staying like this a few times in the last 15 years.
I was hoping for some sunshine but the clouds have only just cleared.
Cows needed their troughs broken (bad farm practice tbh) they were very thirsty.
a few “fence post snowmen/lady’s as well.
Overall a beautiful, if not blooming freezing walk.
Try and get up there tomorrow. Sun will be out. The sky cleared this afternoon up here, explains why it’s gonna be a v cold night
-
1
-
-
Points west going for -8 tonight in Gloucestershire. Brrrr.
Here’s a pic near Cleeve Hill this afternoon. -4 sun was out. Fabulous
Another couple of days before we lose it. It’s been a great cold spell
-
3
-
-
29 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:
Very happy with the T192:
That Artic High is pushing the cold air to lower latitudes. Boom time for the Scottish ski industry.
-
3
-
-
Nortenham Hill, close to Cheltenham Race Course. Beautiful. Still snowing.
-
6
-
-
2 minutes ago, bluearmy said:
I thought you were under a yellow snow/ice warning for today ?
ec ops have continually shown an area of light snowfall for the Cotswolds today
as alluded to above by lancia, under a slack cold trough, things will just crop up. that’s why so many of us older folk were saying to get the trough across us and as slack as poss without too much onshore flow
Hi Blue. Definitely no yellow snow/ice warning or forecast for Cheltenham.
Love your input.-
3
-
1
-
-
3 minutes ago, s4lancia said:
A milder breakdown/blip, call it what you will, continues to look likely next weekend.
Nearer to the here and now (with snow falling in a lot of areas this morning), this ens disagreement down here has been constant for days and shows the marginality of the mid week system. Still all to play for for at least a covering.
I’ve seen a few strange comments about this being a dry cold spell. Well whilst there will always be winners and losers in UK cold spells, we need to remember we are in a trough dominated set up, not a ridge. Unstabilty will always be abound within.
Yes, the forecast for here was cold and dry, but as you said there is a trough above so why the cold and dry forecast?
It’s been snowing on and off since 7.00 this morning. Good snow on Cleeve Hill.
Odd forecast.-
2
-
-
8 minutes ago, Rich_Clements said:
It’s just over the top of us
If you run the radar loop, it seems to be pivoting. You must have a lot on the ground there
-
1
-
-
Steady snow here in Cheltenham. Real nice surprise. What I don’t understand is why it was never forecast.
Off to Cleeve Hill soon, where there’s sure to be more.
-
1
-
Model Output Discussion - Spring Has Sprung
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
It’s coming
I’ve seen enough over the last couple of days to say the patterns shows signs of change as we get into early Feb.
History says Valentines days is often one of the coldest times of the year. That feels about right for 2024.