[North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards]

Meanwhile, in Cumbria....

[Model discussion - hunt for cold - Christmas countdown]

Ok, has everyone who feels the need to say “I told you so” got it out of their system yet? Good. Equally, can a few not overreact? It’s only the weather. 
 

Welcome back to the MODEL DISCUSSION THREAD. 

[North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards]

Quite seasonal here this morning with the temp currently sitting at -4.9º. 

[First Ground and Air Frost Watch Season 2021-22]

First snow here....well, up there...if you look closely. 

[Snow & Ice coverage in the Northern Hemisphere Winter 2021/22]

I wonder if this will generate a pixel’s worth of snow in the latest map?

[First Ground and Air Frost Watch Season 2021-22]

Dropped to -0.6º on Friday night, so not as cold as Shap, which is only 7 miles away (in a straight line. In every other sense, it's light year's off). 

[First Ground and Air Frost Watch Season 2021-22]

3.1 last night here. It's coming!

[Snow & Ice coverage in the Northern Hemisphere Winter 2021/22]

20 hours ago, Boydie said:

Love this thread.....not sure about Ipswich though......

[Snow & Ice coverage in the Northern Hemisphere Winter 2021/22]

Every year, around this time, I look at the snow coverage charts here, and dream of a cold snowy winter to come, with angel-dust in the air, Ipswich challenging at the top end of the table and wondering whether it will be Barbara Dickson or Elaine Paige on the Two Ronnies' Christmas Special. 

Today I spotted some snow in Russia, Alaska and Canada....here we go!

 

 

 

 

[The changing daylight hours thread]

It means I can astro-image again; I love summer but the evenings are awful for anything astronomy-wise. Now at least the light evenings aren't the limiting factor....it's the cloud. 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

42 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

Thanks for posting your stats, Eden Valley a cold spot this morning. Shap hit a low of -11 degrees. Here we are on -3 degrees only.

Evidence air is very dry, and sun is stronger now, roofs exposed to it are clear of frost. 

Had we some snow, large icicles would have formed, alas it is a green scene with some light white.

We've got a covering of snow, which will have helped, but I'm only a few miles from Shap and the village is surrounded by fells so I think the cold air just collects here. Had we got 62cm like in Northumberland...

[North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards]

Minus 11.2 here (still minus 10.1) making it the coldest night for over 10 years. 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

Minus 11.2 overnight and still minus 10.1 which makes it the coldest night for over 10 years. 

[North West Regional Discussion Feb 2021 onwards]

I went out for a walk at lunchtime to take some photos across the valley towards the Pennines. The visibility was variable. 

 

[Far north and northeast of England weather discussion]

I wonder how many of us will see this again?

What a day - had to walk 5 miles across snowfields to literally dig my dad out of his house...and take him some kit kats. 

[Winter 2020/21 chat, ramps, moans and banter]

Hi - 

7 minutes ago, gman88667733 said:

As a complete newbie to this forum, I've been following the model thread avidly and am unsure how the current wintery weather will affect me up on Dartmoor in the SW. Any ideas?

We always seem to get snow when others do, but the charts seem to show no snow in a lot of areas around me.

It'd be good to get an idea if I need to stock up on bits!

Thanks

Morning - I'd ask in your regional thread for the best answers. It's just a bunch of weirdos in this section!

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

I think this thread would be much more use to everyone if people made considered posts based on the output and not knee jerk reactions to individual bits of a chart projecting what could happen 5 days off or what they think is going to happen. 

[January 2021 Stats]

A proper winter month here with the lowest mean since December 2010. 

Temperature

Max Temp: 8.6°C (20th)

Min Temp: -9.8°C (9th)

Mean Temp: 1.4°C

Air Frosts: 19

Rainfall

Total: 126.4mm

Wettest Day: 32.2mm (19th)

Wind

Highest gust 32mph (19th)

Snow

Days with snow falling: 16

Days with snow lying: 11

[Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?]

Erm....model discussion thread!

[Storm Christoph]

The Eden went over in Appleby las night. I'm not sure any properties would have been flooded at that level of water but today doesn't bode well. 

Hopefully we'll get nowhere near the ridiculous levels of Storm Desmond (black line at the top)

 

[Storm Christoph]

If it wasn't for lockdown I'd venture over to the Honister Pass - it's phenomenal the amount of rain it receives

48 minutes ago, Jo Farrow said:

2 to 3" over the tops 

 

[Storm Christoph]

25.4mm (1inch) of rain here so far today. 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

1 hour ago, Thunder Snow said:

Not sure about the Eden I've been monitoring the levels of the Caldew and the gadge at kirby Stephen and the Eden isn't raising fast at all. I mean it could all change but so far fingers crossed it stays the same

I can almost guarantee the Eden will go over in Appleby, there's just a delay but when it rises it rises quickly. It drops quickly too of course. 

[North West Regional Discussion 30 December 2020 onwards]

36 minutes ago, Iceaxecrampon said:

Main area of concern looks like Eden 

Yay! I don't know how quickly things are moving through but at ground level there's been no wind all day. 

[Storm Christoph]

I think I'd rather be worried unnecessarily than get caught out.