[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

1 minute ago, Ice Day said:

So day 7.5 on the 6z vs the 0z

 

That's quite some inconsistency at that range.  The models are clearly struggling with some significant chaos in the background signals, which is a positive I guess!

Bin it!

We have a choice of Dartboard Low on the 0Z or dartboard High on the 06z! 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, booferking said:

It's a downgrade early on azores low cutting off the heights it's either very wrong or very right.

I'm still wondering after all this, we will get a Siberian High pressure come into play later in Jan!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

5 minutes ago, throwoff said:

Possible Thames streamer starting to form on radar?

No, just light flurries

8 minutes ago, dubmuffin said:

  The precipitation was being generated locally rather than coming from the continent.

Partially Incorrect, it was a bit of both! I followed it from 6am this morning

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, Mark wheeler said:

Of course, lets find out , you may be right.

Very dry air also moving into the North Sea too, lower and lower dewpoints 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 minute ago, Mark wheeler said:

Calling an end to this event IMO opinion is still premature for some. We will see and if it fails I doth my cap. 
 

 

He does state " It’s a wait and see in next few hours, it is unpredictable "

Radar/Sat Images says otherwise

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

5 minutes ago, Southender said:

Radar returns clearly reducing in the N'Sea/Estuary as the wind now has a more E'ly influence and the cold pool slips away to our west.

A few more light/mod showers to come for our region in the next few hours or so, then a cold night to follow.

Nice to see a dusting for some in our region.

Yep exactly as I mentioned earlier, all the indications of this was happening right in front of our eyes...

Radar/Wind/Sat Images! 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

13 minutes ago, Kasim Awan said:

The streamer going into North Kent will develop and push West next few hours.

Disagree, sat image says otherwise as well as wind convergence has now shifted

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

33 minutes ago, wellington boot said:

We're going through our last 15 min yellow blob for now, and now that everything is covered it's all accumulating and things are looking increasingly snow drenched.

Frustrating gaps and lack of intensity after this looking at the radar, however. 

Well I did say this earlier but I was completely disregarded..

As expected the showers are dying away in the North Sea, wind direction is shifting and its drying up for the east.

Mostly light flurries now

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

6 minutes ago, throwoff said:

The radar returns are not slowing up over the north sea, if anything the blobs are getting bigger.

 

 

Sat image says otherwise, you can see the clear slot coming in behind

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 minute ago, danm said:

It’s building nicely again in the Estuary:

 

That's the part I was talking about, there's nothing behind it.. Can see the clear slot approaching the North Sea from Europe

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

It's dying out in the North Sea, so once this next lot comes through I think that will be it!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Proper snow again! This area usually does well if snow is forecast due to the height!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

7 minutes ago, steveinsussex said:

exactly. So what’s wrong with it….?

If you can't see what's wrong with it, I have no reason to explain further!

Still snowing here, settling on the grass but not on the paths or roads

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 minute ago, steveinsussex said:

Its not that wrong, there are no accumulations

They didn't say accumulations...... 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Met Office need to look out the b loody window! 

flurries, a few showers mainly rain sleet some snow on the hills

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Need the North Sea to kick it up a notch as we are running out of time... Large clear slot behind it 

 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, Southender said:

Yeah, ground is too warm and showers aren't heavy enough for long enough. Only hope is after dark for accumulation.

Apart from here 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Settling outskirts of Hythe! 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Proper Snow!!!!!!!! WOOHOOO 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Got this horrible feeling we are going to get stuck between two convergence zones :/

 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 minute ago, Met4Cast said:

Absolutely nothing falling under the blues as I suspected.

 

Going to need to be under the more scattered brighter green echos to see much I think. 

Light flakes here now, the sky has taken a very deep whitish colour now too 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 minute ago, Paul said:

Colder air inbound! 

 

Thanks Paul, very helpful!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, Ellozee said:

Now snowing lightly and starting to accumulate. 1/10 SM scale.

Oooooooooooh!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, SnowBorder said:

Stopped here

It's supposed to, main event is in the North Sea still but encroaching 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, Met4Cast said:

Nope, had a 2 minute moderate snow shower about an hour ago and it began to settle immediately. 

Getting some more intense echoes appearing on the radar now