[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

3 minutes ago, Snowman31 said:

 

Are the temperatures not a bit high for settling snow?

 

No! 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

3 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

It's a real shame convection is so shallow today, lower heights and we'd be looking at a proper event!

Having said that despite shallow convection the lower levels are rather saturated with much drier air above the cloud layer so the usual issues with evaporation etc shouldn't apply today in theory. 

A few CM in the lucky spots by the end of the day possibly. 

Not sure if you've checked the radar recently, but I'd still class it as an event! 

There's also round 2 

Considering how lacking it has been with wintry weather from the east, and first part of Jan too!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

2 minutes ago, hernebaylooby said:

I can confirm I saw 3 flakes in herne bay on the door cam

Sure it's not dandruff, Herne Bay is full of smelly Chavs 

 ( My family live there :p )

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

1 minute ago, East Kent Snow Desert said:

I'm working in  Margate today and the pink blobs have been passing on the radar for 15mins but nothing falling to the ground from what I can see!

It's evaporating, the main stuff is still in the North Sea! Expect snow within the next hour or so.

It's starting snowing here 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

12 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:

First time I've seen the ppn reach as far as the West Country / South Wales. Fully expecting the showers to fizzle out before then but maybe not 

This is how things have changed!

It was only a week ago people were saying that for the south it would be mainly dry and because of the DRY air and being a high pressure, they didn't see much in the way of snow. Also for the fact that the upper temps were not forecasted to be as cold as this and so widespread.

Now look what's happened!

This is under a high pressure and it's much colder than first thought just a week ago 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, throwoff said:

Radar between 9:55 and 10:00 is a sudden change. Looks like that cold air just hit properly. 

METO changing the warning is interesting, this could be a fun few hours...

Even I wasn't expecting that much precipitation in the North Sea! I expect Snow Warnings soon

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Incoming!!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Sky News just said..

" We've already seen snow fall in kent today, but the potential for heavier snow later is a real threat "

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

8 hours ago, joggs said:

The models are trending pretty much the same over the last 5 days or so in my eyes. Promising nirvana at day 10.

No matter how much we all wish for the deep cold,snow,I can't see it coming. 

Expectations need to be roped in imo,then if the unexpected does happen..........Boom 

 

Wasn't the switch over to much colder weather always beginning around the 14th/15th of Jan and after that we have different ideas on the table?

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, TSNWK said:

Can you tell the steering winds for that clump over Belgium please?

Here you go!

Cloud radar United Kingdom - View live satellite images | SAT24

WWW.SAT24.COM

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View live satellite images of United Kingdom on the cloud radar at SAT24 and see where the sun is shining or the rain is falling.

 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

At the moment the much colder air is still a few hours away and likely to get even colder from then on. You can see on the radar the dividing line between sleet and snow. A large mass of precipitation is currently in Europe coming towards us. One to watch

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[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

5 minutes ago, Kent Blizzard said:

The moisture should start coming in about 2/3am i.e RH

 

More weather chart fun! ICON shows the showers starting around 6am onwards, which I guess would fit in well with the area of precipitation moving out of Europe as well. As seen in the second image! Fascinating

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

The North Sea around the south east is filling in with cloud now from being clear at 10pm to filled at 12. Now it's just a waiting game to see if it produces perception into the south east!  See - https://www.sat24.com/en-gb

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

4 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

I am officially on snow grain watch Now can I stay awake for 48 hours

Me too! Even watching the radar/sat images for the south east! Still better than the model thread which has been flooded with Football related posts :(

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

In the last hour it feels so much colder, the heating keeps coming on aswell to keep up! ( no gas )

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

3 minutes ago, Anthony Burden said:

Evening all,ECM finally coming on board with others regarding an extended cold period,still open regarding temperatures -10 hpa a loft never far away could still become severe especially in northern areas so going to feel this possible long fetched cold/verycold period.

Isn't a patch of -10pha to -12pha forecasted to cross the south tomorrow?

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

8 minutes ago, alexisj9 said:

Not good news for me unless it melts by 12:45, or to anyone coming down from Chelmsford or oxley.

Not true lol, was nothing falling here, the heavier stuff though probably is.

What's not true? It was sleeting here, and a few flakes earlier too 

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

Just now, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

It’s fine, just at the point now where the cold is embedding and blocking solid.  It’ll either slide or the block will exert further.  Attack would be a snow machine.  For me as I’ve said, many twists to come, even this run hasn’t resolved it….but shows also that there’s no definitive Atlantic breakdown.  Indeed this run would highlight Tamara’s re-inforcing post from earlier.   Plenty to look forward to….and I think back to Matt Hugo’s post too….blended with my own view….happy as a coldie.

 

BFTP

Considering the high pressure at the moment and then the possible greenland high, I'm expecting a Siberian high pressure to become a real feature down the line. Although not till end of Jan/Feb!

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

A few snow flakes in the wind here 

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

Just now, throwoff said:

Having messages from people convinced Medway about to get snow and I just don’t see it… 

Upper air temps -10 -> -14

Convergence zone 

Shower Risk

etc

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

ICON has upgraded for snow potential for tomorrow, South East. 1-3CM widely! Again this will be a nowcast situation, so wake up, check radar tomorrow and see if you're the lucky or unlucky person to get snow or not

[SE, London and East Anglia Weather Discussion - Dec 2023 on]

6 minutes ago, Bogman said:

Had enough of winter now, roll on spring warmth.

But we haven't had Winter??

It's been mild and wet throughout

[Model Output Discussion - Into 2024]

How things have changed, as I said before a week ago people were forecasting very little in the way of snow, if at all! Air was too dry etc

Yet here we are!

 

 

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