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Everything posted by Neilsouth
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wasn't the switch over to much colder weather always beginning around the 14th/15th of Jan and after that we have different ideas on the table? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Isn't a patch of -10pha to -12pha forecasted to cross the south tomorrow? -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Considering the high pressure at the moment and then the possible greenland high, I'm expecting a Siberian high pressure to become a real feature down the line. Although not till end of Jan/Feb! -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
How things have changed, as I said before a week ago people were forecasting very little in the way of snow, if at all! Air was too dry etc Yet here we are! -
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
We've already had upgrades in the short term which a lot of people are not talking about :) -12 uppers moving across the south east, weather warning for snow and it's already sleeting now! - Go back a week and people were expecting hardly anything because the high was too high :p -
It's looking even colder than first thought for Monday "Small pocket of -14 uppers into the extreme south east on the latest 06z ukmo". I always say for us in Kent, and towards London :p That for snowfall I prefer -10 uppers or below. Usually a good start point for snow streamers to set up. Keep checking the radar tomorrow! ( To that one poster, will get Swindon get snow? Just check the radar :p )
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
Neilsouth replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Case and point look at the upgrades in the short term for the east and south east... " DRY " " High pressure is too high " people said, and here we are with rain/sleet and possible snow tomorrow! - I do wonder if after all this we get a true scandi high down the line rather than a more dominate greenland high?