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Nick L

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Posts posted by Nick L

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, In Absence of True Seasons said:

    Mostly clear morning again, pleasant. Looks to be the best part of the day tbh.

    Forecast shows clouds rolling in thick from late morning onwards. Max of 17c, which is not great for London as to head into late May.

    Will we get another 20c this month?

    We still haven't had one here!

    • Like 1

    2023 Tornado Events, Outbreaks and Chat

    in Storm Chase USA

    Posted

    10 minutes ago, Raindrops said:

    How long will your trip be and which areas (States) have you chosen for your hunting grounds, or will it be random?

    I see heavy downpours for Kansas during the week, but that means nothing without the correct elements in play.

    I'm in the US for 2.5 weeks but 9/10 days dedicated to chasing, flying into Denver. I don't limit myself with where I'm going, as long as I'm back towards Denver by the 30th!

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Nick L

    7 minutes ago, reef said:

    I think the biggest issue these days is its just one extreme or the other. You either gets weeks of rain where everything floods or weeks of dry weather where everything dies and it becomes a dustbowl.

    Here for example:

    1st March - 30th September 2022:  202.0mm
    1st October - 31st December 2022: 222.2mm
    1st January - 28th February 2023: 54.8mm
    1st March - 10th May 2023: 163.8mm

    Dry, wet, dry, wet.
     

    Likely only going to be more topsy turvy as climate change increasingly takes hold, sadly. Fingers crossed we get a lovely, warm and mostly dry summer.

    • Like 7

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    Just now, Alderc said:

    The supposedly good day of Saturday and Sunday starting to look like they are going to be increasingly cloud, pressure not high enough and strong sunshine is a perfect recipe for infill, even some showers on Saturday. 

    As I'm on night shifts I'm not too upset about the weekend going downhill at least 😂

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, danm said:

    You're right, I've been digging into it and the 19.4c it showed in my screenshot for yesterday was from a 6am report showing the maximum temperature for the previous 12 hours, so at 6pm on the 7th it was still 19.4c and it carried that data over.

    I've amended the time period now when I generate the report to be at 6am, rather than 11pm as I had done previously (see below):

    Could contain: File, Page, Text

     

    I'm hoping this avoids the overlap. This is what I now get:

    @Nick L do the below Heathrow max temperatures now match with your data?

    Could contain: Chart, Heat Map, Text

     

    Almost, the dates are offset by a day though. e.g. the high for 8th May on that table is actually the high for the 7th.

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, al78 said:

    Like a semi-permanent October-November with the (very) occasional warm sunny day.

    Looks like I will have to tackle my weedy allotment by getting up there any evening or weekend it is not raining. I got another bed cleared this weekend in between periods of rain but it will take the rest of this month at this rate to get it completely cultivated. Planted out brassicas on Sunday and they were starting to get wrecked by slugs on Monday, so am resigning myself to yet another poor harvest this year.

    Digging the soil is surprisingly not very demanding (years of applying manure has lightened the soil), it is the digging up of clumps of couch grass and creeping buttercup and trying to smash the claggy boulder of soil off the roots that is very tedious.

    We have a similar issue with our allotment. We've got so many things waiting to go in the ground but have had to wait for the cold nights to finish. And even then, most days have had grim weather. An added complication is that we're off to the US for a few weeks on 20th May so we're really going to struggle to get things sorted.

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Azazel said:

    When I read the ‘cold tampers’ come in here saying it’s been an average spring/nothing to moan about/it’s perfectly normal - I feel like I’m being gaslit 😂

    I have never known such an extended spell of s**t weather for the time of year with no end in sight.

    I'm far from a warm enthusiast and don't cope well with anything above the high 20s, but this has been the most depressing spring I can remember. It honestly hasn't even felt as if the clocks have gone forwards yet.

    • Like 3
    • Thanks 1

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted

    13 hours ago, kold weather said:

    The only upshot I can see is the rainfall after tomorrow does look more convective in nature which should allow spells of sunshine in-between. I grant you thats not amazing, but at least its not write off territory.

    More notable is that without even adding yesterday rain we are now in the top 50 wettest springs and there is clearly considerable rain to come.

    Seems increasingly likely we will get a top 10 wettest spring ever recorded...and after ukmo only giving a wetter than average spring a 10% chance...

    Yet hosepipe bans are still in place 😂

    Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat

    in Spring Weather Discussion

    Posted · Edited by Nick L

    13 minutes ago, Summer8906 said:

     

    Is the outlook actually that bad? Just looking at GFS 00z and ECM 00z and neither look terrible, not cyclonic after this weekend. The weekend (except, hopefully, Sunday) is grim, yes, but pressure rises next week and particularly end of the week / next weekend.

    If I was to describe them in one word, I'd probably use "boring". Very zonal and westerly for May, though pressure is often high in the south suggesting not too much rain and some days of sun.

    Appalling for storms, real warmth, interesting weather patterns (weather systems moving in from the east, which can often happen at this time of year) or interesting late cold - it's true.

    The whole thing looks rather like a rerun of May 2011 or 2015 - both months noted for very boring westerly-dominated weather, but neither month was that unpleasant.

    Is it me or is the "return of the westerlies", traditionally a June thing, happening much earlier these days? May seems to be Atlantic-driven much more often than previously nowadays, with (if the models are correct) possibly the third successive Atlantic-dominated May. And going back slightly further, as well as 2011 and 2015 as mentioned above, 2014 was a mostly cyclonic Atlantic-dominated month, aside from a short hot spell.

     

    The EC has 30-50mm widely across Britain for the next 10 days, that's poor in my book. There are 2 days in the entire run where the weather is reliably dry (plenty of days of sunshine and heavy showers, but you can't exactly plan outdoor activities with that sort of forecast), and even then the temperatures are distinctly average.

    • Like 1
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