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Posts posted by Dartmoor_Matt
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Looks like spring is put back again. Typical. But then if it can't be warm and sunny it might as well be cold and snowy. Rain is a no no whichever way!
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I'll take that latest graphic
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That 10 over me then is going to be... 10mm of rain or 10cm of snow?
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Aside from that, as far as I know, the only things being said on here regarding areas of the NH being colder are just that. Is it/It is possible for these areas to trend colder without the rest of the globe doing so.
Accelerated warming in the last 60 years can be linked to a much more active sun in the sametime period, so there is one 'other' possibility without even engaging half of a braincell.
Funny, was talking about this at work, and a straw poll suggested 100% of peope didn't believe in our being responsible for the warming, and even if we were seeing much of said warming in the UK.
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NAE is coming out now for 12Z and even at T9 it increases the snow risk for the SW, high ground of Devon and maybe even cornwall are highlighted as early as 09.00pm this evening !.
It also has DP's generally even lower...
12Z GFS has fallen into line with the NAE, and massively increases the snow signal for the areas highlighted by the METO for tomorow, the 06Z didn't really have much of a snow signal at all.
Thats good news, does it give any indications of amounts etc?
Or if you have the link?
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yes matt i drove over dartmoor earlier at about 1.00 and its was snowing and settling, its wierd too see because at the top of haytor there was snow settling yet you get half a mile down the road and its pouring with rain, amazing what elevation will do!!!!
Yeah I saw that as I drove home, there was snow up there and over further, but down below 1300 feet it was sleety.
At home now, and the snow has got very light, but didn't settle. The hills higher are covered in cloud so can't say if they have any more snow or not.
Hopefully we will see that line drop overnight, and the PPN arrives at the sametime. My low last night was -3.4C, currently 1.2C with a DP of 0.3C (hence the lack of settling I suppose)
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Its snowing! Although trying hard to settle, its not quite there!
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Just popped out of work for a bit, and noticed the moors have a covering from about 1400-1500 feet upwards, the snow at home doesn't look like it will have settled with those heights, but good to see in the distance!
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Morning all, was snowing at home when I left for work which gradually became sleet as I got further down, and here it was just horrible cold heavy rain, will be interesting to see what happens at home though.
More akin to Vancouver than Devon at the moment
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Oh well, rain it is then.
Roll on Spring! Any chance of a southerly plume next week?
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It's not really 'late' though is it? It's only Feb, which is typically our coldest month and the one we get the most snow in, although this year has altered things a little with snow in December and even more in January.
I agree though, this time around, the further south the more transient it might be, whether it turns to rain remains to be seen. Assuming it comes off at all that it
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-1C and misty playing tennis, not fun, but some good matches.
-2.3C up here and clear, lovely view of the stars tonight, very impressive show... the joy of no light pollution.
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I'd love a hot summer, if only because the last 3 have been rubbish for doing what we love best... camping and surfing down in Cornwall, well the surfs been fine, but the rain :lol:
We shall see though, I'm not going to hold my breath
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Snow you say... what a turn up :lol:
I'm just off to tennis, and the temp is hovering around freezing... which might make the roads interesting on the way home after all the rain today.
Ian, look foward to reading what you have to type tomorrow regarding Thursday, as up to now its been shown as heavy rain from the Beeb.
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I didn't think they were, but it was a mis-quote non the less
I guess I'm just intrigued to see two years with 1 in 30 year events in a row and whats been happening to 'buck the trend' in some parts of the NH.
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i like the look of that chart!!!! i keep hearing we do well out of a channel low for snow, can someone be so kind too just clarify exactly what they mean by this?
A channel low that moves along the N'ern coast of France will have easterly winds along its northern edge (as lows rotate anti clockwise in this hempisphere) and being a low have greater chance of PPN, so in winter, with cold in place already you get some nice snowfall.
My max today was 3.9C and its currently 0.9C (as soon as the rain stopped, the clouds cleared the temp just dropped away)
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The year without a summer (1816) didn't trigger an ice age.
Hence the "so on and so forth"
Oh, and if you are going to quote me, do it properly.
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Hasn't felt warm in the 'summer' here for the last 3 years. But anyway, as I said, it was pretty hypothetical, but the way most ice ages get going is a cold winter followed by a cold summer, as the ice doesn't retreat as much and so on and so forth.
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We'll have to wait for one then eh?
One what?
I think you'll find it was all, like most things on here, pretty hypothetical.
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And Thursday now, according to NAE. Anyone in Devon etc should be happy with this. NAE makes Thursday less marginal than Wed.
That looks rather tasty!
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Rain, low cloud, mist and general bleugh now!
Nothing worse than serving in the rain... gets in your eyes models are trending more towards cold again, will this winter ever end? Teleconnections all pointing towards it extending into March.
even larger teapot, as if!
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Yeah, sleety stuff up here to, got alot colder than this morning and definately not mild. 2.1C
Once again, tennis looks like being cold. So much for the summer sport
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The snow drops still aren't flowering up here, but I can see a little white now!
Anyway, not so cold today, bit damp but the sun keeps trying to poke through... looks like the models don't want to let go of winter just yet.
What's the point in living in the warmest corner of the country if it stays cold?!
Oh yes, the surfing
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Ian just said the words BBQ and summer, I saw it!!! Now we can take what he said truly out of context and shout at him in September.
I think he denied it.
Although I fully intend to have lots of BBQs this summer. Regardless of wether the Met Office say I can or not
General Climate Change Discussion Continued:
in Climate Change
Posted
This isn't some kind or competition, its just various people giving various opinions on what they see/think/believe is happening.
For example, I go surfing in the sea off Cornwall and have done for many years, I can't say I've noticed the sea getting any warmer, nor the temperatures on shore likewise, ergo, from my point of view there is little to suggest this warming is taking place, indeed 12 years ago when I was taking my GCSEs it seemed a lot warmer than it has over those last 12 years, IMBY I know, but isn't that the point, MBY does make up part of this globe.