Snowmad79
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Posts posted by Snowmad79
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same here, its depressing weather never mind boring ! .. Grey damp dull clouldy and mildish, I wouldnt mind but i dont think ive seen any sunshine what so ever since this HP system dominated our wether and by the time the evenings draw in it gets really really foggy here too.
Who doubted it would it last ? because it doesnt look like shifting for long while yet!
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hi mate ive not been of for a bit?is it meant to snow or something then turn to rain?cheers
Dunno mate, wasnt long ago that I heard about meto warnings so I checked the charts and radar and it does look likely
any showers we get between now and 5pm will be snow and after that time I expect them to turn back to rain.Hopefully we'll get something good today before we return to the milder muck for a week.
** Ooops my bad, the damned NW future radar seems to be advancing the showers way too fast , so except for the north of the region and coastal areas .. no ppn for us in the south eastern part yet LOL**
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I should imagine all levels, but the problem is between 5pm and 6pm this evening warmer air is due to sweep in from the west which may well turn any showers back to rain. Areas at 200-300m + may see the showers stay as snow for longer.
** Any showers between now and 5pm will be snow to all levels - this will vary for coastal areas**
The NW radar shows some heavy showers heading my way in about 15mins.
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Im not im just saying its a possibility.
and winning the euro jackpot on friday is a possibilty too....
. Think ill watch the 06z gfs come out before I say wether i think it might or might not. Low 850s do sweep down again between now and tonight but thats to be expected with this ecroaching northerly .. wonder where that HP to the south is heading on this run ?LMAO by the time that ppn does it dance around our perhiferary (or however you spell) into scotland, it looks like well be under mild air before the ppn sinks southwards .. lol were in for a good soaking tomorrow i reakon.
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i think they can be closed now to be honest its looking like that might be it until the next time ice age/!!! :lol:
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What the hell is going on?
Were about to get rail roaded by a bartlett-esque / sinking HP so expect Higher temps and plenty of muccy PPN infact you'll probably get more ppn than you did during the "snow events" lol.
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Some more showers have developed, should be one hitting here now but nothing's falling yet.
Snowed here on my way to work last night at 21:40 leaving a dusting but this morning temps are up to 2.3 c already, its raining and foggy. so were back to the "typical" weather here.
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http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/satpics/latest_uk_ir.html
IR shows the PL away by 0300, but now, at 0600 it's starting to sort itself out again only closer to the mainland...
Some of the NW lads were chatting about that last night so Ive just been looking at sat24 sat loop and it shows another swirling feature coming towards that one from the NW of it. Dunno if that has any irrelavance or not just thought id mention it.
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What are the LP's you were talking about on satallite ? , just lookin at the sat now and it shows what looks like 2 tiny lp's spinning to the north west of scotland, one seems stationary and spiraling and the second one moving SE towards it and starting to suck cloud up from the the first.
Anyways it appears that where I live had snizzly sleet though the night that accumilated to depth of around 5mm lol , well enough to cover the roads etc slightly and dust the original cover from last monday however less than mile down the road it stayed as mainly rain melting alot of the snow. Very borderline conditions for snow overall here lastnight .. the precip was certainly there though which would of provided decent accumilations. So I dont understand if it was borderline here how the heck did the colder air etc bypass us giving heavy snow down south ?, I would have though it should have stayed sleety down there at best.
What a strange event.
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whats it doing there now mate?
Err hangon a minute my snowmoscale doesnt seem to be picking anything up, ill just have a look out the window.
It looks like fine sleety specs of snow blowing about.
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Ok fair point James, I should be greatfull of what we have had compaired to what others have had. I guess I just crave a proper snowy winter of old but imo weve had better than this even within the last 10 yrs with 1997 being the last really memorable winter for me.
However in my eyes, dustings or pittyfull snow falls (like yesterday and now) do not register on my snowmoscale lol.
What amazes me is that it rains all summer and then as soon as it could be snow it seems to disappear.Yep I said yesterday it think that the northwest can be garunteed to get the worst and most of the precip when we least want it, plenty through the year then as soon as winter arrives we more or less get a drought.
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I'm not happy, in fact I'm quite sad nice[ UNDERSTATMENT - THANK YOU MODERATORS] to hear those reprts of Heavy wet snow in Oxfordshire. Despite one decent snowfall this winter up to now its looking like a typical + 2001 winter up here even on the west pennine hills. Even last year we had more snow events up here im sure of it.
All the charts point to continued cold ecm look all over the place with regards to where it wants the systems but most of all what is annoying me is, yeah its looking cold but all the ppn want to bloody go round us and who the hell wants sustained periods of cold DRY weather ? NOT ME thats for sure.
Thanks for reading my rant
this is the weatheronline forecast recently updated from 12z run sounds to good to be true?Tuesday Night
An area of snow looks likely to make its way across southwest Scotland, and into northern England through the night. This is especially going to be affecting the northwest of England with the threat of 5 to 10cm of snow falling on the hills. Patchy rain affecting northern and western Wales after a dry start to the night and this leading to widespread icy roads. Elsewhere through the country it should be dry with clear skies in places. A widespread, severe frost in Scotland with lows over the snowfields at -15C. Nearer -1 to 05C for many other areas.
Possibly right that, todays updated meto warnings leave a couple of NW regions in the warning for tuesday for heavy snow.
Blackpool Cheshire Gtr Manchester Heavy Snow Tue 10 Feb There is a moderate risk of a severe weather event affecting parts of England and Wales on Tuesday. A band of rain will turn to sleet and snow in places as it moves eastwards. There is the potential for around 5 to 10cm of snow, especially over hills.
Issued at: 1127 Mon 9 Feb
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Weve had fine snow up here the last hour (more like snow particles untill the 10 mins now there more visable) and temp wise my station says 0c here which is/and probably will start droping more now i think. Wind Chill feels quite bad out there now.
As for that UKMO, it shows the centre north of the uk on that run with obviously colder air pulled down towards the uk so It wont be as mild as it looks IMO specially so at night time. Then theres those Fax charts what Tucco posted surely they will have an effect on the outcome of where that HP manages to move to if at all at 72hr+......
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We recieved snow showers on a off through the night just after 2am which to my surprise were HUGE flakes for a change the showers wernt persistant so it has only been enough to cover the road and paths etc which was nice. If they had carried on non stop it would have been mayhem on the roads this morning. Some roads on my journey home were untreaded.
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Well i dont know If youve seen the latest ECM Icelandic Version charts yet posted in the other topics but that has the LP further north putting the south of the region well within the heavy ppn band with lighter stuff futher north.
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Bit daft all this talk of Mon/Tues storm affecting our region:
but there is no evidence to support the fact that tomorrows storm will affect the north west at all - and it will lead to further unecessary dissapointment.
Hot*Snow
Then What do you call this then > http://www.netweather.tv/forum/index.php?s...t&p=1477492
Better read it because there more than enough evidence suggest Parts of the Northwest could see something from Tuesdays Low pressure system. Theres even the possiblility it could effect areas up to the scottish border.
Most of the latest model outputs are more in favour of a northward shunt of the system which would see the ppn reaching atleast the south of this region.
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Precip has picked up here now and I can actually class them as flakes again. Roads are now virtially covered.
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LOL just looked at the radar looks like it will have gone through by about 7pm!!!
Hopefully a freeze to follow tonight but i havent even had a cm LOL.
Tomorrow night might produce but i note with interest places in the midlands are seeing heavier snow than us and its come from the blinkin west!
How poor is this!!!
Exactamundo mate .... lets hope the next 2 days produce the goods hey ?
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This is standard procedure by the met-office. They do it to cover themselves in case the unexpected does happen (ie/ the low does track further north than expected) especially given the fact that this event could affect parts of the north midlands.
But as I said there is no evidence to support the view that this winte storm will affect us here in the north-west.
You could be right but you could also be wrong most models are in favour of the northward shunt of the LP now, even Satallite imagery from noaa (actual positioning of systems) suggests the LP was already coming from a more northerly position than the models were previously showing. The latest satallite image should be available after 6pm this evening and it will show where that LP really is
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If you look at the Met Office site we could be in for an interesting copule of days up here ..... warnings for us out till Tuesday.
WOW theyve actually added us to the heavy snow warnings for monday and tuesday now, upto 15cm monday and upto 15cm tuesday LMFAO thats great news.
Still a little Snizzle goin on here
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MAJOR DEVELOPMENT WITH THE CHANNEL LOW!!!!!
http://www.meteociel.fr/ukmo/run/UW42-594.GIF?08-17
UKMO SAYS NORTH - this means the snow risk encompasses the whole of Yorks
Made a post not so long ago in the NW thread saying that I believe that the channel low is starting from a more northerly point than the charts were/are showing. Thats what I think looking at Noaa Sattalite imagery and loops.... Looking good.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/neatl.html [ noaa North atlantic satallite imagary ]
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OMG the flakes are that big over there on the east of the pennines while us on the westside were expecting the best of it and only get patchy snizzle ... eeee I dont know and to think some of you were whinging about not getting any lol.
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Looks like the band will soon pass through this region according to the METO radar (4pm),and soon we will be in a clearer slot
Huh ?? will pass us by ?? ... its not even reached us yet as it ?
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the problem with the radar is that it keeps showing holes where no holes exist coz in the next update there is plenty of light err hesitant to call it snow.
keep the faith, the ecm keep moving the low further north..there is always a slight glimmer of hope..we have been so let down in this winter, that its hard to see anything falling..the measily amounts we have had are a laughing joke no one finds funny..but this is the UK weather where the craziest things go on with the weather and i believe in the law of averages we are owed a good dumping...last time we had more than 3 inches was in 1982 0.o and the sarf accuse us of having more snow..and id bet across the west of the region it isnt really that much better..i mean 3-5 inches is pathetic..and i think soon very soon we are going to get a hammering, like i wont write tomorrow off, they cant even get the tracks right, what makes the meto think they have this right? they didnt get last thursday right and they are truly hopeless for western areas of the north west..if its going to snow, it rains if its going to be nice it will rain you get the idea we own the copyright and trademark on rain here
I think you'll find its the other way round the Radar is showing snow where there isnt any. the Radar is also no doubt operated by Southerners and are feeding it false data to wind us up
.Precip here looks more like very fine sleet atm. As for the Channel Low ive been looking at satallite imagery and loops for the NE atlantic and IMO it looks to me like the centre of it is more north to start with than it appears on all the charts.
Thats an image I edited after veiwing the loop and thats where the low appears to me.
Original images and loops here >>
any showers we get between now and 5pm will be snow and after that time I expect them to turn back to rain.
. Think ill watch the 06z gfs come out before I say wether i think it might or might not. Low 850s do sweep down again between now and tonight but thats to be expected with this ecroaching northerly .. wonder where that HP to the south is heading on this run ?
Today's Weather And General Chat
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted
Yep great views on good days + nights when Sholver isnt burried in the clouds lol and the pitch and putt is a great afternoon out in summer. Cant beat going for a round with the lads followed by a pint or 10 outside the Kings Arms next door in the blazing sunshine..