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Everything posted by Cold Winter
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Enhanced risk from the SPC for the next 3 days across southern US. This includes a 10% hatched risk area tomorrow and already a Day 3 enhanced risk that discusses tornadoes as the primary threat. I haven’t looked at the charts but it looks like the threat moves east a bit each day from TX through LA/MS.
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Been following the lead-up to this over the last few days and it certainly seems like there’s a high possibility of severe weather tonight and tomorrow. NWS seem to think the biggest tornado threat today is from 11pm onwards UK time. Given the threat has increased a bit to the south, is there a chance things could kick off a bit earlier? At work early tomorrow but hoping to catch some of the livestreams later tonight.
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Had a covering here from the showers that have passed through. One appeared to stay to the south of me on radar but looked out and it was snowing - think the southerly wind direction tonight helped it make the last mile or so! Lamp post watching beat radar tonight It’s modelled to get across. A lot of rain events do this don’t they - ie appear to stall at the Pennines then eventually the whole lot gets across, although usually weaker here than over in the west.
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-1.6c the maximum today after a low of -5.9c overnight with some patchy snow cover remaining from earlier in the week. Models looking interesting for tonight, as is the current radar. I can see that Arpege is on board for some slight accumulations… in my opinion if Arpege says yes then it suggests somewhere is going to see lying snow. The only question now is where - ie bit further north or south? Down to nowcasting. I’m expecting the area over north Wales is going to intensify a bit so all of Yorkshire should be in with a chance
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Cold Winter replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Cold Winter replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looked very interesting a few minutes ago on radar -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Cold Winter replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Very windy here now and just over 30c - almost as odd as the hot breeze during the heatwave in July last year -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Cold Winter replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Cold Winter replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I live in Malton but work just over the other side of the moors. I’ve been caught in some really nasty storms in the past while up there. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
Cold Winter replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Right in the middle of all the various outlooks/warnings I’ve seen for today. Already a hot and sunny 26c -
Hoping I’ll be wrong about Thurs/Fri, but generally modification from the North Sea can affect snow along the coast in these kind of events so those of us along or near the east coast are probably more likely to see a snow to rain event while those further inland will see more accumulating snow. I can see this being taken into account on the latest modelling which is trending towards lower snow depths for low ground in eastern parts of Yorkshire. Either way - any falling and settling snow will be a bonus after this winter!