benb
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Posts posted by benb
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On 01/03/2018 at 20:42, Marcus_surfer said:
Heaviest snow is falling in the west of wales at the moment
Can vouch for that... tumping it down here. Still.
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Front deffo splitting in two, atm... hope that doesn't scupper it for anyone.
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6 minutes ago, Baldy Snowman said:
honestly. do a screen cap of two hours ago and now on NW radar, and tell me anywhere west of Cardiff is a bust. I'd post them if i didn't think I'd get a row for doing so. lol
points west of swansea are about to be hammered, as are points east. if anything me here in Maesteg might miss out slightly in comparison, smack in the middle of those two blobs, but i am very happy so far with what is falling, and will fall. i think the hills around here will play a role too and pep up things.chill out everyone, this is an epic event.
This is becoming a generational event in Tenby.
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Just possible that we're beginning to see the front fracture somewhat over Devon, as progged, with the western section going to take a more direct path to Ireland, probably clipping W Wales and the eastern section continuing to head more due N toward SE Wales... might not be reading the radar right... but something to watch.
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5 minutes ago, benytezz said:
so much for Ireland getting it all. looking at NW radar, Wales is the bullseye
I think E coast of Ireland will get it, just it seems to be taking a direct route across SW UK rather than skirting round us, as many of the precipitation forecasts have showed during the last couple of days.
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Just now, keithlucky said:
I always enjoy watching the fronts expand seeing a front expand see yellow and expand from 50miles wide too200 miles wide.Sad do LOL.
Nothing sad about it: it's a thing of beauty.
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We're 9" in drifts, 3" in sheltered areas and 0" on exposed roads and paths...
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Bright echos hitting S Coast England nr Lyme Regis, should be heading Wales' way.
Have to say, this is looking increasingly EPIC.
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9 minutes ago, butters said:
well i have been reading the south west and southern england thread for hours and nobody are really having any proper heavy big flake snow just this crappy snizzle like us will anybody have the proper heavy snow that was forecast prompting the red warning.this snozzle stuff is just boring and annoying
Speak for yourself, mate.
We're into our 4th hour of it in Tenby: grass nearly covered; patio bare apart from a 9" drift around the edge! Wild conditions, the like of which I've never seen here before.
The good news for you could be that as the low and fronts get nearer, the upper atmosphere temps will rise and (I suggest) this will make the snow less powdery, more 'normal' and more to your liking!!
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4 minutes ago, RhysWales said:
People panicking before it's even really started.
The met office have issued a red warning from 3pm-2am because it will affect the area they've highlighted between that time- not all of that time. 2 hours down, 9 to go.
For the record, it's snowing heavily, and horizontally with me. Similar location to Jay, so maybe it's the fact we're that much closer to the coast and more exposed. People living in the valleys (north to south flowing) will naturally be more sheltered from an easterly wind. Chill people. And those saying red warnings will be taken down, I beg you to come and stand outside my front door for five minutes and tell me it's not severe!
Tenby also in the heavy, horizontal snow club, atm.
Exceptional conditions for here; I've never seen anything like it in this location.
2 minutes ago, Jayfromcardiff said:Lake effect snow from the Bristol channel mate.
Yep- I think it's picking energy/moisture up from Carmarthen Bay here.
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Patience needed for main band to arrive.
Fronts from the SE are usually slow moving (compared to those zipping through from SW-NW).
The slower it’s moving, the greater possibility for prolonged snow.
Looks on track, to me.
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4 minutes ago, Deep Snow please said:
US National Weather Service definition is
- wind in excess of 35mph
- visibility below 1/4 of a mile
- Large amounts of snow or blowing snow
- Lasts in excess of 3 hours.
Thanks!
Not quite there yet, but certainly heading in the right direction.
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Heavy snow in Tenby. Really blowing in the strengthening wind...
What’s the technical definition of a blizzard? Reckon we can’t be far off.
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1 minute ago, Marcus_surfer said:
Well models were wrong with that dry patch here
You beat me to it! ;-)
Good signs, early on.
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Doesn't look to be a problem with precipitation reaching the west, atm: that band of the heavier stuff making good progress NWwards, across Swansea and the Gower.
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Fine, settling snow in Tenby. -1c
Radar now full to the SE...
Here we go!!
Enjoy, everyone.
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Main band progressing nicely...
My only concern would be it splitting in two, as some of the forecasts showed and half heading up the Brecons and half heading to E coast of Ireland.
Hope doesn't happen, but something to keep an eye on...
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1 minute ago, DeepSnow said:
So is this the band of snow that's suppose to last all day/tonight? It looks sort of narrow for that, or is there another band of snow due to come in later?
The ‘proper’ fronts are due later.
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1 minute ago, Sky Full said:
Can't deny I'm disappointed that we are not going to a blizzard here on the Pembs/Carms border after all but I am excited for all you lucky people in the south east - it does look like Andy's apocalyptic warnings were justified, and it has to be said, several days ahead of the Met Office! Well done Andy! Let us know when you've dug yourself out!! It is quite amazing - and a little annoying - how the geography round here prevents snow reaching us from the east, but guarantees we get soaked with rain when the weather comes from any other direction!!!
Think I might move to Cardiff.
I wouldn’t write it off just yet.
Still think the west will get several hours of heavy snowfall later today!
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11 minutes ago, virtualsphere said:
HIRLAM is available to view here: https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/hirlam.php
Shows perhaps more snow than forecast overnight tonight for central areas of Wales and then more snow towards western parts tomorrow evening and night - so perhaps less of a snow shield here in Carmarthenshire...
Great link:thanks!
Very reassuring...
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3 minutes ago, Sky Full said:
That is a seriously weird aberration - looks like a massive heat source is keeping Carmarthenshire warmer than everywhere else! I know I turned my heating up but it wouldn't have made THAT much difference! If that doesn't change it could turn our snow to rain far too early, or leave us dry.
only made it down to -5.9C here last night - others places much colder - but tonight will be colder still.
Wild birds are hit hard by this weather - if you have the means to do it don't forget to put out some food for them.
It won't be a static feature on the day; there's been an area of much higher 850s progged to move through for a couple of days now. I think that's the sector where freezing rain/ice ice is forecast (MetO have mentioned it a couple of times) as rain falls into the still below freezing lower atmosphere. Something else to look out for...
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2 minutes ago, bartlett high said:
18z suggests thurs/fri could be a non-event!!
Not my take on it out west, but I guess time will tell...
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Another solid run from GFS 18z re. Thurs/Fri... suggests 24hrs snowfall for SW Wales (it won’t be, but it gives a general idea)... the sleet/rain line appears to be progged progressively further to the S on recent runs suggesting less marginal conditions along the S coast... a starting as snow and staying as snow event likely now?
The Preselis are going to get an absolute battering.
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1 hour ago, Jen Beachcomber said:
Didn't you get some 'flakes' in Tenby today Ben?
I'm waiting for tomorrows run to confirm how much and when, but I'm almost certain we WILL get snow on Thursday, The upper air is cold, the ground is cold, it will be snowing at sea before it reaches land
Hi Jen- I'm in Pembroke by day, where we had about an hour-and-a-half of steadyish, light snow: lovely, and the second time this year!
Deffo be something Thurs/Fri... just how much? I'm hoping for a classic!
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Wales/Cymru Regional Weather Discussion
in Regional
Posted
Can’t upload photos, but Tenby has taken an absolute battering... 2ft drifts in town centre... unheard of... great late walk around the snow clogged streets... once in a life time stuff.