benb
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Posts posted by benb
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15 minutes ago, Jen Beachcomber said:
Agreed, The last time I saw the tide reach the back of Freshwater West beach was Dec15. The winds were about the same as forecast tomorrow but nowhere near as much surge. I am interested to see how much surge Ex-Ophelia has been pushing in front of her. No one is talking about it ?
It's wild at Fresh at the best of times, so take care!!
Good question... also will the low pressure equal a sea-level 'bulge'?
Whilst I love a good storm, I hope there's no injuries.
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Just now, Daniel* said:
Much of England could go 'yellow' a very large wind field as soon to be ex hurricane Ophelia barrels northeast...30-50 mph gusts may not seem like much but with trees in foliage...
Nowcasting from this point forward. I guess there's more unknowns on this occasion due to the unusual nature of this storm.
Tbh... headline wind strength, atm, is not actually that unusual for round here (maybe once in a three or four years event?) but the on-shore wind combined with the forecast huge swell (SWerly direction) and hightide is a worry.
A further shift Ewards would exacerbate any issues.
Literally the calm before the storm here: a balmy 15/16c and hardly a breath of wind...
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13 minutes ago, crimsone said:
That road gets covered in storm debris/ rocks from the beach/sea in a 'usual' storm!
Not sure if the fact it's a pretty small tide will make a difference in this case...
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14 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:
So.. it looks like I'm probably going to head down to Wales tonight. Wisemans Bridge and Manorbier Beach are the two areas of interest I've picked out. Manorbier Beach is winning at the moment, it's more exposed but there's also higher ground to stand on and watch the waves come in, plus looks slightly more vehicle accessible.
How do you pay for the Severn Toll Bridge? Do they take card? Cash? Or do you pay online later like you do with the Dartford bridge? Thanks!
Might see you there! They take a card on the bridge these days.
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5 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:
Completely agree. I've grown up around the sea, I know she isn't to be messed with.
I think Wisemans Bridge might be the winner here looking at high tide times/the location and surf forecasts
Could be a good call. It'll be one of the places I'll be checking out... from the bar at the Wiseman's Bridge Inn.
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Could be a good call. It'll be one of the places I'll be checking out... from the bar at the Wiseman's Bridge Inn.
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1 minute ago, Mokidugway said:
It's lovely around there
Yep- great place; good surf (at times).
I'm originally from Ulverston, so I know the Ulverston-Barrow coast road pretty well... it'll be a bit hairy down there Mon/Tues, I'd have thought!!
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8 minutes ago, Daniel Smith said:
Where would be the best place on the Welsh Coast to see this? I'm so tempted to drive across the country late Sunday night
Any SW facing beach in Pembs is going to have exceptionally large swell Monday into Tuesday, probably peaking after dark on Monday evening. Freshwater West being the most exposed of these; Newgale probably 2nd best (road may be closed along seafront). Having said that, large autumn surf isn't unusual in these places, so impact may be less spectacular.
If you're looking for impact, maybe Wiseman's Bridge to Amroth/Pendine might be a good place. I've seen the road E of Amroth literally washed away after the 2014(?) storm/s.
High-tide is late afternoon.
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4 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:
I’m in New Quay, which is spectacular when it’s a NW wind on the harbour wall, sw wind won’t produce big waves there, but I’m staying up the hill (800 ft asl) so should get some decent readings on my kestrel.
Enjoy! Further north from there, Llansantffraed/ Llanrhystud, should be being impacted by the swell more than New Quay so maybe worth checking out.
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14 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:
So at least I may see some action on my travels Monday in West Wales *weather related action I must add
Trust me, weather action is the only action you'll be seeing round here!
Deffo try to get to the coast, especially during the afternoon (high tide late afternoon)., I'm sure it'll be quite spectacular...
Wind's going to be southerly, so I'd expect quite a bit of over-topping Wiseman's Bridge to Pendine, if the forecast holds true.
(Obviously the swell will be bigger on the west facing beaches but the impact may be less).
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Main body of swell now forecast to be directly up Irish Sea (as opposed to w.coast of Eire as earlier progged). Epic for SW.Wales coastline.
Owners of boats in Tenby, Pembs, been advised to remove their boats from the water!
What's the chance of further eastwards corrections of storm path in coming hours?
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1 hour ago, Steve Murr said:
Evaporational cooling at its best...
Suddenly everybody wants in the Wales/Cymru thread!!
1 hour ago, Peter A said:Send it to Derek Brockway, he might show it for the novelty factor
Ha. Front page news in The Tenby Observer next week...
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1 minute ago, Peter A said:
LOL, what a nice surprise, first falling snow I've seen here for years, didn't settle of course. Bearing in mind I think the last settling snow we had here was in 2010 so I don't expect an awful lot, anything is a bonus.
Ha- what a laugh- glad someone else is able to back me up!! Cheers pal.
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Back to Rain/sleet now...
Still, fun while it lasted!
I guess I can upload video onto here? (just to remove any doubt!!!)
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3/2/17: The Great Blizzard of Tenby
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WTF!
Full on snow now!
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Actually more snow than rain now!!
Nearly proper snow!
Bet it's tumping it down inland...
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Heavy sleet in Tenby; some big white slushy flakes in it!!
C'mon!!
(It's all relative I guess...)
(And Congrats Mrs andymusic- good luck for the next rounds!)
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Latest GFS showing high pressure to NW and solid northerly for next weekend... worth keeping an eye on.
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Heavy falls of no in S.Pembs.
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Bit random, but radar showing significant front/system entering n.scotland atm. Wonder where that's off to? Polar low?
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Sleety shower just passed through Tenby... but, hey, that's pretty good for here!
Hurricane Ophelia
in Hurricanes, Cyclones and Extreme weather worldwide
Posted
That's got Lundy in it, too! Fascinating 24hrs coming up...