- Popular Post
radiohead
-
Posts
1,671 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
1
Content Type
Forums
Blogs
Gallery
Events
Learn About Weather and Meteorology
Community guides
Posts posted by radiohead
-
-
3 minutes ago, Johnp said:
Obviously now the para is not as good
-
- Popular Post
Wales hits the snow jackpot on the 18Z GFS
-
9
-
2
-
Possible flooding concerns for the south on the 18Z with a trailing front moving in from the Atlantic that could bring a long period of heavy rain...but could turn to heavy snow further north later...
-
1
-
-
At only 108 hours on the GFS, the deep low southwest of Iceland that was on the 12Z is now almost non-existent on the 18Z...
-
2
-
-
T240
06Z GFS uppers mostly -6
0Z uppers were mostly -8 to -10
06Z another cold run in FI but there will be lots of changes before we get there...
-
1
-
-
GFS 168 Snow for Scotland. Rain further south.
-
2
-
-
12Z GFS at 120 has more southeastward movement of energy than on the 06Z.... UKMO having none of it though.
-
1
-
-
3 minutes ago, Badgers01 said:
Not to mention the “GFS has got this it, it models over the US better ... etc “ the UkMO model really is the decider !
Would never bet against ECM & UKMO when they are both in agreement.
-
1
-
1
-
-
UKMO 144....No backtrack
-
1
-
-
GFS has moved towards the UKMO
-
1 minute ago, davehsug said:
That's strange, because Nick Sussex used to regularly post discussions from US weather pros, which mostly consisted of ignoring the GFS and going with either ECM UKMO or a blend of the 2.
Certainly when it comes to tropical weather, the ECM is often called "King Euro" by the forecasters in the US!
-
06Z is a more snowy run than the 0Z. It will change again on the 12Z obviously, but still nice to see. Let's hope the GFS is right.
-
2
-
-
GFS not yet ready to bow to the UKMO and ECM
-
1
-
-
1 minute ago, KTtom said:
As mentioned above, the UKMO fax chart certainly isn't following its own model and if anything looks more akin to the GFS!
Isn't this published before the 0Z UKMO and ECM though? It's those two most recent runs which have really been the kicker.
-
3
-
-
Grim tidings from the ECM and UKMO. Enjoy the colder weather we have over the next few days and then hopefully we can get a positive result from SSW late in the month.
-
2
-
-
UKMO or ECM would be bad enough news on their own, but the fact that they have both moved in the same direction is very bad news.
It's unlikely I think that they will both change back to show the GFS type solution since the damage is done in the 120-144 period and not far off in FI. More likely that the GFS will move towards the UKMO and ECM over the next 24 hours. ECM is just the better model at that timeframe + the fact that it has support from the UKMO.
-
1
-
-
Looking a bit marginal at 372....erm....
-
2
-
1
-
-
Don't sleep on the GFSP....
-
2
-
-
GFSP not as snowy as the 18Z OP but still produces a bit more snow than it's own 12Z
-
1
-
-
1 minute ago, TSNWK said:
So when it’s frontal and sliders etc we are ok with -6 uppers or there abouts ?
Yes absolutely.
-
2
-
-
Well now
-
2
-
-
28 minutes ago, Snowmut said: Im no Wincy Willis, but somewhere will get a pasting from that!
Here's the ECM for that
-
Really liking this GFSP run so far
-
3
-
-
The agony and the ecstasy....
-
2
-
1
-
Model output discussion - is the beast awakening?
in Forecast Model Discussion
Posted
Wow! GFS 12Z is fantastic.