Crimson_Sprite
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Posts posted by Crimson_Sprite
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It's a bit deceptive, the showers are moving north but they're also moving east. I've been watching them for the last couple of hours and I reckon where you are should catch them in a couple of hours or so, providing you don't slip through the gaps between them.
The band of showers over Wales at the moment looks very interesting, if it maintains its intensity as it moves east.
I calculate around 1600 before that lot reaches where I am.
yeah you're right. It seems that the Wales storms are deffo more easterly in their direction, while that line over Birmingham (which now looks pathetic on radar) was going north. So its as if there is a northly vector preceding that line of storms out in Wales. That line in Wales is looking Might Fine though!!!! Lucky sods!!!
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that cell near b-ham looks potent, albeit small. Too bad everything is travelling more in a northly direction
Need stuff to develop near Oxford and travel north to me. Stupid Notts sheild -
Can see towering cumulus with very dark bases to the south west of here, must be 10+ miles away but looks like something coming soon. especially looking at the radar.
Cheers,
Mike.
Im following the radar too, it looks like the last frame is showing them deteriorate
I reckon they are travelling a bit to far N for me. Like NNE instead of NE. There's loads of cumulus about and surprisingly lots of sunshine with how much cloud there is around. Fingers crossed now. -
anyone west of birmingham reproting on those small 'popcorn' looking cells?
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Happy to report some lovely BBCs out my window right now (big beautiful cottonballs)
Its a bit breezy though and there seems to be a it TOO much cloud for any real surface heating here. It was crystal blue out at about 8am and not a cloud in sight! And then by 9.00, *BLAMO* loads of clouds all at once. -
I finally reached the end of the thread and see that the Durham storm has passed now lol! So my earlier comment is a bit late. Cool that you guys got a storm (albeit quick) out of that. Lets hope for more daytime heating and a few rogues to pop up on radar!
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BOOM cg strike out west! There's a roll shape of dark cloud, then a greenish grey area behind where the lightning came from
Im only catching up on the thread as we speak, but had to comment on your post! WOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Im dead (and probably overly) excited for you, as I have has no storms either last night. But much needed rain thankfully so am happy. I am going to live vicariously through your approaching storm with GREENISH hue. TAKE PHOTOS!!!!!+eagerly awaits+
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Looking at the radar this rain (much needed I might add) will clear through in the next 20 minutes or so, so HOPEFULLY the sun will break through for some very needed daytime heating!!!!! I am so desperate to have a storm!!! PLEASE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! OH WEATHER GODS!!!!!!!!!!!!! The temp is only 15C out right now though so am really willing the cloud to eff off and the sun to supernova so we can get microwaved and get super-mega-meso-cyclone-land! :lol:
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WOW. Amazing skycam footage from Coast's post. Being a weather obsessed Yank I have been watching The Weather Channel since it aired back in the early 80s when I a wee lass & lived back in the US and have missed it terribly since I have been living here!! But I found a way to watch it live a few weeks ago on my computer +JOY!+ and have it on every day now while I work from home. I remember putting it on Wed morning and it was only like 4am over on the eastern state-side, and the forcasters were saying THEN that this day would be a really bad day. By 5am their time, tornadoes were already being kicked out, and they have a thing called the Tor-Con index which rates your chances of seeing a tornado in a certain area for the day. usually they are 6 or 7 at the HIGHEST, but on Wed it was the highest I ever saw it at a whopping 9 for upper Alabama and Mississippi!!! The radar they were showing for the storms in the morning was already going PURPLE, yes PURPLE. Usually it goes, red, maroon, then white if its really bad, then light purple!! These morning storms produced lots of tornadoes by time it hit about 10am there, and at that time the Weather Channel goes off for the day as I do my postal run. I remeber thinking while walking to the post office that the afternoon there was going to be mega-bad and the forcasters did too, warning everyone that these morning storms were not going to clear the air, and that it was going to be lethal that afternoon. It wasnt till Thursday morning that my daily "Weather-Channel-on-the-computer-routine" came on and I was gob-smacked at all the footage and deathtoll. Truly horrible. The supercell had travelled through 5 states over 300 miles!!! The south and east will have respite for the next week, mercifully, as much calmer weather is due to stay around for awhile.
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+YAAAAWN+ *blows dust off keyboard* I miss being on the thread! But there is no point in me writing when there is no weather out to write about! I would just whinge and moan more than usual hahaha!! But alas, a Low cometh forth. i have given up on the Snow dream AAAGES ago, and look forward to spring now. This Atlantic Low coming in will give some windy weather which I love. If I cant get any snow, then let it storm!!!! I hope this year we get more than 2 storms and a freak rumble here and there...
Its just gone really overcast and gloomy out in the past 1/2 hour here. Wind hasnt picked up yet, but I hope it does soon. Ive made a huge fort in my front room while my other half is working away.
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Light snow started at 7.30am in Notts and stopped about 8.46. Left a light dusting on the ground too! No Way!! :smiliz34:
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Any idea when yourself and RJS will be releasing yer winter forecast? Did quite well last year if I remember correctly.
Hopefully Ireland can get a bit more snow this year, ye Brits hogged it all last winter!
Not all of us Brits!! :lol: Some of us actually has a very poor snow turnout last year... I reckon I had more snow in 08/09 than last year. I measured a total of about 3.5inch of accumalitive snow for the whole winter here in Notts. The biggest fall dumping a measely 1.75inch (DOHHHH!!!) I cried and repeatedly slammed my head into the computer keyboard while watching on radar how places only 20 miles north of me were getting clobbered. Saying that, we had lots of days where snow fell from the sky, but it just didnt stick, or left a pathetic dandruff on the pavement...
I am OWED some snow this year. I actually have been DREAMING about snow for the past 3 weeks (even while I was in Malta last week!) In my dreams, we get lots of snow this winter, so here's hoping and doing mega-power telekentic concentration to the clouds and temps to BRING. US. SNOW. !!!!!!!!!!!!
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Im so jealous of everybody!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! But happy for you guys too!
All the action is west of me by about 20miles GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR..... Nice dark clouds to my west though, at least I can drool out my window +lick+lick
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Back up to Cat 4 but no change in pressure thus far.
000
WTNT32 KNHC 012051
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE EARL ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072010
500 PM EDT WED SEP 01 2010
...DANGEROUS AND LARGE HURRICANE EARL POSES A THREAT TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST...WATCHES AND WARNINGS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
THROUGH MASSACHUSETTS...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.3N 73.3W
ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM E OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
ABOUT 630 MI...1010 KM SSE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...941 MB...27.79 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY...INCLUDING
DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH
OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
A HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO
WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND
SOUND.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH
TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER MASSACHUSETTS.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA NORTHEASTWARD TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER INCLUDING THE PAMLICO AND ALBEMARLE
SOUNDS.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE HENLOPEN
DELAWARE.
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING MARTHAS
VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* FROM CAPE FEAR TO WEST OF BOGUE INLET NORTH CAROLINA.
* FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO SANDY HOOK NEW
JERSEY...INCLUDING DELAWARE BAY SOUTH OF SLAUGHTER BEACH AND THE
CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF NEW POINT COMFORT.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANDY HOOK NEW JERSEY TO WOODS HOLE MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING
BLOCK ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND.
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE MERRIMACK RIVER
MASSACHUSETTS.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED
36 HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE
PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN CANADA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EARL.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE EARL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST. EARL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTH ON
THURSDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL
APPROACH THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST BY LATE THURSDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH...215
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. EARL IS AGAIN A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE LIKELY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...BUT A GRADUAL WEAKENING
TREND IS ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER.
EARL IS STILL A LARGE HURRICANE AND GROWING. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE PLANE A FEW HOURS AGO WAS 941 MB...27.79 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS OCCURRING BY LATE THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS WILL LIKELY REACH THE COAST FROM VIRGINIA NORTHWARD TO
NEW JERSEY BY EARLY FRIDAY.
STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS
MUCH AS 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA. ELSEWHERE...STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AREA. NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
RAINFALL...ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS.
SURF...LARGE SWELLS FROM EARL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE BAHAMAS
AND THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES THROUGH FRIDAY. THESE
SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND RIP
CURRENTS.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Im from new jersey and now live in Nottingham- truly the land of no weather- I know I shouldnt, but I feel so jeolous of my fellow NJ-ians right now. i used to get soooooooo excited when we were under hurricane watches!!!! I loved every hurricane Ive been through, now I just get occasional drizzle, and mediocre warmth in the summer. Severe weather (storms, heat, snow and wind) are the only thing I miss from home -
Well here is the latest picture for the 1st,
I'm wondering whether that patch is the one that was missing from the midlands for a good chunk of last winter??
HAHAHAHA!!! A most definate YES! we were so gyped on snow last year that it was utterly SINFUL- please dont get me started on that one hahaha!!! -
Be nice to see some showers/storms migrate SE, though PLEEEEEEEASE clear up tonight? I want to spend at least some time tonight (even though I'm knackered) watching the Perseids
ME TOO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I stayed up until 1.30am last night waiting for the sky to clear, but it didnt and I saw nothing. I knew tonight would be a wash out for me... so, what is it now for me- like the 14th year in a row I have missed the Perseids due to clouds?
Looks like a new line of sharp showers is due north of me near Sheffield, I doubt they will stay together though..
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----as soon as I go upstairs to my skylight, it starts to rain really hard, and then all the thunder stopped! I hate it when that happens!!!!!!!
Walking back- erm, I mean running back, from the post office, the thunder was quite immense, and booming, and travelling round surrounding you.. The sky was evil looking! Radar is impressive, but just a washout now. No thunder or lightning. Soon as I get back too! DOH!!!
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OMG!!!!!!!!!
MASSIVE cell just to my north, I RAN all the way home from the post office absolutely pooping bricks!!! BIG thunder, and very intimidating!!! Im gonna run upstairs and see if I can get photos!!!!!!!!!!!! wish me luck!!!!!!!!!!
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peeing it down now. Only 2 thunders and 2 flashes so far. The one and only CG I saw was when my noggin was out the window, which ironically was the highlite of the cell hahaha!! I wouldnt call this a storm, but good to hear thunder for the 1st time is a month. I only had 1 storm so far this year too... So far Im logging this in as a "day of thunder" as oppossed to a storm. Maybe something will hit me though in a few hours! Potential is the best in months! Fingers crossed for everyone to get at least some thunder today
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CG lightning in Notts now!!!!
(note to self- do NOT stick head out of 3rd story skylight when there is lightning-- its not good for the heart) -
I think I missed this one NSSC!
I too don't like the thought of people being mocked for phobia afflictions - when I was younger, I was certainly what I'd call a brontophobe. Thunderstorms petrified me (thunder, not so much the lightning) to the extent I'd have shaking fits, be in tears or more often the case, both!
But to be honest, I don't detect this intolerance of brontophobes. I personally would be very surprised if I'm the only fanatic on here, who is one from overcoming their morbid fear of storms.
One thing I do find somewhat frustrating, is when people who clearly have a fear of storms, post on the thread which is dedicated to storms and their brilliance. I would be one of the first to volunteer any help I could, to turn around peoples phobia of storms, which by some fluke really I managed to do for me...but that help never appears to be asked - just a casual moan or whinge about something which 99% of the contributors to that particular thread are obsessed with. I have a strong phobia of insects, particularly crane flies, moths and birds (if in an enclosed room which I had the unfortunate horror of dealing with last week). I got ribbed in the States for my phobia of crane flies and the like, but that can only be expected. Who wouldn't find funny the site of a young 6ft lad, launching out of a room at the site of a flimsy, gangly, harmless stick dancing clumsily and harmlessly through the air? My phobia of crane flies and moths is no different to anyone's phobia of thunder/lightning...yet I do accept a certain degree of ridicule, because it helps me deal with it and really, can only be expected!
Driving in the snow scares me as well, and I dread the forecast which says several inches of snow is on the way, because effectively I'm house bound - I don't like walking in it either as I always seem to go over. Yet when many forum members are getting excited by the prospect of the white stuff, I don't go into the thread and disrupt the flow by having a whinge about how driving in the snow scares me, and how my life becomes a mess because of it! Normally there's a separate whinging thread to which I vent my frustrations :lol: I wouldn't expect many posts reading "awww, poor Harry" while everyone else is bursting with excitement at the thought of snow!
Give and take IMO - if I read a post which seriously mocked someones phobia, I'd be the first to launch a scathing attack back, because that's the gobby sod I am - yet in all fairness, I don't recall seeing one. But equally, I think some of the worst things in life can be cured with comedy and having a laugh...not AT someone, but AT the thing which is causing them so many problems! I try and overcome my fears of insects by reading up about them, different species, effectively making my interest in them be a positive one rather than striking fear.
In conclusion, I really don't think there is a problem on this thread with sniggering comments etc.
Guess what! You're not the only one on here that was a brontophobe when they were a child- I was too!!!!!!!!!! I grew up in New Jersey and in the late 70s we had horrendous TERRIBLE, most frightning storms, and I would get hysterical. I would have to hide in the bathroom with my fingers in my ears (as it was mainly the thunder not the lightning) and shut my eyes if it was dark due to power cut, because the lightning was so intense. The summer of 77 was the WORST, I was 3 and I remember that summer so vividly. We also had hurricane David that year. We would get severe storms about every 2 days and sometimes 2 or 3 a night. I HATED going to bed, because I KNEW Id wake up to storms, and just go into a fit. This phobia created a morbid fascination with storms for me. Since as long as I can remember I have always dreamed of tornadoes and violent storms (to this day!) and my fear became an exhilarating love for storms now. I must say though, now- when I get my once a year storm here in Nottingham, I am totally exhilarated and excited but still a bit scared if it looks like its gonna be mean. I ALWAYS have ear plugs in (never got over that one :lol:) and my heart races a million miles an hour as I have my face and camera smashed against the window hahahaha!! Storms here arent as bad as they were back in New Jersey, so I never get too scared, but back at home, I dare say I would be one huge contrasting emotion!! I would be sooooo excited and like YEAH!!! and then as the storm got intense I would be pretty scared too all at the same time!! I am so glad I love them now though. I miss them! Its been so dry here this summer :lol:
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anyone near that wocester cell have anything to report? That looks nice and juicy.. +sigh+ all the storms are moving east of me now... I think its game over for me in S'notts... once again, teased to oblivion only to be shot down in flames as my house sits in the middle of the Weatherless Vortex I call home.... :lol:
PEOPLE- YOU NEED TO PUT PICS UP OF YOUR FUNNELS!!!!
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Ive learnt my lesson, if I go driving up there ill be storm chasing.... chasing them all away lol, then Crimson Sprite will probably either kill me or explode :lol:
:lol: I've already exploded- those storms never reached me!!! Its so cold out now I had to wear a sweat jacket to the post office, and the storms are dying. I still have my storm donut around me, (note picture below) so you can chase them all ya like, maybe they will run right into me then!!!!
Need stuff to develop near Oxford and travel north to me. Stupid Notts sheild 
I reckon they are travelling a bit to far N for me. Like NNE instead of NE. There's loads of cumulus about and surprisingly lots of sunshine with how much cloud there is around. Fingers crossed now.
Im dead (and probably overly) excited for you, as I have has no storms either last night. But much needed rain thankfully so am happy. I am going to live vicariously through your approaching storm with GREENISH hue. TAKE PHOTOS!!!!!
Convective / Storm Chat And Discussion
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that was really cool!!!