Jax
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Posts posted by Jax
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Personally I am really wanting it to switch to Spring mode now, my heating bill alone is starting to cripple me, let alone the cold getting my battered joints.
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not here (yet)there appears to be an advancing rain to snow/rain mix ish thing approaching from our west on 'raintoday'.. any body seen any snow?
currently 2.2c with a dew point of -1.8c here
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How would a mini ice age really effect us? I know it would be much colder than it is now but how would it effect the country? After a while I'm guessing we'd all become accustom to it all like in the bitterly cold winters in Siberia, the snow and cold don't really bother them and there's not really any food deprivation unless you are too poor to buy some.
we only grow 20% (or there abouts) of our own food in the UK anyway, so that is a mute point. What would be worse is the lack of imports and/or raids made in them, else adverse weather making the transport of it un-economical anyway, so the cost of food will rise.
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It is "just one run", let us not all get excited by a single run.
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Hi you can go to the sight meteociel.fr
looking good.
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Well for me it seemed to be a prolonged cold and dry one, not had the heating on as much as I did this winter for a long time.
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Cloudy, dull but dry here, temp is climbing now, did have a patchy frost earlier, all gone now.
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warm up damn you!
Want to click the like button like a mad man and make it true.
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the quietness in here speaks manny words. gfs is just awfull
Really?
so from a model POV the run is poor quality and its output is not correct against other model data and not indicitive of the forecast?
or is it just not predicting what you would like to see?
two very different views on model output and in this thread, its validitiy rather than its wanted output.
*goes back under stone*
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LOL Jax, Yeh probably right with the story book. I think its just global cycles, I have a link to every Daily/Weekly weather the UK has gone through, Apparently it goes way back to the Vikings oddly enough, Infact the Bible lol.
Like the link
have bookmarked it.
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looking at the GFS for next week and it looks v.cold for us in the east
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good point, well presented and errr, your right, today's warm day was nice and more like it would be nice, thought looking at the latest charts I suspect that will not be the case.Normal as in dull,wet, windy??? after todays pleasent weather i want the warmth as well.
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No ,but the longer this type of pattern carries on (Hopefully) the better. The latest Since 2007 craze has BEEN a warm March and April only to followed by wash out summers. We seriously need funny enough a long hot summer, I'm hoping we have the below average temps through till late March, Wet April and early May, Followed by A nice gradual incline to HP and warmth From late June through till September, With the odd Cracking Storm thrown in.
Now there I agree I think, as I seem to recall as a 70's/80's child that the seasons were indeed "seasonal", now they all seem a bit *fudged*
What I would not give for some text book seasonal weather (or should that be story book?)
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Thanks Johnhi jax
your not a party pooper
we all have our weather preferences
as you say the weather will do what it pleases and a lot of the
fun is trying to work it out
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No mate your not. Cannot and will not ever understand the fascination with people wanting to be cold. Beyond me it really is.
I do not mind it cold and I like to see the snow for a few days down, take a few pictures and all, but then I am happy done and ready to get back to 'normal' again.
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Yes you are
My day will come ( I hope) and spring will errrr 'spring'.
Not sure our dirt tracks, sorry, 'roads', can last much more of this weather round here.
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d like it to snow in July...but then i am sadistic
I am happy for it to snow in July ....
....just not here
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Am I the only one on here now wishing for spring/warmth/sun rather than cold/snow ?
do not want to sound/be a party pooper, just asking, as at the end of the day we will get what the weather gods deal us anyway, no matter what we want or what the models predict us.
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are we done cold now?
I feel like a lizard, I need some sun and warmth to bask in.
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Being of "spiritual" persuasion, I am way happy at the current "direction" we are taking.
and yes well addressed to the idea and it's celebration.
bring it on
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Disagree 100%.
I posted yesterday, that the CFS was the first model to advertise - with conviction - the broad blocked pattern that we're currently experiencing, and long before any other model. The detail is different - which is to be expected - but, importantly, it remained resolute as to a blocked pattern forming. The next model to pick up the pattern was BOM-ACCESS.
The CFS has been very consistent with regards to its prognosis for March. Now, as I posted about a while back, consistency isn't necessarily accuracy, but it certainly demands more than cursory dismissal. Usually, the CFS displays huge intra-run variance - as one would come to expect from a LR NWP model, but it's noticeable how this has very much been lacking, in favour of this consistent signal.
Have to agree (that you disagree), all models need to be taken into consideration, they all have good and bad points, but it is seeing patterns and discerning the data from the noise that matters.
Be interesting to see the later run output(s) when compared to current runs.
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Sleety all day here, eased off now, just cold and damp, a balmy 3.8oC in the shed now.
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Wow, what happened in '81?!
Bucks Fizz
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Ice is falling from the sky!
any planes on the approach to Luton?
Is it green?
Spring Model Discussion 18Z 9/3/13 onwards....
in Spring Weather Discussion
Posted